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RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 3/21/2019 5:58:48 PM   
David Levine


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Ja Morant with 17 points, 11 rebounds and 16 assists as his #12 team crushes the #5 seed.
Post #: 26
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 3/21/2019 6:01:21 PM   
kurt bilben


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Well I’ve seen the truth, and the truth will set you free-

Ja Morant

I know it was just Marquette, but he was amazing.

Didn’t get a chance to see much of his long range shooting/ defending a like NBA prospect, but OMG he’s good.

His feel for the game, and where everyone is in traffic is special.

Wow, never watched him play, but he was a man amongst children out there today.
Post #: 27
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 3/21/2019 6:07:45 PM   
David Levine


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His handle, vision and spatial awareness are elite.

He has the physical tools to be a defender, but will need coaching to get there.

I'm not too worried about his shooting. College 3PT Rate and FT% have historically been a better indicator of NBA 3pt prowess than actual 3PT%.

I know a lot of people put RJ Barrett ahead of him, but Ja is my clear #2 prospect in this draft.
Post #: 28
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 3/21/2019 9:10:30 PM   
David Levine


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He really is a tremendous passer:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=56&v=VgQ2eRIpeQA
Post #: 29
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 3/22/2019 7:59:46 AM   
JT2

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

His handle, vision and spatial awareness are elite.

He has the physical tools to be a defender, but will need coaching to get there.

I'm not too worried about his shooting. College 3PT Rate and FT% have historically been a better indicator of NBA 3pt prowess than actual 3PT%.

I know a lot of people put RJ Barrett ahead of him, but Ja is my clear #2 prospect in this draft.


He's really quite amazing.

I'm not worried much about the shot either. He has a good stroke.

He needs to harness his explosiveness and speed better to cut down on the turnovers, and he needs to grow and work into a little more muscle.

Not often you see such a great passer with the athleticism he possesses.
Post #: 30
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 3/22/2019 10:51:28 AM   
David Levine


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quote:

ORIGINAL: JT2

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

His handle, vision and spatial awareness are elite.

He has the physical tools to be a defender, but will need coaching to get there.

I'm not too worried about his shooting. College 3PT Rate and FT% have historically been a better indicator of NBA 3pt prowess than actual 3PT%.

I know a lot of people put RJ Barrett ahead of him, but Ja is my clear #2 prospect in this draft.


He's really quite amazing.

I'm not worried much about the shot either. He has a good stroke.

He needs to harness his explosiveness and speed better to cut down on the turnovers, and he needs to grow and work into a little more muscle. and he needs to grow and work into a little more muscle.

Not often you see such a great passer with the athleticism he possesses.


Fortunately, even as a sophomore, he'll still only be 19 at the time of the draft.
Post #: 31
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 3/22/2019 11:20:16 AM   
David Levine


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The Ringer loving Zion, hating Barrett and Reddish:

Barrett, for all his gaudy stats, creates as many problems as he solves. His impressive season averages (22.9 points on 45.7 percent shooting, 7.5 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game) are deceiving. He is not a good decision-maker for a player who dominates the ball, and he is not efficient enough (a true shooting percentage of 53.3) to justify his astronomical usage rate (32.5). Barrett is a capable passer who spends too much time playing with blinders on. He will hijack the offense, driving into the lane without a plan beyond trying to shoot over two or three defenders. His size (6-foot-7 and 202 pounds) and athleticism can’t always bail him out, especially against elite competition. That will be an even bigger issue for him in the NBA.

There are a couple of red flags when projecting him to the next level. He’s a poor outside shooter whose free throw shooting numbers (66.2 percent on 5.9 attempts per game) indicate he will have a hard time extending his range to the deeper NBA 3-point line. Barrett will have to be a primary option on offense to be effective, because defenses will leave him open on the perimeter when he doesn’t have the ball. He is a shoot-first player who NBA teams will hope to mold into a point forward, but it’d be a lengthy developmental process that could get his coach and GM fired. He averages nearly as many turnovers (3.2 per game) as assists (4.1), and his willingness to take any and every shot available to him limits his efficiency. According to the tracking numbers at Synergy Sports, he is in only the 47th percentile of players nationwide when scoring around the rim.

Reddish has been even worse, averaging 13.7 points on 35.4 percent shooting, 3.7 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game. He alternates between disappearing for huge stretches of games and cramming a whole game’s worth of bad decisions into a few possessions. The concern coming into the season was that he would be forced into a smaller role than his talent would merit, maybe as a spot-up shooter. But Reddish has gotten plenty of opportunities: He is averaging almost as many field goal attempts per game (12.3) as Zion (12.5), with a huge usage rate (26.5) for a third option. The problem is how little he has done with them.

The idea of Reddish is more attractive than the reality. He fits the profile of what NBA teams want in a wing: He has the size (6-foot-8 and 218 pounds) to slide between multiple positions on defense and an effortless shooting stroke. The shooting is still fairly theoretical at this point, though: He is shooting 39.7 percent from 2-point range on 4.7 attempts per game, and 75.9 percent from the free throw line on 3.3 attempts per game. Reddish has the statistical profile of an average shooter, and he doesn’t do anything else particularly well. He is averaging almost 1.5 times more turnovers per game (2.8) than assists (1.9). A Reddish drive is as likely to end with an offensive foul as a successful finish around the rim. It will not be easy for him to earn the trust of an NBA coach.

https://www.theringer.com/march-madness/2019/3/22/18276270/rj-barrett-cam-reddish-duke-ncaa-tournament
Post #: 32
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 3/22/2019 11:35:40 AM   
Mark Anderson

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

The Ringer loving Zion, hating Barrett and Reddish:

Barrett, for all his gaudy stats, creates as many problems as he solves. His impressive season averages (22.9 points on 45.7 percent shooting, 7.5 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game) are deceiving. He is not a good decision-maker for a player who dominates the ball, and he is not efficient enough (a true shooting percentage of 53.3) to justify his astronomical usage rate (32.5). Barrett is a capable passer who spends too much time playing with blinders on. He will hijack the offense, driving into the lane without a plan beyond trying to shoot over two or three defenders. His size (6-foot-7 and 202 pounds) and athleticism can’t always bail him out, especially against elite competition. That will be an even bigger issue for him in the NBA.

There are a couple of red flags when projecting him to the next level. He’s a poor outside shooter whose free throw shooting numbers (66.2 percent on 5.9 attempts per game) indicate he will have a hard time extending his range to the deeper NBA 3-point line. Barrett will have to be a primary option on offense to be effective, because defenses will leave him open on the perimeter when he doesn’t have the ball. He is a shoot-first player who NBA teams will hope to mold into a point forward, but it’d be a lengthy developmental process that could get his coach and GM fired. He averages nearly as many turnovers (3.2 per game) as assists (4.1), and his willingness to take any and every shot available to him limits his efficiency. According to the tracking numbers at Synergy Sports, he is in only the 47th percentile of players nationwide when scoring around the rim.

Reddish has been even worse, averaging 13.7 points on 35.4 percent shooting, 3.7 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game. He alternates between disappearing for huge stretches of games and cramming a whole game’s worth of bad decisions into a few possessions. The concern coming into the season was that he would be forced into a smaller role than his talent would merit, maybe as a spot-up shooter. But Reddish has gotten plenty of opportunities: He is averaging almost as many field goal attempts per game (12.3) as Zion (12.5), with a huge usage rate (26.5) for a third option. The problem is how little he has done with them.

The idea of Reddish is more attractive than the reality. He fits the profile of what NBA teams want in a wing: He has the size (6-foot-8 and 218 pounds) to slide between multiple positions on defense and an effortless shooting stroke. The shooting is still fairly theoretical at this point, though: He is shooting 39.7 percent from 2-point range on 4.7 attempts per game, and 75.9 percent from the free throw line on 3.3 attempts per game. Reddish has the statistical profile of an average shooter, and he doesn’t do anything else particularly well. He is averaging almost 1.5 times more turnovers per game (2.8) than assists (1.9). A Reddish drive is as likely to end with an offensive foul as a successful finish around the rim. It will not be easy for him to earn the trust of an NBA coach.

https://www.theringer.com/march-madness/2019/3/22/18276270/rj-barrett-cam-reddish-duke-ncaa-tournament

You thought the Virginia upset last year was shocking.

Wait till tonight.
Post #: 33
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 3/28/2019 11:02:05 AM   
David Levine


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Brandon Clarke Is a Positional Enigma—and Gonzaga’s Best Hope for a Title

The bouncy junior is a center in a small forward’s body. But that isn’t an indictment, it’s high praise. He’s had a historic season, and maximizing his talents will be the key to both a Bulldogs championship run and figuring out his place in the NBA.

Clarke is having a historically great season. The records at Sports-Reference.com go back to the 1992-93 season, and no player in that time has matched his all-around production: 17.0 points on 69.9 percent shooting, 8.4 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 3.1 blocks, and 1.2 steals per game. He’s a hyperefficient offensive machine who protects the rim better than most future NBA centers. His block rate in his final NCAA season (11.1 percent) would put him at no. 14 among the 49 big men drafted in the lottery since 2004. His combination of block and steal rates (2.4 percent) would put him at no. 9, between Joel Embiid and Myles Turner. That should not be possible for a player the size of a typical NBA small forward.

https://www.theringer.com/march-madness/2019/3/28/18285014/brandon-clarke-gonzaga-nba-draft
Post #: 34
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 4/1/2019 11:54:47 PM   
David Levine


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From Canis:

Lottery update:

Right now we are 34-43 and 10th overall with a 13.9% chance to get a top four pick and a 3.0% chance for Zion (LOL at this even occurring). The next two teams worse (NO/WAS) are 2.5 games worse and the two teams after that (MEM/ATL) are 3.0 games worse. Every team thereafter has a loss total we can’t obtain.

6. MEM 31-46, 5 games left
7. DAL 31-46, 5 games left
8. NO 32-46, 4 games left
9. WAS 32-46, 4 games left
10. MIN 34-43, 5 games left
11. CHA 35-42, 5 games left
12. LAL 35-42, 5 games left

Last five games are DAL, @ MIA, @ OKC, @ TOR & DEN. We realistically could lose all five but I’m guessing we go 1-4 and beat either DAL or since DEN is last game of the year their playoff spot will be set and resting guys. Can’t see any scenario where we beat MIA, OKC or TOR on the road and all of them in a playoff fight. So looking at 35-47 finish which I’m guessing would be good for somewhere in spots 9-11.

The difference between spot 9 and 10 for a top four pick is significant because the percent chance jumps from 13.9% to 23.1%. Difference between 8-9 is minimal – 23.1% to 23.5%.

Posted by ACG2x on Apr 1, 2019 | 8:52 PM
Post #: 35
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 4/2/2019 5:32:05 PM   
Bill Johanesen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

From Canis:

Lottery update:

Right now we are 34-43 and 10th overall with a 13.9% chance to get a top four pick and a 3.0% chance for Zion (LOL at this even occurring). The next two teams worse (NO/WAS) are 2.5 games worse and the two teams after that (MEM/ATL) are 3.0 games worse. Every team thereafter has a loss total we can’t obtain.

6. MEM 31-46, 5 games left
7. DAL 31-46, 5 games left
8. NO 32-46, 4 games left
9. WAS 32-46, 4 games left
10. MIN 34-43, 5 games left
11. CHA 35-42, 5 games left
12. LAL 35-42, 5 games left

Last five games are DAL, @ MIA, @ OKC, @ TOR & DEN. We realistically could lose all five but I’m guessing we go 1-4 and beat either DAL or since DEN is last game of the year their playoff spot will be set and resting guys. Can’t see any scenario where we beat MIA, OKC or TOR on the road and all of them in a playoff fight. So looking at 35-47 finish which I’m guessing would be good for somewhere in spots 9-11.

The difference between spot 9 and 10 for a top four pick is significant because the percent chance jumps from 13.9% to 23.1%. Difference between 8-9 is minimal – 23.1% to 23.5%.

Posted by ACG2x on Apr 1, 2019 | 8:52 PM


And to think, the Lakers were in a tie for 10th a short time ago. Where did Charlotte come from?!
Post #: 36
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 4/3/2019 10:30:34 AM   
kgdabom

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

The Ringer loving Zion, hating Barrett and Reddish:

Barrett, for all his gaudy stats, creates as many problems as he solves. His impressive season averages (22.9 points on 45.7 percent shooting, 7.5 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game) are deceiving. He is not a good decision-maker for a player who dominates the ball, and he is not efficient enough (a true shooting percentage of 53.3) to justify his astronomical usage rate (32.5). Barrett is a capable passer who spends too much time playing with blinders on. He will hijack the offense, driving into the lane without a plan beyond trying to shoot over two or three defenders. His size (6-foot-7 and 202 pounds) and athleticism can’t always bail him out, especially against elite competition. That will be an even bigger issue for him in the NBA.

There are a couple of red flags when projecting him to the next level. He’s a poor outside shooter whose free throw shooting numbers (66.2 percent on 5.9 attempts per game) indicate he will have a hard time extending his range to the deeper NBA 3-point line. Barrett will have to be a primary option on offense to be effective, because defenses will leave him open on the perimeter when he doesn’t have the ball. He is a shoot-first player who NBA teams will hope to mold into a point forward, but it’d be a lengthy developmental process that could get his coach and GM fired. He averages nearly as many turnovers (3.2 per game) as assists (4.1), and his willingness to take any and every shot available to him limits his efficiency. According to the tracking numbers at Synergy Sports, he is in only the 47th percentile of players nationwide when scoring around the rim.

Reddish has been even worse, averaging 13.7 points on 35.4 percent shooting, 3.7 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game. He alternates between disappearing for huge stretches of games and cramming a whole game’s worth of bad decisions into a few possessions. The concern coming into the season was that he would be forced into a smaller role than his talent would merit, maybe as a spot-up shooter. But Reddish has gotten plenty of opportunities: He is averaging almost as many field goal attempts per game (12.3) as Zion (12.5), with a huge usage rate (26.5) for a third option. The problem is how little he has done with them.

The idea of Reddish is more attractive than the reality. He fits the profile of what NBA teams want in a wing: He has the size (6-foot-8 and 218 pounds) to slide between multiple positions on defense and an effortless shooting stroke. The shooting is still fairly theoretical at this point, though: He is shooting 39.7 percent from 2-point range on 4.7 attempts per game, and 75.9 percent from the free throw line on 3.3 attempts per game. Reddish has the statistical profile of an average shooter, and he doesn’t do anything else particularly well. He is averaging almost 1.5 times more turnovers per game (2.8) than assists (1.9). A Reddish drive is as likely to end with an offensive foul as a successful finish around the rim. It will not be easy for him to earn the trust of an NBA coach.

https://www.theringer.com/march-madness/2019/3/22/18276270/rj-barrett-cam-reddish-duke-ncaa-tournament

That sounds like good news for the Wolves as they will both almost certainly be picked before our slot pushing better players down to us.

< Message edited by kgdabom -- 4/3/2019 10:33:51 AM >


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Post #: 37
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 4/11/2019 10:25:44 AM   
David Levine


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3% for Zion.
3.3% for Ja.
13.9% to get top 4.
20.2% to move down.
65.9% to stay at 10.
Post #: 38
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 4/11/2019 5:28:03 PM   
David Levine


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Rodger Sherman✔@rodger
Duke lost three games with Zion Williamson in the lineup this year.
RJ Barrett went ***0-for-9*** in the final minute of those three games. The rest of the team had three total shots. Zion had one.
Post #: 39
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 4/12/2019 8:46:21 PM   
kgdabom

 

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I'm all in on Brandon Clarke assuming we don't move up like we never have before.

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RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 4/16/2019 7:09:18 AM   
kgdabom

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

Coby White was brought up at Canis today. Wasn't real familiar with him, but I'm intrigued.

6'5 PG, so he could play some next to Tyus or Teague (since he's going to be here next year). 38% 3pt shooter on 6/game and a good FT shooter. Appears to be a decent, if unspectacular passer. Good defender despite suboptimal length.

Maybe a Malcolm Brogdon type?

I still love Sekou Doumbouya if we don't move up, but White could be a good target if we trade down.

I know this was posted in February, but now it seems like the 10 slot is as far as White will slide. If we want him no trading down and maybe need to trade up.

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Post #: 41
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 4/18/2019 10:57:56 AM   
David Levine


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The Ringer published their (always excellent) draft guide for 2019:

https://nbadraft.theringer.com/?_ga=2.252913545.1481731001.1555351789-765580623.1555351789
Post #: 42
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 4/18/2019 11:02:32 AM   
David Levine


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Holy shit, Brandon Clarke...

Impressively logged as many blocks as missed shots during the regular season at Gonzaga.
Post #: 43
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 4/18/2019 11:16:23 AM   
David Levine


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KZ Okpala sounds like the 2nd coming of Wiggins!

Gets stripped often on drives to the rim; his handle is still too loose and he frequently goes into traffic.

Average scorer in the paint because he’s not good at handling contact. Getting stronger could help, though his natural touch isn’t great.

Defensive fundamentals are lacking. He has poor footwork closing out and loses his man off the ball. He also should get lower to gain leverage when defending the post.

He should rack up impactful defensive plays with his length and mobility but he doesn’t, largely due to his lagging reaction speed.
Post #: 44
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 5/14/2019 8:41:13 PM   
David Levine


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Tough draft for us. We really could us a PG, but IMO, Ja is the only true PG that could go in the lottery.

Garland and White are both scorers (and more shooter than slasher/finisher) that are ideally secondary ballhandlers - especially White. He's not a PG, he's a combo guard. And in that kind of role, I'd 100% take Nickeil Alexander-Walker over either of them. All 3 of them are substandard athletes, but NAW is the only one that has the size/length to be a positive on both ends of the court.

I do think both Garland and White are going to struggle getting to the line and (especially) all the way to the basket. Both guys have the same physical limitations that plague Tyus at the rim - substandard length and athleticism. Hopefully they can develop a really good floater to help compensate somewhat.

Clarke is my #3 player in the draft, but I think after workouts there is no way he falls anywhere near 11.

Sekou Doumbouya is my wildcard. He could bust out, but he also has some Giannis to him. If Rosas hires someone like Finch or Ham, I'm all-in on drafting him - something I couldn't say about a Layden/Saunders combo. There is also a really good chance he goes before our pick.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker may not be a star, but I'd take him ahead of Barrett or Reddish and I think he's going to be a better pro than most of the guys drafted ahead of him (and after #2).

Bol Bol busting is the easiest call in this draft.
Post #: 45
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 5/14/2019 11:19:44 PM   
Matt Lang


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NBADraft.net says we’re getting:
https://www.nbadraft.net/players/cameron-reddish

Hopefully that’s wrong.
Post #: 46
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 5/14/2019 11:34:17 PM   
David Levine


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Delete that bookmark...it’s time...
Post #: 47
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 5/14/2019 11:54:23 PM   
Matt Lang


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Great news! They haven’t updated their mock since April 30, so we’re not getting Reddish now afterall
Post #: 48
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 5/15/2019 8:11:12 AM   
kgdabom

 

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No Reddish and really hope he goes before us to push a better player down.

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Post #: 49
RE: 2019 NBA Draft - 5/15/2019 8:41:45 AM   
TJSweens


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quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

Holy shit, Brandon Clarke...

Impressively logged as many blocks as missed shots during the regular season at Gonzaga.


He looks like a nice player, but from what I am reading in The Ringer, he doesn't sound like an ideal fit with KAT.

From The Ringer:

Unless he develops a spot-up 3, he’ll need to play like a center on offense, which could create matchup issues for his team.
Ideal role is small-ball 5, but a lack of length and strength will hinder his ability to defend larger elite bigs like Joel Embiid and Karl-Anthony Towns.


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