marty
Posts: 13047
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: online
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Heave snort. Especially in context. Just to be clear, you talked your buddy into betting on them, while you passed on putting down a bet. And then laid out your friends summer plans, so that if you don't put your bet down it's going to be because their plans don't coincide with your optimum betting window, you won't have anyone in Vegas. Nice. Prescott, I really had no idea my friend was going to bet on the Pack, I just told him the way I was planning on betting it (a certain amount on the Packers, and then enough on Seattle to cover THAT bet). I passed on the bet for now because I really feel there are too many questions with the Pack. I didn't lay out my friends summer plans, I only mentioned that I know people that are going out in April, but not in May. I'm hoping there is somebody going out in May. I'm not considering this bet for any kind of bragging rights, YOU made it that type of thing by challenging whether or not I would bet on the Pack. I think the Packers MIGHT win another SB with Aaron Rodgers, and about the only way I could stomach it, is if they make me some money and a free trip out to Vegas. I heard the Pack MIGHT be a little more aggressive in FA, figuring Rodgers is in his prime, and they might want to win a SB NOW, and not try to win 1 three years from now. I find this a little hard to believe, as they might have a tough time signing their OWN players. To win a SB, they don't necessarily need a defense that can stop people, but if they can generate turnovers from their 2ndary, they have a chance to go all the way. Instead of betting the Pack, two other teams that might be decent bets as somewhat long shots to win the SB: Carolina and San Diego, both starting out at 20-1. Texans at 40-1 might be a decent bet, if they draft Bridgewater or Manziel, but those odds might change quickly after the draft, if there is heavy betting on them. With choosing ANY of these long shots, I think it would be smart to bet enough on Seattle to repeat, where you break even or come out a little bit ahead if Seattle does repeat.
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