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wrh -> RE: Timberwolves 2023 - 2024 Season (5/28/2024 4:56:11 PM)
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke
I find it amazing that no NBA team has ever come back from down 3-0. I get that it should be exceedingly rare, but not once?
So what are The Wolves chances? I say extremely slim but not zero. The reason it hasn’t happened is, of course in order to get down 3-0 the better team has won. So the odds of a worse team winning 4 straight is minuscule.
If ever a team could do it though, it would be a series like this. Dallas is not a clearly better team. They are roughly equal say. They have just won 3 coin flips in a row.
So do I expect the Wolves to make history? No. Bit the chance is not zero, as history might suggest. They’d have to now win 4 coin flips in a row. The chance of doing that is 1/16.
Basically agree with you. Want to comment many years back I heard an explanation about sports analysis that made a lot of sense to me. You can have sports like hockey or baseball where scoring takes one, or maybe several fairly low likelihood events, that don't occur often. This makes them prone to more upsets because an inferior team can literally just get lucky. Sports like basketball with lets say 80 shots per team, with a success rate of 40+% is far more likely to return a win to the superior talented team. The great majority of the time a few lucky plays will not be enough to change the result.
So the question (for me) becomes can the Wolves be the superior team for 4 games straight. I am convinced playing their best they can beat any team in the NBA, but they have had serious issues with consistency. Just for prides sake I sure hope they shine tonight.
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