From: Nashville, TN
ORIGINAL: Jim Frenette
I'd say Utah is a virtual lock to keep their pick. They'd have to pick up 4 games with 11 or so to go to not keep it.
But Memphis COULD keep theirs too. They're 1 game up in the loss column vs. Phoenix and 2 vs. Houston.
Phoenix: @LAL, TOR, NO, DAL, @SAC, OKC, LAC, @SAS, @CHI, @MIN, @NO, @DAL, MIN, SAS
Memphis: @BOS, @CHI, SAS, GS, @NO, MIN, LAC, SAC, NO, @POR, @LAC
Houston: GS, @MIA, @NJ, @PHI, SAS, ATL, SAC, @NO, LAC, DAL, @MIN
I put projected "wins" in bold, just going strictly by record. If that were to happen, it would leave:
Obviously we have no clue what actually happens; regular season games are volatile. And Gay is out for the year for Memphis.
Hollinger has playoff odds at:
New Orleans: 82.2%
Whoops, screwed up; edited it.
I'm assuming you did that before knowing Rudy Gay out for rest of year
We just don't know what that full effect will be, so I just did it based on records alone.
"People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring."