RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (Full Version)

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Bill Johanesen -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/27/2013 6:07:12 PM)

Looks like marty is 3-5 ATS for games so far today and a loss in his "lock".

Ouch.



drviking -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/27/2013 6:15:44 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Looks like marty is 3-5 ATS for games so far today and a loss in his "lock".

Ouch.



YAHOO!!!!

I am in first place!!!



Brad H -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/27/2013 8:50:10 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

Brad, for my lock, I'm going to go with KC -7 1/2 (over Cleveland).

The site you listed (footballlocks.com) should be just fine.

Hmmmm, I got you right where I want you.



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/28/2013 10:46:50 PM)

You've got nothin' Brad.

We have a 4 way tie, and I'll list the newcomers 1st as they didn't do picks the 1st few weeks.

1) DrViking 1
2) Ricky 1
3) Marty 1
4) Brad 1



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/28/2013 10:51:31 PM)

Brad, I think we should come up with some sort of agreed upon tiebreaker, and also decide when we are going to end this, regular season, or all the way to the SB.

This is getting fun. So far, Brad and myself suck. But we are embracing the suck. We'll see if the newcomers have any stamina, and how long can they avoid the suck.



Prescott -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/29/2013 6:09:15 AM)

Make sure you get my "Adrian Peterson won't be traded lock" in there. [;)]



Brad H -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/29/2013 1:06:42 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

Brad, I think we should come up with some sort of agreed upon tiebreaker, and also decide when we are going to end this, regular season, or all the way to the SB.

This is getting fun. So far, Brad and myself suck. But we are embracing the suck. We'll see if the newcomers have any stamina, and how long can they avoid the suck.

We are beyond bad. I had a chance to change last week and didn't. I heard this guy giving me a ton of reasons to take Cleveland and the points and opted to stay with Seattle.



drviking -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/29/2013 1:24:25 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Brad H

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

Brad, I think we should come up with some sort of agreed upon tiebreaker, and also decide when we are going to end this, regular season, or all the way to the SB.

This is getting fun. So far, Brad and myself suck. But we are embracing the suck. We'll see if the newcomers have any stamina, and how long can they avoid the suck.

We are beyond bad. I had a chance to change last week and didn't. I heard this guy giving me a ton of reasons to take Cleveland and the points and opted to stay with Seattle.


You guys are way behind the coin flip....on your "locks"


I think you guys should go with the George costanza "do the opposite" theory



Brad H -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/29/2013 1:25:33 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: drviking

quote:

ORIGINAL: Brad H

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

Brad, I think we should come up with some sort of agreed upon tiebreaker, and also decide when we are going to end this, regular season, or all the way to the SB.

This is getting fun. So far, Brad and myself suck. But we are embracing the suck. We'll see if the newcomers have any stamina, and how long can they avoid the suck.

We are beyond bad. I had a chance to change last week and didn't. I heard this guy giving me a ton of reasons to take Cleveland and the points and opted to stay with Seattle.


You guys are way behind the coin flip....on your "locks"


I think you guys should go with the George costanza "do the opposite" theory

Agree entirely. I knew I wasn't worth a shit at this stuff from the beginning. Only Marty can make me look average.



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/29/2013 8:50:08 PM)

I can't make you look average Brad, we make each other look HORRIBLE !

This is quite funny. I think we should have called it something other than 'locks' of the week.

This isn't really an easy thing, or we'd be quite wealthy if we could consistently pick locks and put money on them.

Brad, we need to pick up the slack. Ricky caught us in his 1st week of action. We'll see what kind of stamina the boy has. Brad, if you don't pick up things on your end, somebody is going to pick the opposite of you, like DrViking is doing with my picks, and they might end up passing DrViking ! [&:]

----------------------------------------------------
As an aside, a long time ago, I had a co-worker that wanted to bet on some NFL games. He said he just wanted some action on the games to make them more exciting to watch. We started out just discussing games and point spreads, and I would just pick a game against him, betting on 1 game a week. I won the 1st 6 weeks, just figuring out what his favorite bet was, and taking the opposite. Then he won 1 week, and I won the next 2. After that, he figured out that I was just taking the opposite of his best pick, and he decided we should just end this, it just wasn't that fun for him anymore. [&:] I won 8 of 9 weeks, if you were doing the math.



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/29/2013 9:19:02 PM)

Brad, I only caught brief parts of the Monday night football game. The parts I caught, it did seem like the officiating was favoring the underdog Rams. Do you think it was a possible 'sway' so the Rams cover, or so the Rams win ?

Seattle can't seem to stop the run, so the Packers should run all over them. SF seems like about the only team that can stop the Packers from once again winning the SB, with their storyline, winning it with backups and half the guys out with injuries.



Brad H -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/30/2013 2:03:48 PM)

All right, here are the spreads for this week.

http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_lines.shtml



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (10/31/2013 8:51:21 PM)

I didn't realize there was a game tonight. I caught the score as I was looking at a sports website, it had Miami up 7-3. I would have picked Cincy to win that one.



Ricky J -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (11/2/2013 5:45:29 PM)

Lock obviously is Seattle

Upset will be NYJ



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (11/2/2013 10:51:36 PM)

I was going to consider using this source to help narrow down a lock, but I might have to go the opposite of this 'expert', as he went 4-8 last week:

http://www.bucsnation.com/2013/10/27/5033792/nfl-picks-against-the-spread-week-8-bet-on-the-jaguars-every-week

So, Ricky, you're going with Seattle - 15 1/2 ?



drviking -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (11/2/2013 10:58:14 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

I was going to consider using this source to help narrow down a lock, but I might have to go the opposite of this 'expert', as he went 4-8 last week:

http://www.bucsnation.com/2013/10/27/5033792/nfl-picks-against-the-spread-week-8-bet-on-the-jaguars-every-week

So, Ricky, you're going with Seattle - 15 1/2 ?


Actually, in your world, he should go at least 8-4 this week cuz of regression to the mean....


But since he is an expert his mean should be even better than 50-50, so really he will go 10-2 to bring his average over fifty percent

Thus he should be the lock of the week


Unless he subconsciously wants to tear his ACL...



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (11/2/2013 11:08:35 PM)

You have a point DrViking, assuming he can regress to the mean in one week. But if it takes 6 or 7 weeks, that's a different story.

Last week, I missed the 1st Super Teaser by ONE game (got 13 out of 14), only missed on the Jets:

1) Det +7, NY Giants + 16 1/2, KC +3, NO - 2 1/2, NE + 6 1/2, NY Jets + 17, OAK + 11 1/2, Den -3, Ari + 7 1/2, MIN +16, Seattle pick, Was/Den O 43 1/2, Clev/KC U 50, Dal/Det O 41

Missed by 3 teams on the other one (got 11 of 14), Jets, PHI, and Wash:

2) Det +7, Dallas +13, NY Giants +16 1/2, PHI +3 1/2, Mia + 14 1/2, KC +3, NO - 2 1/2, NY Jets +17, SF - 3 1/2, Pittsburgh + 8 1/2, Wash + 23, GB +4, Seattle pick, Was/Den O 43 1/2



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (11/2/2013 11:28:50 PM)

Picks for this week:

CAR over Atl
DAL over Min
NO over Jets
St. LOUIS over Ten
K.C. over Buf
S.D. over Wash
OAK over Philly
SEA over Tampa
BALT over Cleveland
N.E. over Pitts
Indy over HOU
G.B. over Chi



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (11/2/2013 11:36:59 PM)

A couple of Super Teasers:

1) CAR + 2 1/2, DAL pick, K.C. + 6 1/2, S.D. + 11, SEA - 5.5, BALT +8, N.E. + 3.5, GB -1, ST. LOUIS + 13, Indy +8, Min/Dal O 39, KC/BUF U 50, SF/WASH O 41, Balt/CLEV U 51

2) CAR 2 1/2, DAL pick, K.C. + 6 1/2, S.D + 11, SEA - 5.5, BALT +8, N.E + 3.5, GB -1, OAK + 7 1/2, Ten/St LOU O 29, NO/NY JETS U 56, Indy/HOU O 34, Pitts/NE O 34, Chi/GB U 60



marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (11/2/2013 11:54:36 PM)

My lock of the week:

Baltimore -2 over Cleveland

I think Baltimore should win by a FG or more.



Duane Sampson -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (11/3/2013 8:16:19 AM)

My Prediction: Joe Webb will not play QB [&:]


[image]http://img.gawkerassets.com/img/18amb69xjthfggif/k-bigpic.gif[/image]



Bill Jandro -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (11/3/2013 8:32:14 AM)

Thanks Duane. I almost had that play erased from my brain.



Brad H -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (11/3/2013 10:45:07 AM)

Dang, I better come up with something quick. Eeny, meene, miny moe. I'll take Seattle and give the 15.5.



Ian Joseph -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (11/3/2013 4:07:55 PM)

Tampa Bay is whupping Seattles ass. Wow!



drviking -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (11/3/2013 6:21:24 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Brad H

Dang, I better come up with something quick. Eeny, meene, miny moe. I'll take Seattle and give the 15.5.




Coinflip is owning you



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