kgdabom -> RE: General Vikes Talk (5/18/2019 5:53:49 AM)
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Best post I've seen on the whole Rudolph contract situation. Found on Daily Norseman. Rudolph is on the last year of his deal, which is almost always the highest number, because the salary cap increases every year. Sure, he has the fifth-highest base salary, but none of his money is guaranteed. He’s the only guy in the top ten with no guaranteed money. Most of the other guys have guaranteed money past this year. Here are the four above him in cap number this year: Jimmy Graham $12m (with 2 years of dead money) Kelce 10.7m (this is the best non-rookie TE contract in the league) Jordan Reed 9.7m (3m dead money if cut this year) Trey Burton 8.5m (15m guaranteed this year and next) Besides Kelce, would you take any of those contracts over Rudolph? Here are the next 5, after Rudolph at 7.2m: Ebron 7m (1m dead this year) Brate 7m (no dead money) Greg Olson 6.6m (34 this year, 7.4m dead money if cut this year, 3.7m if cut next year) Delanie Walker 6.3m (35 this year, $6m dead money this year, 1.6m next year) Vernon Davis 6.3m (35 this year, 1.3m dead money) How about any of those? Ertz is 11th, because he restructured his deal. He’s a year younger than Rudolph, and has cap hits of 6.2m in his age 29 season this year, 12.2m in his age 30 season next year, and 12.4m in his age 31 season in 2021, most of which is fully guaranteed. I think it’s pretty fair to argue that Rudolph has one of the five most team-friendly non-rookie TE contracts in the league. And that’s in the last, least team-friendly year of the deal. Here are the top five free agent TEs for 2019 by average contract value per year: Jared Cook 7.5m (age 32, 8m guaranteed over 2 years, 68/896 career year on a garbage-time Oakland team) Tyler Kroft 6.3m (age 26, 6m guaranteed spread over 3 years, only good season was 42/404) CJ Uzomah 6m (age 26, 43/439 last year in only good season) Nick Boyle 6m (age 26, 10m guaranteed, best season 28/203) Jesse James 5.6m (age 25, 10.5m guaranteed, best season 30/423) Rudolph is an asset, not an anchor, you fools. 50 catches for 600 yards is absolutely worth $7m from a TE. Who else takes his 80 targets and turns it into 600 yards if we cut Rudolph? The rookie? Exactly three rookie TEs have hit 600 yards in the last 20 years – John Carlson in 2008 (best WR on team: 35-year-old Bobby Engram; no WRs played 16 games), Jeremy Shockey in 2002 (best receiver Amani Toomer, then 7 games of Ike Hilliard, then… Ron… Dixon? LB/WR Daryl Jones? Those are the next two WRs in targets) and Evan Engram in 2017 (Both Beckham and Sterling Shepard got hurt, only WR to play more than 11 games was Roger Lewis). So yeah. Rudolph is very clearly a good use of $7m in cap space, has a better contract than all but a few non-rookie TEs, and we should absolutely not cut him. I also think he’ll probably sign somewhere else next year and get us a fourth-round comp pick (and as such, we should take nothing less than a fourth in trade). If we do extend him at his current salary, I don’t want it to be for more than this year and next year, and I don’t want any dead money on the books past 2020. But judging by other TE salaries around the league, he would very likely be worth that modest extension. Posted by CVBoot on May 17, 2019 | 11:02 PM More likely a 5th round pick, but that's nitpicking.
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