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RE: Players and prospects III

 
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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/10/2023 7:37:56 AM   
TJSweens


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Who is Walker Jenkins? Meet the 2023 MLB Draft's top high school prospect

Zac Al-Khateeb
07-09-2023

The MLB Draft is fast approaching, giving teams the chance to add to their farm systems with some of the top prospects of the 2023 class.

While there is growing uncertainty as to who will go first overall to the Pirates, there is a degree of certainty surrounding several prospects this year. Among them is Walker Jenkins, widely considered the top high school prospect of the draft.

The outfielder from South Brunswick High School in Boiling Spring Lakes, N.C. is projected to go no later than fifth overall to the Twins. Max Clark (Franklin, Ind.) is the most likely high school player to challenge him for that position, though the general consensus in the leadup to the draft is that Jenkins will go first.

The 6-3, 215-pound left-handed batter has proven to be among the top talents in the high school ranks over the previous two years, showcasing a plus arm and power at the plate. He will most likely play center or right at the next level.

Here's everything you need to know about Jenkins ahead of the 2023 draft, including mocks, big board rankings, stats and more:

Walker Jenkins MLB mock draft
Jenkins is widely projected to be the first high school prospect taken in the 2023 MLB Draft, including by The Sporting News' Edward Sutelan. TSN lists Jenkins as going fourth overall to the Rangers in the 2023 MLB Draft following selections of three collegiate players.

Writes Sutelan of Jenkins:

Following the three college bats, this would appear to be certain to be one of the top two high school outfielders. Max Clark has gotten a lot of buzz in this spot, but we're going with Walker Jenkins in the choice between the two bats. He's got a bit more offensive upside than Clark, though he'll likely have to move off center at some point in the pros.

Walker Jenkins big board ranking
Likewise, Jenkins is the consensus top high school prospect ahead of the draft — but not unanimous.

Per Sutelan:

If everything clicks, there isn't an average or below-average tool in his toolbox. Jenkins is an advanced prep bat with plenty of power already from the left side of the plate. There is a chance that as Jenkins develops, he loses some of his speed, though it figures to still remain an above-average skill for him. Jenkins' defensive home will either be in center or in right, and if he is forced to move to the corner, his mobility and arm strength could make him a top-tier defender out there.

Here is where Jenkins ranks in other industry big boards:

Big board Overall ranking High school ranking Positional ranking
TSN No. 4 No. 1 No. 3 outfielder
MLB No. 4 No. 1 No. 3 outfielder
The Athletic No. 5 No. 2 No. 4 outfielder
ESPN No. 4 No. 1 No. 3 outfielder
Baseball America No. 4 No. 1 No. 3 outfielder

MORE: Final big board of top-100 2023 MLB Draft prospects

Walker Jenkins Perfect Game rankings
Like most industry big boards, Jenkins ranks as the No. 1 overall high school player, per Perfect Game. He is also the top-rated high school outfielder and the top overall player in the state of North Carolina.

Walker Jenkins stats
Jenkins, who won the Gatorade North Carolina Baseball Player of the Year in 2022 and 2023, has used his 6-3, 215-pound frame to turn in an impressive stat line at South Brunswick.

Here are his stats from high school, via MaxPreps and various reports of his senior season:

Year Runs Home runs Avg. OBP Slug pct.
2019-20 4 0 .417 .500 .583
2020-21 21 4 .436 .582 .871
2021-22 49 10 .527 .628 1.032
2022-23 33 2 .417 .632 .633

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/10/2023 7:40:18 AM   
TJSweens


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Jenkins immediately slots in as #21 prospect in baseball.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/10/2023 7:45:33 AM   
TJSweens


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Twins Select Charlee Soto at #34 in the 2023 MLB Draft

Jamie Cameron
By Jamie Cameron

10 hours ago

With the 34th overall pick in the 2023 MLB Draft, the Minnesota Twins selected Charlee Soto, a right-handed pitcher out of Reborn Academy, Florida. Soto is the 36th ranked player on the Twins Daily Consensus Board. Charlee Soto is a 17 year old pitcher out of Reborn Academy, Florida. He is ranked 36th overall on the Twins Daily Consensus Board with rankings between 28 and 55 in the boards I use at inputs.

On the mound, Soto is a physical, impressive presence at 6'5, 210 pounds. Soto converted to pitching full time relatively recently, after playing as a shortstop for most of his early baseball career. On the mound, Soto's arsenal is headlined by a lively fastball, that sits between 94-96 mph but can grab 97-98 mph with regularity with good life at the top of the zone. He has a little noise in his operation on the mound, but that's hardly surprising for a player relatively new to pitching.

Soto has a pair of exciting secondaries. He features a sharp biting slider that sits in the mid 80s with plenty of bite and good spin rates (2300-2500 rpm). Additionally, he has a feel for a split change with a ton of good tumble and fade.

Soto has just average control currently, hardly surprising for a pitching prospect so young. He has one of the quickest arms in the entire draft class, and the Twins have shown a proclivity for adding velocity to their pitchers. Soto has the size, projectability, and emerging arsenal to be a force on the mound. The Twins will likely bring him along slowly (think Marco Raya). The clay is there to mold. The ingredients are incredibly exciting.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/10/2023 9:07:11 AM   
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Soto immediately slots in as #61 prospect in baseball.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/10/2023 9:20:55 AM   
TJSweens


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Luke Keaschall, 2B, Arizona State

Scouting grades: Hit: 55 | Power: 45 | Run: 55 | Arm: 50 | Field: 45 | Overall: 45

AGE 20
BATS R
DOB 08/15/2002
THROWS R
HT 6' 1"
WT 190

Keaschall spent his first two seasons of college at the University of San Francisco, posting a .916 OPS as a mainstay in the Dons’ lineup and infield. He has also spent two summers showing off his offensive skills and defensive versatility with Orleans in the Cape Cod League. After entering the transfer portal and moving to Arizona State, he’s showing scouts what he can do in a bigger conference.

A right-handed hitter, Keaschall has shown a good feel to hit throughout his college career and on the Cape. He makes a ton of contact and doesn’t panic with two strikes, with a solid approach that helped him walk as much as he struck out in his first two years at San Francisco, something that’s continued this spring. He started to tap into his power a bit as a sophomore and hit five homers on the Cape last summer, but he’s definitely hit-over-power with perhaps average future pop at best.

Keaschall can run a little and is aggressive on the basepaths. The big question is where he profiles best defensively. He played shortstop exclusively as a sophomore, but has played second base since moving to ASU, as he doesn’t have the arm to handle short long-term. He’s also seen time in the outfield on the Cape, but he might best fit as an offensive-minded second-base type at the next level.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/10/2023 1:09:04 PM   
David Levine


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Keth Law:

5. Minnesota Twins: Walker Jenkins, OF, South Brunswick High (Southport, N.C.)
No. 5 on Law’s Big Board


The Twins seemed to be much more interested in college hitters, so the pick of Jenkins is a mild surprise, especially since he is likely to require full slot. I know some scouts had him first on their personal pref lists and compare him to a young Larry Walker, seeing an athletic right fielder who has plus range and really, really hits. He has that build and a sweet left-handed swing that should produce hard contact and power. Like Clark, he hit well in showcases but was walked a ton in his senior spring while playing mediocre competition. This also means the top five were, in fact, the top five — the five players atop my board, and I think everyone’s boards, ended up going in the first five picks. No team decided to cut a deal to take a player outside of that quintet.

Scouting Report: Jenkins flew up boards this spring after a modest summer showing when he was hampered by a hamate injury. He looks the part of a top-of-the-draft hitter, 6-3, 205 pounds, lean and athletic and twitchy but with lots of room to add 20-25 pounds. He’s a plus runner, but I wouldn’t be shocked if he slid a little toward above-average as he filled out. He’s a left-handed hitter with a great swing that’s boosted by his outstanding bat control, allowing him to adjust mid-swing more than most teenagers can, and once he fills out he’ll probably have 30-homer power. He’s a center fielder now and a good one, although I could see him losing enough speed to move to right. He looks like he’ll hit like an All-Star right fielder, and maybe the UNC commit will end up staying in center, too.

34. Minnesota Twins: Charlee Soto, RHP, Reborn Christian Academy (Kissimmee, Fla.)
No. 31 on Law’s Big Board


Soto had some of the best stuff of any high school pitcher in the draft, three now pitches that could show plus, but he was a little tougher to see than most high school pitchers, sometimes going two weeks between starts. If he were 21, with exactly the same stuff and delivery, he’d be a top-10 pick, so the main question with him is whether he can stay healthy the next few years as someone who already throws pretty hard. But it all works pretty well and, beyond health, he mostly needs to work on consistency to the delivery and location.

Scouting Report: Soto has some of the best pure stuff in this draft class, with three pitches in his fastball, slider and split-changeup that can all show plus, along with a delivery he should be able to repeat for command. He’s been up to 98 mph with some riding life to the four-seamer, while the split-change has the sort of hard fading action you expect from that pitch and shows good separation and deception. His slider is more of a power slurve with a break almost straight down, but he seems to throw it for strikes and gets late bite on the pitch. He’s also one of the youngest pitchers in the draft, turning 18 at the end of August, and already is 6-foot-5 and listed at 210 pounds. Scouts found him difficult to see this spring as he’d often go two weeks between outings, and his command wasn’t where it was last summer on the showcase circuit. He’s as risky as any high school arm, but this stuff rivals that of White’s for the best among all prep pitchers this year.

https://theathletic.com/4677888/2023/07/10/mlb-draft-2023-analysis-first-round-law/
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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/10/2023 5:28:34 PM   
Mister Ed


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Prielipp out for the season

Another failure by the Twins. Almost as bad as the Mahle trade

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/10/2023 8:28:22 PM   
TJSweens


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Third round pick

Brandon Winokur OF, Edison (CA) MLB.com ranking #74
THROWS R
HT 6' 5"
WT 210
COMMITTED
UCLA

Scouting grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 55 | Run: 60 | Arm: 55 | Field: 50 | Overall: 50

Every Draft class has its fair share of high school outfielders who fall in the “five-tool potential” bucket. Winokur, a product of an Edison High School (Huntington Beach, Calif.) program that has produced big leaguers like Kyle Higashioka and Tim Lopes, has the chance to be one of the best in the class of 2023 after showcasing his tools at summer showcase events like the PDP League, the Area Code Games and the Perfect Game All-American Classic.

Winokur certainly looks the part at 6-foot-5 and has the chance to have multiple plus tools in the future. The right-handed hitter will have easily plus raw power and has shown he can tap into it at times against good competition. For a young player with such long levers, he’s also shown he can be pretty short to the ball, with a more compact swing than you’d expect. He’s a plus runner with a strong arm.

While his ability to use his raw tools consistently in games is one question, another is where he plays defensively long-term. The UCLA recruit plays a lot of shortstop for his high school team, but most see a better fit in an outfield corner, where his power and speed could profile very well.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/10/2023 8:34:21 PM   
TJSweens


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4th round pick 114 overall

Tanner Hall RHP, Southern Mississippi MLB.com ranking #92

AGE 21
BATS R
DOB 03/18/2002
THROWS R
HT 6' 1"
WT 186


Scouting grades: Fastball: 50 | Slider: 50 | Changeup: 60 | Control: 55 | Overall: 45

Southern Mississippi has produced a top-three-rounds pick in four of the last five Drafts and may do so again in 2023 with Hall. Despite averaging slightly less than 90 mph with his fastball, he ranked third in NCAA Division I in K/BB ratio (10.4) and fourth in strikeouts (146 in 109 innings) in 2022. He also pitched for the U.S. collegiate national team during the summer, spinning four scoreless innings against Cuba at Honkbalweek Haarlem in the Netherlands, then won Sun Belt conference pitcher of the year honors while tying for second in D-I with 12 victories this spring.

Hall's two best assets are his changeup and his command, though neither has been quite as sharp in 2023 as they were a year ago. Some scouts hang double-plus grades on his changeup when at its best, and it sweeps and sinks in the low 80s. His ability to locate his entire arsenal where he wants helps his pitches play up, especially an 88-90 mph fastball that maxes out at 95 but still misses bats and generates weak contact with plenty of sink and angle from his low three-quarters arm slot.

Hall works mostly with his fastball and changeup, occasionally mixing in a decent low-80s slider with sweep and depth. He's not very physical, yet his efficient delivery and ability to repeat it allow him to work deep into games. He doesn't have a classic starter's look, but he continues to exceed expectations and has a high floor as at least a multi-inning reliever with a legitimate out pitch.

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"The eternal fate of the noble and enlightened: to be brutally crushed by the armed and dumb."
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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/10/2023 8:42:06 PM   
TJSweens


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5th round pick # 150 overall

Dylan Questad RHP, Waterford (WI) MLB.com reanking #194


AGE 18
BATS R
DOB 11/02/2004
THROWS R
HT 6' 1"
WT 200
COMMITTED Arkansas

Scouting grades: Fastball: 55 | Curveball: 50 | Slider: 50 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 50 | Overall: 40

Questad turned in a series of strong performances on the showcase circuit last summer, including three perfect innings while sitting in the mid-90s with his fastball at the Area Code Games in August. His stuff wasn't as sharp during his Wisconsin high school senior season, though he did earn Gatorade's state player of the year award. He still has a chance to become the first Badger State high school pitcher taken in the top five rounds since 2006 third-rounder Tony Butler.

Questad leans heavily on his fastball, which sat at 92-94 mph and peaked at 97 last summer before dropping a tick or two this spring, albeit still with plenty of run and downhill plane coming out of his high arm slot. He gets good depth on his upper-70s curveball and low-80s slider, though he's still learning to land them for strikes. He can impart some nasty late fade on his low-80s changeup but struggles to control it as well.

Questad is strong and athletic, but he may be physically maxed out at 6 feet and 200 pounds. His arm works well but to succeed as a starter at higher levels, he'll need to improve the quality of his secondary pitches and his ability to locate them where he wants. He has had more of a reliever look in 2023, which could land him in college as part of Arkansas' top-rated recruiting class.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/10/2023 8:53:53 PM   
TJSweens


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6th round Jay Harry SS Penn State (PA) 6' 0" 190lbs DOB:07/18/02

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/10/2023 9:05:59 PM   
TJSweens


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Round 10 #297 overall

Ross Dunn LHP, Arizona State MLB ranking #140


AGE 21
BATS R
DOB 02/20/2002
THROWS L
HT 6' 3"
WT 225

Scouting grades: Fastball: 55 | Slider: 55 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 45 | Overall: 45

Dunn began his college career at Florida State, pitching in relief sparingly as a freshman in 2021. He ended up spending much of 2022 as part of an all-lefty weekend rotation with the Seminoles, joining 2022 draftees Parker Messick and Bryce Hubbart. Dunn struck out 14.4 per nine over 48 innings of work before pitching well for the U.S. Collegiate National Team. The Utah native also entered the transfer portal and moved back west to be a part of Arizona State’s rotation in 2023, where he’s continued to miss bats but have mixed results overall.

While none of Dunn’s individual offerings jump off the page, he has a very strong three-pitch mix and knows what to do with it. His fastball sits in the 90-93 mph range and it’s a sneaky fastball that hitters don’t see thanks to some deception in his delivery. His low-80s slider continues to miss bats at a very high rate, according to Synergy, and he’s used his mid-80s changeup very effectively as well.

The one thing that could hold Dunn back in terms of his Draft stock is his command, especially with his fastball. While he misses a ton of bats, he’s also given up too many free passes, with his walk rate spiking this year. Even with that, a college lefty with a legitimate three-pitch mix still has the chance to land in the first five rounds.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/11/2023 7:50:20 AM   
TJSweens


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This draft is a surprising change in approach for Sean Johnson and his staff.

First off, they didn't opt for a college bat over a concensus top 5 pick. I had resigned myself to them taking Gonzalez who fell to the Flags at #15. They didn't overthink it and drafted the player that anyone of sound mind would have drafted.

Then they drafted a highly rated high school pitcher with big heat and a 6'5" frame that can generate that velo without overstressing the body. Not a low ceiling college pitcher they hope can advance quickly or a college reliever they plan to convert to a starter or a high ceiling pitcher who has already TJ surgery.

There were no mega-reach players in the early rounds. No players that were outside the MLB top 250. No Charely Barnes type selections. In fact, the first 4 players taken were in MLB's top 100. The 5th player taken and the 10th round pick were both in the top 200.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/11/2023 9:25:41 AM   
Mister Ed


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The one pitcher they drafted had an ERA over 6 with 15 Homers allowed this past season. Must have something they like.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/11/2023 1:40:59 PM   
TJSweens


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Which one?

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/11/2023 2:32:09 PM   
Mister Ed


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quote:

ORIGINAL: TJSweens

Which one?


They're drafting college guys just a year off TJ with horrible ERA's and walk rates

the guy i was referring to was from the SEC, Dougherty
In 2023, the junior appeared in 15 games for Ole Miss and started in nine of them due to injuries to the Rebels' pitching staff this season. The Collierville, Tenn., native registered 60.1 innings of work recording a 6.27 ERA with a 3-4 record and two saves. Dougherty led all Ole Miss starters in ERA this spring and finished second on the team in opposing batting average (.261), saves, innings pitched, and strikeouts (65).

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/11/2023 8:49:57 PM   
TJSweens


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Mister Ed

quote:

ORIGINAL: TJSweens

Which one?


They're drafting college guys just a year off TJ with horrible ERA's and walk rates

the guy i was referring to was from the SEC, Dougherty
In 2023, the junior appeared in 15 games for Ole Miss and started in nine of them due to injuries to the Rebels' pitching staff this season. The Collierville, Tenn., native registered 60.1 innings of work recording a 6.27 ERA with a 3-4 record and two saves. Dougherty led all Ole Miss starters in ERA this spring and finished second on the team in opposing batting average (.261), saves, innings pitched, and strikeouts (65).

At least he was a 9th rounder. They have drafted these kinds of projects in the early rounds in the past. I'm used to seeing WTF picks from the first round on. This year they picked these guys where you would expect them to pick these guys. The execution just felt different to me this year. Not that I expect them to be any more successful than in the past.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/13/2023 9:43:21 PM   
Twinfanforlife2023

 

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Congratulations Twins Fans, we nailed this draft.

https://vimeo.com/manage/videos/845157814

18 years old here against some of the best hitters on the west coast including Jacob Gonzales, I believe they also played on the same team for a few years, Now throwing 98 sitting 95. 12th pick because of "medical concerns". ElAttrache did a pretty good job I would say if anyone had a chance to watch his college Junior season. There is also video of him versus Bryson Stott somewhere around and other Vegas pro's and they couldn't touch him at that age. The future is bright Twin fans.
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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/14/2023 7:52:47 AM   
TJSweens


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Twinfanforlife2023

Congratulations Twins Fans, we nailed this draft.

https://vimeo.com/manage/videos/845157814

18 years old here against some of the best hitters on the west coast including Jacob Gonzales, I believe they also played on the same team for a few years, Now throwing 98 sitting 95. 12th pick because of "medical concerns". ElAttrache did a pretty good job I would say if anyone had a chance to watch his college Junior season. There is also video of him versus Bryson Stott somewhere around and other Vegas pro's and they couldn't touch him at that age. The future is bright Twin fans.

Pasquato looks like a project. He had TJ his sophomore year. The scouting reports I read said his fastball is sitting 92 and hitting 96 and has pretty non-descript secondary pitches. Projections are for him to be a reliever.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/14/2023 7:55:15 AM   
TJSweens


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Then again, Bailey Ober was a 12th round pick, so who knows.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/14/2023 5:13:48 PM   
Mister Ed


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quote:

ORIGINAL: TJSweens

quote:

ORIGINAL: Twinfanforlife2023

Congratulations Twins Fans, we nailed this draft.

https://vimeo.com/manage/videos/845157814

18 years old here against some of the best hitters on the west coast including Jacob Gonzales, I believe they also played on the same team for a few years, Now throwing 98 sitting 95. 12th pick because of "medical concerns". ElAttrache did a pretty good job I would say if anyone had a chance to watch his college Junior season. There is also video of him versus Bryson Stott somewhere around and other Vegas pro's and they couldn't touch him at that age. The future is bright Twin fans.

Pasquato looks like a project. He had TJ his sophomore year. The scouting reports I read said his fastball is sitting 92 and hitting 96 and has pretty non-descript secondary pitches. Projections are for him to be a reliever.


Signed the 3rd round HS outfielder over slot. The Iowa pitcher also signed over slot. Several have signed under slot, expected for college seniors.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/14/2023 6:59:24 PM   
Twinfanforlife2023

 

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@TjSweens - Trust me, that article is wrong. During season he sat 94 per synergy and when he went to the Cape he sat 96 and was hitting 97/98 multiple times. I am confident he will dominate A ball, AA is where we will obviously see what he is but with what i have heard and seen he should be successful. Besides his baseball talent and skill he is known to be the hardest worker in the gym and also diets like a superstar athlete since he was 16/17 and if you see his parents he still has some room to get a lot bigger and stronger which leads me to believe he will probably be hitting 100 in the next year or 2. I believe the reason he fell so far was due to medical concerns after the combine according to some sources I have heard from. This is strange since his FB only went up the more he played and in the Cape he was hitting 98 and sitting 95 after his season (his fb also plays extremely well at the top of the zone even though he is a downhill pitcher, very deceiving as it plays almost 5in higher than the hitter sees which is great). His Ch is his best pitch and he has complete control of it and can throw it for strikes almost whenever he wants. His CB prior before he blew out was arguably just as good as his CH which is saying something, he was making Beavers and other high picks look foolish with it before the season, he is already starting to get it back and if he does he will be un-hittable especially with his slider which is showing + traits already and he just added it this season which has 12in of horizontal movement. I believe his strike % was around 62/63% during this Junior season so he was throwing plenty of strikes just not missing as many bats as he was prior to injury. What people don't know about Pasqualotto is he tore his UCL freshman year against Utah and pitched 6 games with a torn UCL still throwing 90-94 so the stats are a little deceiving. I honestly believe him and Soto can be all stars if they stay healthy and the Twins really drafted some extremely valuable talent late in the draft. I would def rank their draft in the top 3 this year so it will be exciting to watch the growth the next few years.

ps.. Bailey Ober is an absolute monster lol. He is also 6'9 260 so he is a little different than Pasqualotto who is 6'2 200 hahaha

< Message edited by Twinfanforlife2023 -- 7/14/2023 7:14:10 PM >
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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/14/2023 8:41:38 PM   
twinsfan


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It looks like we have a new #1 pitching expert on the board. Take a back seat, Sweens.

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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/14/2023 9:40:50 PM   
Twinfanforlife2023

 

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Lol nowhere near, just adding context as I know deeper details about him. Very excited for all our picks but getting that kid at 12 is amazing.
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RE: Players and prospects III - 7/14/2023 10:02:58 PM   
TJSweens


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quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

It looks like we have a new #1 pitching expert on the board. Take a back seat, Sweens.

I guess that leaves you in the trunk.

_____________________________

"The eternal fate of the noble and enlightened: to be brutally crushed by the armed and dumb."
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