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Trekgeekscott -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/5/2010 7:48:51 AM)

Time to review my preseason predictions!  I'll start with the NFC.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

OK, time for my predictions for the 2009 NFL Season.
 
We will start with the NFC.
 
NFC West
Sucky division will once again send crap to the playoffs (although last year’s crap made it to and almost won the SB).

 
Division is still sucky.  And only sent one team to the playoffs this year.

 
quote:

Arizona – is a bit of a surprising team.  They didn’t win a lot of games last year, but won in the playoffs.  They need to get there again to have any chance.  Their offense will depend a great deal on Kurt Warner staying upright all year and not missing time.  If he goes down.,  so do the Cards’ hopes.  That’s a lot to pin on a 38 year old immobile QB.


They won more games this year, including embarassing the Vikings in the dessert.  They wont surprise anyone this year though in the playoffs. 

quote:

Seattle – It all depends on the QB here too.  If Hasselbeck gets ouchy again…Seattle will disappear again…but they can’t possibly have the same number of injuries to one position (WR)  like they did last year.  The only thing keeping this team from returning to the top of this division is the coaching situation.  Jim Mora Jr proved pretty inconsistent in Atlanta…will that continue here.
 
Well Hasselbeck stayed relatively healthy, WRs did to.  Houshmazadeh should have improved the WR corps...but the Seahawks still sucked.  Jim Mora is a bad HC.  Why do NFL teams keep hiring HCs that failed elsewhere?

 
quote:

San Francisco – May have a pretty good running game…they’d better…cause their passing game will be horrendous.  Their defense should be good.  They could surprise, but I think the QB situation will be their downfall.  Alex Smith or Shaun Hill folks?  Pick your poison.
 
Vernon Davis emerged, Alex Smith may have saved his career, Crabtree could be good and this team is on the rise.  QB play did hold them back a bit.  Next year, a real threat to make the playoffs.

 
quote:

St. Louis – Unless they pull a Dolphins they are in complete rebuilding mode (in this division it is entirely possible.  Don’t expect much from this team. 

 
OK. So do they draft a QBOTF or that Suh guy?

 
quote:

Division winner:  Seattle recovers.  Stays healthy at QB and WR and wins the division with a 9-7 record.  Nobody else from this division goes to the playoffs.
 
Got that one wrong.  Arizona repeats.  SF improves, Rams stink as expected...Seattle didn't improve. 

 
quote:

NFC South
 
Carolina – It’s falling apart fast down there.  Delhomme is getting old and can’t stay healthy.  The defense will struggle.  John Fox will be one of the first casualties in next offseason’s coaching carousel..  Deangelo Williams will be their only bright spot.
 
I was wrong, they had TWO bright spots.  Williams and Jonathan Stewart.  Fox will probably keep his job, but that's still up in the air.  Carolina certainly fell back to Earth.

 
quote:

Tampa – See St. Louis…total rebuild mode.  New coach, New QB, Just fired the OC.  This team is not going to compete much this year. 


Nailed that one!

quote:

New Orleans – Biggest coaching pickup of the year.  Williams the DC.  This teams offense will rack up huge yards and score plenty of points.  The Defense has to improve and they did a LOT this offseason to improve it…most importantly getting one of the better DCs out there.
 
Did a lot better than I thought they would. 

 
quote:

Atlanta – Will fight for a WC again…but will miss out this time.  I believe Matt Ryan will still have a good year…but they will regress a bit and miss the playoffs again.
Division winner:  Saints.   Only WC chance here is Atlanta…
 
Pretty much nailed that one!

 
quote:

NFC East
 
NY Giants – Big ??? at WR and Eli struggled when he didn’t have a reliable out guy to pass to once Plaxico shot himself.  Defense should be dominant again…but reports are Usi isn’t looking recovered yet.  Could be problematic
 
Started great, fell apart late.  Problematic to say the least.

 
quote:

Washington – Who will Jason Campbell throw to?  The defense should be improved and if they play run run run they will win a few.
 
Wow did they suck.

 
quote:

Dallas – They have some interesting players, But Wade Phillips is not going to be able to keep up the façade of how he’s coaching all season.  He just isn’t this kind of guy.  It wont last.  Losing TO will help and hurt.  Getting Felix Jones back will help.  The defense might struggle a little bit.  Tony Romo will show once and for all if he’s all that or not (I think it’s not).
 
Wade Phillips is coaching for his career, I think he may have extended it one more year if he wins a playoff game.

 
quote:

Philly – have just lost too much and will be depending on TWO undersized WRs for the bulk of their passing game.  Vick circus will distract the team a bit too.  I see a big fall off here.
 
I was wrong.  They didn't fall off.  Nearly had the 2 seed in the playoffs.

 
quote:

Division winner:  Tough to call, but I pick the Giants.  Dallas and Washington will fight for the final WC spot. 
 
 
And as it turns out Dallas wins the Division and the Eagles the WC.  Giants tanked, Washington looked more abyssmal than I thought they could. 

quote:

NFC North
 
Minnesota Vikings – Weaknesses, QB, WR, Young Oline at two positions, and Safety.  Other than that, you have AD, Shianco poised for a big season and a D that will be dominating, improved ST, and a focus on Turnover ratio like never before.  This team will surprise a lot of pundits.
 
Favre turned out to be a strength.  WR turned out to be a strength, The Young OLine has had its moments.  But this team is about where I thought they would be, 12-4 with a first round bye.
 

 
quote:

Chicago – Will probably compete with Cutler at QB, but his addition is being way overblown.  He still has nothing to throw to, the Defense is getting old/slow and has been injury prone the past few years.  Forte will be the biggest factor.  He’s one of the better all around RBs in the league.  But I don’t think he will be enough.
 
 
Forte was the biggest factor...when he proved to be a fluke the Bears O went south.  and he wasn't enough...they finished the year with Aromapoopoo as their best WR in the last two games...that's sad.

quote:

Green Bay – Young D, new Scheme, Don’t let the preseason fool you.  They did all their best against vanilla offenses/defenses.  They will improve on last year, but are, like the Bears, a bit overhyped. 
 
 
Maybe not as overhyped as I thought, but I did get it right about their best against vanilla.  They did improve on last year.  and will be  tough out in the playoffs.  But they don't scare me.

 
quote:

Detroilet – I predict they will win more games this year than last year and still compete for the first overall pick in next year’s draft.  The rebuild is in progress, it will be a few years before they can compete. 
 
 
Couldn't have nailed that one better.

quote:

Division Winner:  Vikes (purple shades? Maybe, but I do see us repeating).
Nailed it.
 
quote:

Playoffs:
Vikings and Giants get a bye


I was wrong,  Saints got the bye.
 
quote:

Saints and Seattle play WC weekend
Packers and Redskins are wildcards…yes, I said Redskins.


And now I feel like a complete moron for picking the Redskins to do anything but suck. 
quote:

Seattle loses and Saints win on WC weekend
Packers move on, Redskins fade away.
 
Vikings beat Packers
Saints beat Giants.
 
Vikings host NFCCG and lose to Saints.
 
NFC Champs:  New Orleans Saints.


Only time will tell how the playoffs will play out.



Trekgeekscott -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/5/2010 8:00:23 AM)

And now I will review my AFC picks

quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

AFC Predictions for 2009
 
AFC West
 
Oakland – Fighting with the Chiefs and Lions for first overall pick in the 2010 draft…again…only they gave that pick away to the Patriots (morons).  This is now the worst run organization in the NFL.  And it wont get better for the black hole until old uncle Al kicks the bucket.

 
They actually did better than I thought.  But still suck and will continue to do so as long as old uncle Al is running things.

 
quote:

Chiefs – in full rebuilding mode.  Matt Cassel experiment is going to be a big catastrophe if you ask me.  Defense it young…team is going to suck…like Oakland challenging for the first overall pick in next year’s draft.
 
Cassel wasn't as bad as I thought, but didn't really do anything noteworthy.  Chiefs did get better once they dumped malcontent Larry Johnson.  Won some games nobody expected them to.  Bright future ahead for Chiefs fans...still a couple of years away though IMHO.

 
quote:

Broncos – Oh what a mess.  Marshall, Cutler, new coach, Orton looks like crap…they probably would have been better off not firing Shanahan. 

 
First half of the season they looked like they were proving me wrong.  Then the mess returned. 

 
quote:

San Diego – Should walk all over their own division considering the competition…the only thing that can stop this team from winning the division is itself.  Merriman imploding off field…Norv Turner is the head Coach…Tomlinson isn’t getting any younger.  Team must win now.
 
Division goes to the Chargers…No other team will make the playoffs.
 
Nailed that one.

 
quote:

AFC South
 
Houston – If Schaub can stay healthy they are poised to make a move.  Stellar defense, one of the best WRs in the game (Andre Johnson), good RB (Slaton), good to great TE (Daniels).  They should be pretty damn good and make their first playoffs as a WC.


They came a eyelash short of that WC.  


quote:

Tennessee – Another team that will depend on stellar play from an aging QB.  If Collins goes down, just like the Cardinals, this team is doomed.  The defense will have a fall off after losing Haynseworth.  But health is good and this team will challenge for the division title.
 
Collins went down alright...just not to injury, just his own sucky play.  Chris Johnson lit the NFL on fire with his play, Vince Young looked like a serviceable QB, Titans started bad, finished strong...and if they had the balls to switch to Young earlier may have made the playoffs. 

 
quote:

Indianapolis – Peyton Manning makes the team competitive…but I have a feeling down deep in my stomach that this will be a year they miss the playoffs.  The rise of Houston and new coaches etc.  Manning can’t do it all himself and they struggle more than they expect.  Losing Dungy will be HUGE.
 
Well, I sure blew that one.  Losing Dungy didn't seem to hurt them at all.  Manning, it seems, can do it all himself. 

 
quote:

Jacksonville – Will anyone go to see the games.  They are actually going to depend on David Garrard and Troy Williamson.  Maurice Jones-Drew will be the only bright spot.
Nailed that one.
 
quote:

Tennessee wins division, Houston gets WC, Indy just misses playoffs.
 
WAY off here.  I feel stupid.

 
quote:

AFC East
 
New England Patriots - With Tom Brady back and Fred Taylor added to the running game…this team should retake the division this year.  The only concern I would have, were I a Patriots fan, is the loss of experience on the defense.  They may need to score 30-35 points a game.
And I was right it seems on all counts. 


quote:

Miami – Will surprise NO ONE this year.  They will show just how much of a fluke they were last year and return to 8-8 record. 

 
Well, they sure returned to earth, didn't they?

 
quote:

New York Jets – New Coach, new attitude, same results.  They will finish the season staring at the Patriot’s ass.  Sanchez will look good and bad, and will eventually crack a little under the NY pressure.  He’s not playing in Baltimore or Atlanta, so don’t expect Flacco/Ryan results.
 
Sanchez was good and bad, Jets made the playoffs staring at the Patriots ass.

 
quote:

Buffalo – TO will make it entertaining, but Dick Jauron is on his way out. 

 
Nailed it.

 
quote:

Division winner – New England.  No other team makes the playoffs.


I was right about NE, wrong about the WC.  Jets are in.

AFC North
 
quote:

Slugfest here we come.
 
Pittsburgh – Will make one hell of a go at repeating as champs.  Defense is still one violent unit.  Awesome rivalry with Baltimore will continue.
 
And they laid a gargantuan dinosaur egg in defending their title...couldn't even make the playoffs. 


quote:

Baltimore – Can games between these two teams get more brutal? 

 
Still tough.  Still made the playoffs.

 
quote:

Cincinnati and Cleveland have done nothing to show they will not continue to suck.
Cleveland still sucks.  Cincy surprised the shit out of me...but will be one and done in the playoffs.


 
quote:

Division is a toss up – depends on the play of Flacco and Roethlisberger.  One of them wins the division, the other the WC.
 
One of them did win a WC...but the division winner shocked me.
quote:

 
AFC Playoffs
WC round
Baltimore defeats Tennessee
San Diego defeats Houston
 
Division Round
Pittsburgh defeats San Diego
New England defeats Baltimore
 
AFCCG
Pittsburgh rocks New England’s world.
 
AFC Champ for the second year in a row: Pittsburgh.
 
So that puts the Steelers/Saints in the SB.  And I think the Saints upset the heavily favored Steelers and take home the title. 
 
I must be high.


Yep....I was high.



Lars -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/5/2010 9:32:14 AM)

I think those predictions were pretty good.  I'd stack them up against any put out there by any sports media type!



John Childress -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/5/2010 12:15:57 PM)

Pulled these over from the other thread

quote:


NY Giants 11-5
Philadelphia 10-6
Dallas 9-7
Washington 7-9

Green Bay 11-5
Minnesota 11-5
Chicago 9-7
Detroit 4-12

Atlanta 11-5
New Orleans 11-5
Carolina 9-7
Tampa Bay 5-11


Seattle 9-7
Arizona 9-7
San Francisco 7-9
St. Louis 3-13

New England 12-4
Miami 9-7
Buffalo 8-8
NY Jets 6-10

Pittsburgh 12-4
Baltimore 11-5
Cincinnati 8-8
Cleveland 2-12

Indianapolis 13-3
Jacksonville 10-6
Houston 9-7
Tennessee 8-8

San Diego 12-4
Oakland 9-7
Denver 6-10
Kansas City 5-11
quote:

ORIGINAL: John Childress

What are your bold predictions for the rest of the NFL?

1st crack at it (to be revised before Week 1 begins)



NY Giants  11-5
Philadelphia  10-6
Dallas  9-7
Washington  7-9

Switch Dallas and NYG and it is closer.  Washington even worse than I thought.

Green Bay  11-5
Minnesota  11-5
Chicago  9-7
Detroit  4-12

Not too far off - Vikings take division by 1 game (really 2)


Atlanta  11-5
New Orleans  11-5
Carolina  9-7
Tampa Bay  5-11

Should have listened to my good buddy and realized ATL would take a step back.  Panthers wasted 2 months with Delhomme.  Saints 2 games better in record but are they really a 13 win team?


Seattle  9-7
Arizona  9-7
San Francisco  7-9
St. Louis 3-13

Pretty close except Seattle fell off!

New England  12-4
Miami  9-7
Buffalo  8-8
NY Jets  6-10

All did worse than his significantly but the JETS who benefited from 2 lay down games

Pittsburgh  12-4
Baltimore  11-5
Cincinnati  8-8
Cleveland  2-12

Of course way off on Steelers.  Polomalu and O Line.  Bengals, like Denver, rode early season success but, unlike Denver, were able to hold on.

Indianapolis  13-3
Jacksonville  10-6
Houston 9-7
Tennessee  8-8

Pretty close except Jags fell off the face of the earth after leading the wild card race.

San Diego  12-4
Oakland  9-7
Denver  6-10
Kansas City  5-11

Flip Raiders and Denver and I was closer.



69in09 -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/6/2010 1:35:51 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: John Childress

Pulled these over from the other thread

quote:


NY Giants 11-5
Philadelphia 10-6
Dallas 9-7
Washington 7-9

Green Bay 11-5
Minnesota 11-5
Chicago 9-7
Detroit 4-12

Atlanta 11-5
New Orleans 11-5
Carolina 9-7
Tampa Bay 5-11


Seattle 9-7
Arizona 9-7
San Francisco 7-9
St. Louis 3-13

New England 12-4
Miami 9-7
Buffalo 8-8
NY Jets 6-10

Pittsburgh 12-4
Baltimore 11-5
Cincinnati 8-8
Cleveland 2-12

Indianapolis 13-3
Jacksonville 10-6
Houston 9-7
Tennessee 8-8

San Diego 12-4
Oakland 9-7
Denver 6-10
Kansas City 5-11
quote:

ORIGINAL: John Childress

What are your bold predictions for the rest of the NFL?

1st crack at it (to be revised before Week 1 begins)



NY Giants  11-5
Philadelphia  10-6
Dallas  9-7
Washington  7-9

Switch Dallas and NYG and it is closer.  Washington even worse than I thought.

Green Bay  11-5
Minnesota  11-5
Chicago  9-7
Detroit  4-12

Not too far off - Vikings take division by 1 game (really 2)


Atlanta  11-5
New Orleans  11-5
Carolina  9-7
Tampa Bay  5-11

Should have listened to my good buddy and realized ATL would take a step back.  Panthers wasted 2 months with Delhomme.  Saints 2 games better in record but are they really a 13 win team?


Seattle  9-7
Arizona  9-7
San Francisco  7-9
St. Louis 3-13

Pretty close except Seattle fell off!

New England  12-4
Miami  9-7
Buffalo  8-8
NY Jets  6-10

All did worse than his significantly but the JETS who benefited from 2 lay down games

Pittsburgh  12-4
Baltimore  11-5
Cincinnati  8-8
Cleveland  2-12

Of course way off on Steelers.  Polomalu and O Line.  Bengals, like Denver, rode early season success but, unlike Denver, were able to hold on.

Indianapolis  13-3
Jacksonville  10-6
Houston 9-7
Tennessee  8-8

Pretty close except Jags fell off the face of the earth after leading the wild card race.

San Diego  12-4
Oakland  9-7
Denver  6-10
Kansas City  5-11

Flip Raiders and Denver and I was closer.



Well done. You probably had about 80% of the teams only 2 games off or less.   



69in09 -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/7/2010 2:00:16 PM)

Wild card weekend
All home teams win.

then
Cinc over SD
Indy over NE
Ariz over NO
Minn over Dal

Indy over Cinc
Minn over Ariz

Minn over Indy

lock it up



Lynn G. -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/7/2010 3:09:50 PM)

PLEASE tell me that you're psychic 69. That would be a great outcome and I would love it if you tell us that you've secretly got the inside scoop.

{crossing fingers and toes}



bohumm -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/7/2010 3:19:20 PM)

This week:

Dallas over Philly
GB over AZ
Balt over NE
NYJ over Cincy



John Childress -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/7/2010 4:14:02 PM)

I will bet the ranch that the Bengals dont beat the Chargers



David Levine -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/7/2010 5:38:35 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: John Childress

I will bet the ranch that the Bengals dont beat the Chargers


I think there is a good chance the Bengals don't make it to the Chargers.



69in09 -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/7/2010 6:40:45 PM)

Go ahead and sleep on Kyries Herbert. But do it at your own peril.



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/7/2010 9:41:59 PM)

Pack over Cards - The Pack might match up well against them and the Cards are banged up.  I think the Packers will win handily if the refs allow them to commit PI with few calls.  IF the refs call it tighter, and it's a close game I think Arizona will win because they have a better coach, GB has a kicker that is struggling.  GB leads the whole way and wins by 10. 

Philly over Dallas - Philly finds a way to get it done, big plays, McNabb looks great. 

NY Jets over Cincy

NE over Baltimore - I ALMOST went with all 4 road teams.  I could easily see Baltimore pulling this one out, like they almost did in Minnesota, but I think NE usually gets favorable officiating at home, therefore the Ravens lack of speed at WR which results in a lot of pushoffs will eventually do them in, and I think it happens here.



Jim Frenette -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/8/2010 10:22:50 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

Pack over Cards - The Pack might match up well against them and the Cards are banged up.  I think the Packers will win handily if the refs allow them to commit PI with few calls.  IF the refs call it tighter, and it's a close game I think Arizona will win because they have a better coach, GB has a kicker that is struggling.  GB leads the whole way and wins by 10. 

Philly over Dallas - Philly finds a way to get it done, big plays, McNabb looks great. 

NY Jets over Cincy

NE over Baltimore - I ALMOST went with all 4 road teams.  I could easily see Baltimore pulling this one out, like they almost did in Minnesota, but I think NE usually gets favorable officiating at home, therefore the Ravens lack of speed at WR which results in a lot of pushoffs will eventually do them in, and I think it happens here.


What's the story on Woodson? Is he good to go? If not, the Pack are in big trouble

I already placed some money on the Bengals and if I win, that money will go on the Cardinals



Jeff Jesser -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/8/2010 10:24:02 AM)

Pukers will beat the Cards but Philly will get rolled again by the Girls.  



Lynn G. -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/8/2010 10:59:39 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Jim Frenette

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

Pack over Cards - The Pack might match up well against them and the Cards are banged up.  I think the Packers will win handily if the refs allow them to commit PI with few calls.  IF the refs call it tighter, and it's a close game I think Arizona will win because they have a better coach, GB has a kicker that is struggling.  GB leads the whole way and wins by 10. 

Philly over Dallas - Philly finds a way to get it done, big plays, McNabb looks great. 

NY Jets over Cincy

NE over Baltimore - I ALMOST went with all 4 road teams.  I could easily see Baltimore pulling this one out, like they almost did in Minnesota, but I think NE usually gets favorable officiating at home, therefore the Ravens lack of speed at WR which results in a lot of pushoffs will eventually do them in, and I think it happens here.


What's the story on Woodson? Is he good to go? If not, the Pack are in big trouble

I already placed some money on the Bengals and if I win, that money will go on the Cardinals


I guess coach McCarthy has said that Woodson is just fine. It's true that he would be a huge loss if he couldn't play on Sunday.

I think a lot of the pundits are underestimating the Cardinals and their ability to play at a high level in a game that counts. They didn't put much out there last weekend after they learned that the Vikings had won - but this weekend they'll be firing on all cylinders. When Kurt Warner is hot - he's almost unstoppable.

And on the other side - the only good team that the Packers have beat is the Cowboys. Their other wins have been unremarkable, and they lost to the Buccaneers!

No question they're a better team than they were in the first half of the season, but I don't think they can beat playoff teams at this stage.



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/11/2010 9:56:44 AM)

Good call Lynn.

I got just 1 of 4 predections right, but I must confess I willed ALL 4 of the winners to wins this last weekend.  EVERY team that I wanted to win, won !

JETS - I just liked the Jets more than I liked Cincy.

COWBOYS - I did NOT want Philly to win, because that might mean the Vikes would get the Packers right away.

RAVENS - I did NOT want my preseason prediction of Patriots over Vikings in the SB to REALLY happen.  But I do NOT want the Vikes playing the Ravens in the SB, Flacco can really turn it on, Rice is awesme, and their kicker might not miss the next time.

CARDS - When it really got down to it, I didn't know if my heart could take a GB/MIN rematch in the playoffs.  I think the Vikes COULD beat Arizona in the Championship.



Lynn G. -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/11/2010 10:16:58 AM)

quote:

COWBOYS - I did NOT want Philly to win, because that might mean the Vikes would get the Packers right away.


That was exactly how I felt too. I really, really wanted the Cowboys to win because I didn't want to take the chance of a third game against the Packers - although now that everything has played out I'm having one of those "be careful what you wish for moments." [:D]



Zoilo -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/11/2010 10:32:03 AM)

Arizona over New Orleans
Indy over Baltimore
Minnesota over Dallas
San Diego over NYJ

Minnesota over Arizona
San Diego over Indy

Minnesota over San Diego



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/16/2010 12:12:09 AM)

I don't care if I once again get 1 of 4 right, I'm hoping to WILL the 4 teams I want to win to victory, just like last week !

New Orleans over Arizona
Indy over Baltimore
Minnesota over Dallas
NY Jets over SD

I'm ONLY picking the Jets if the other 3 home teams all have won - if ANY visiting team wins, then I'll go with the Chargers. Nobody will be giving the Jets much of a shot. The Jets can run the ball well (T Jones does well in playoff games) and keep the game close. This season, Rivers has started slow in a lot of games and came on at the end. IF he does that this time, it mght be too tough if the Jets get a 4th quarter pick.

THOSE are my picks, if I were trying to will teams like last week, I would want Arizona, Baltimore, Minnesota, NY Jets.



thebigo -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/16/2010 12:22:32 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

Good call Lynn.

I got just 1 of 4 predections right, but I must confess I willed ALL 4 of the winners to wins this last weekend.  EVERY team that I wanted to win, won !

JETS - I just liked the Jets more than I liked Cincy.

COWBOYS - I did NOT want Philly to win, because that might mean the Vikes would get the Packers right away.

RAVENS - I did NOT want my preseason prediction of Patriots over Vikings in the SB to REALLY happen.  But I do NOT want the Vikes playing the Ravens in the SB, Flacco can really turn it on, Rice is awesme, and their kicker might not miss the next time.

CARDS - When it really got down to it, I didn't know if my heart could take a GB/MIN rematch in the playoffs.  I think the Vikes COULD beat Arizona in the Championship.


Torn between two lovers?



Brad H -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/16/2010 7:21:17 AM)

Over the past four years, teams with a bye in week one are 7-9 in week two.

IMO, the team least likely to win on the road is Arizona.  Of the last six teams to score 50 in the playoffs, only one of them has won the next week.  New Orleans 37, Arizona 27

In order to win on the road, you need defense.  If the Jets weren't playing the Chargers, I would pick them.  I just think it is too far to travel and get yourself up for another big win.  If Sanchez throws less than 20 times the Jets will win.    San Diego 26, New York 17

Dallas has a shot at beating Minnesota, but I like the Vikes at home.  They are a different team inside the dome, and I think the matchups are favorable.  Minnesota 27, Dallas 24

Personally, I just don't think Baltimore is that good.  I liked the choice of Indianapolis sitting guys with two weeks to play.  Indianapolis 31, Baltimore 17



Todd M -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/16/2010 7:26:05 AM)

How many of those 9 losses came from teams with nothing to play for down the stretch?



Brad H -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/16/2010 7:29:38 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Todd Mallett

How many of those 9 losses came from teams with nothing to play for down the stretch?

Don't know, just saw the stat.  The guy on the radio was making the point that having a bye isn't really a big advantage.



Todd M -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/16/2010 7:31:17 AM)

Maybe the numbers don't reflect it but I would guess fighting for the bye down to the wire - the bye helps. Wrapping the bye up early and having nothing to play for for weeks - does not.



John Childress -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/16/2010 7:40:26 AM)

You are missing the point of that stat.

Teams with a 1st round PLAYOFF BYE are struggling lately

quote:

In the playoffs for the 1990-1999 seasons, teams that received the first-round bye went 24-15-1 against the spread, better than 60 percent. It didn't matter how high the oddsmakers made the spreads, those teams in the 1990s dominated off the week of rest. The wild-card round was seen as a formality where teams got their taste of the playoffs and then got knocked out the next week (bye teams were 33-7 straight up during that stretch, better than 80 percent).


Since then, however, those bye teams are 15-20-1 (43 percent). We have seen wild-card teams not only cover the spreads in those games but routinely start making it to the league championship games and even the Super Bowl. So, let's not be too surprised if we see at least two underdogs at least cover the spread this week or win the games outright - and don't call the games boring if they do so in dominating fashion.


http://www.statfox.com/statfoxnews/news~articleid~5917~h~NFL-Playoff-Bye-Week-no-longer-a-big-advantage.htm



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