Mazzenga out on a super close play inning over. In this instance the Gophers bunted the runner from second to third. Here is a statistical analysis of bunting the runner from 1st to 2nd.
According to Dan Levitt of baseballanalysts.com, using a study that gathered information over 15 years of professional baseball, the expected run table for an inning sets at .877 in situations where there is a runner at first with no outs. However, if you decide to bunt the runner over, your expected run table for the inning drops to .693 with a runner on second and one out.
In essence, you are voluntarily killing your own rally.
In addition to the expected run table, basic percentages say that the sac bunt is the wrong play. According to Baseball Prospectus, you have a 24.4 percent better chance of scoring a runner from first with no outs than you have of scoring a runner from second with one out. 24.4 percent! Swing away.
You're giving stats that don't fit the situation. We bunted a guy from 2nd to 3rd, not 1st to 2nd. What are the correct stats?
I said I don't have those stats. I couldn't find them at a quick glance. I did find some references to that stating it was a bad play also, but not with the same great stats against bunting the runner from first to second.
"So let it be written.
So let it be done."