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djskillz -> RE: Baseball Trivia (7/7/2011 10:21:32 AM)
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I know this is the trivia thread, but what do you guys think of the chances of some of these guys to make it to 3,000? Again, my thought would be:
1-Jeter, obviously a lock.
2-Pudge, 39, 2842. Going to be really tough for him, playing behind Ramos. But maybe.
3-Vizquel, 44, 2831. I don't see it. He's only a bench player now so it might take him 2-3 more years.
4-ARod, 35, 2762. Virtual lock, barring injury.
5-Damon, 37, 2662. Might be pretty tough for him too. But maybe, with the shape he's in.
6-Chipper, 39, 2562. Don't see it. He'll retire in the next year or two.
7-Vlad, 36, 2511. I could see this one. But it will all depend on him and how long he wants to play.
8-Tejada, 37, 2350. No chance.
9-Abreu, 37, 2342. No chance.
10-Ichiro, 37, 2342. I could see him being the type of player that hangs on, and it's a really important record for him. I say he makes it, at the age of 44 or something.
So from that list, after Jeter, I see only 2-3 making it. After that, the next real threats for 3,000 are Beltre/Pujols/Michael Young, none of which have reached 2,000 yet. But I like the chances of Pujols/Young to make it. I think Beltre is older than he's listed and won't quite make it. And after that, there's another big gap and we get down to Crawford/Cabrera, who are both around 1500 and still not 30 yet. I see both of those guys making it.
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