marty -> RE: Earth to marty (10/28/2009 9:17:23 PM)
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I'm having a bi-polar week. Yesterday, I was ready to surprise you guys, and I was going to post prediction of a Vikings' win, with THE EXACT SCORE, MAKING IT TWO WEEKS IN A ROW. I was going to go with a close score, I know some of you are predicting blowouts. I REALLY want to nail the score, and couldn't hammer out an exact score. Then along comes today, and doubt of a Vikings' victory started creeping in. Why, many reasons. The team with the better DEFENSE usually wins, and right now, without Winfield the Packers have the better defense. I wanted to go with those that believe Peterson will control this game, and will the team to victory, but I'm just not sure. This game would be hard to win, even if it were in Minnesota. The Vikings can afford to lose this one, while it's almost do or die for the Packers. I expect big games for a couple of players ready to explode: GREG JENNINGS and Adrian Peterson. Will the Vikes cover Jennings without Winfield ? I don't know. IF both Winfield and Berrian don't play, I would lean towards the PUKERS winning. The Packers will do a better job of bottling up Rice than the 3 previous opponents. They will key on Rice and that will REALLY slow down the Vikings' offense, unless Harvin has a big day. The Vikes need BERRIAN in there for balance. I expect the Packers will use the same gameplan of NOT letting AP get outside, but at the same time they will blitz A LOT more, and have Kampmann on the line more. I do NOT think Chili will hammer Peterson up the gut enough, he uses variety instead of hammering an opponents' weakness. The Packers will focus on getting the ball in JENNING'S hands and that will be trouble. I think Rodgers will play like a maniac, even BETTER than he did the last time around. Which will is stronger - Favre to beat Ted Thompson or Rodgers to get out of Favre's shadow ? I think this time it will be Rodgers because Favre had SOME of that satisfied with the 1st outing, and because Rodgers will be playing in a place where getting out of the shadow and all the talk of Favre will be to the forefront. I'm NOT set on picking the Packers yet, and might change my mind later in the week. I want to SHOCK THE WORLD and nail 2 games in row with EXACTLY the correct score and the correct team winning. I get the feeling the Packer defense will be creating more turnovers, the Vikings' heart and soul is out with injury, and turnovers will be the difference. I think it is WRONG to think because the Vikes played the Steelers close, they are BETTER than the Packers, and will go and BEAT the Packers on the road because the Packers aren't as good as the Steelers. It is quite possible the Packers go win at Pittsburgh later in the season. Sometimes I think it's WHEN you play a team. Had the Vikes played the Steelers earlier in the year they might have beaten them. After suffering 2 home losses in close games at the end, the Steelers were hungry to pull this one out at the end. The spread: GB by 3 This spread is bothersome to me, should there be any meddling or 'sway' by the officials. The 'SAFE' bet is to take the Vikes and 3 points as they are a 6-1 team that just about beat the Steelers in Pittsburgh and many think Favre will will the team to victory to get back at Thompson. To take GB and give up 3 when they alreadly lost to the Vikings, have OL problems, just beat some really poor teams and have lost both times they played a good team, is RISKY. So if any 'sway' is involved, it MIGHT go towards the Pack, as the money is likely to be on the 'SAFE' bet. I think the game should be a pick em or GB by 1. IF the line was Minnesota favored by 4, I would bet on MINNESOTA because so many of the games between these 2 teams have been close, so if there IS any 'sway' involved, then it would probably be officiating that helped MINNESOTA, which would probably lead to them covering the 4.
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