djskillz -> RE: Players and prospects III (7/14/2015 9:12:51 AM)
|
Part of Dave Cameron's "trade value" series, ranking the top 50 players in the game based on trade value. TBH, Buxton is a lot lower on the list than I'd imagine, but Dave makes good points re: the reasons. He gets healthy again, he shoots up this list. He still currently slots a few spots ahead of last night's HR champ, which is impressive in itself. FWIW, Dozier "just missed" the cut. Which seems fair. You'd be hardpressed to find a GM that would trade Buxton for Dozier straight up, for example. #42: Byron Buxton, OF, Minnesota Controlled Through: 2021 Guaranteed Dollars: None 2016 ZIPS WAR: +2.7 Five year ZIPS WAR: +17.6 Last Year: #38 If Buxton could stay healthy, he’d likely be ranked significantly higher than this, as both scouts and ZIPS see a star in the making. But as the injuries continue to pile up, it’s becoming fair to question how the lost development time will affect him, and whether he’ll ever play enough to live up to the substantial hype. The tools are there for Buxton to be a high-level player, and any team looking to the future would love to have him for his upside alone. But he is also a very high risk asset, with more bust potential than just about anyone else you’ll find in this series. But with six years of team control remaining, three of them at the league minimum, Buxton doesn’t have to be a star right away to justify his placement here. Even with an adjustment period, he offers substantial long-term rewards, and he’s close enough to providing real value in the big leagues that teams could justify paying through the nose to acquire him. It’s an extreme risk/reward play, but when the reward is this high, so is the price.
|
|
|
|