RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (Full Version)

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Phil Riewer -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/9/2024 3:09:01 PM)

Correa, Castro, Lee, etc. start hitting and no Brad H comments.....




twinsfan -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/10/2024 10:16:41 AM)

BREAKING: David Festa is the 27th man for today's doubleheader in Chicago.




TJSweens -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/10/2024 10:55:06 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

Correa, Castro, Lee, etc. start hitting and no Brad H comments.....

Lee, Miranda, Lewis and Castro show what we were saying all along. The Twins had the positional bats in the lineup to more than replace Arraez.




twinsfan -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/11/2024 1:03:11 PM)

Willi Castro has been named to the All-Star team.




TJSweens -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/11/2024 3:18:34 PM)

Good for Willi. Well deserved. It's rare that an under the radar pickup like him pays off in such a big way.




Karl Juhnke -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/12/2024 8:35:04 AM)

Players like Castro should get picked more often for all-star. The ‘super utility’ player, who doesn’t really have a set position to call home but plays every day somewhere, and plays it well.

They’ll never get voted in because they don’t play one position enough and don’t have the name recognition. But they are extremely valuable to their teams. A manager’s best friend. And a valuable addition to all-star roster too because towards the end of the game when the box score is messy, you can plug them in anywhere.




twinsfan -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/12/2024 9:40:27 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

Players like Castro should get picked more often for all-star. The ‘super utility’ player, who doesn’t really have a set position to call home but plays every day somewhere, and plays it well.

They’ll never get voted in because they don’t play one position enough and don’t have the name recognition. But they are extremely valuable to their teams. A manager’s best friend. And a valuable addition to all-star roster too because towards the end of the game when the box score is messy, you can plug them in anywhere.

He's really bad in the outfield though.




Karl Juhnke -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/12/2024 11:20:26 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

Players like Castro should get picked more often for all-star. The ‘super utility’ player, who doesn’t really have a set position to call home but plays every day somewhere, and plays it well.

They’ll never get voted in because they don’t play one position enough and don’t have the name recognition. But they are extremely valuable to their teams. A manager’s best friend. And a valuable addition to all-star roster too because towards the end of the game when the box score is messy, you can plug them in anywhere.

He's really bad in the outfield though.


I wouldn't call him bad. He's average.




twinsfan -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/12/2024 11:54:16 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

Players like Castro should get picked more often for all-star. The ‘super utility’ player, who doesn’t really have a set position to call home but plays every day somewhere, and plays it well.

They’ll never get voted in because they don’t play one position enough and don’t have the name recognition. But they are extremely valuable to their teams. A manager’s best friend. And a valuable addition to all-star roster too because towards the end of the game when the box score is messy, you can plug them in anywhere.

He's really bad in the outfield though.


I wouldn't call him bad. He's average.

His UZR per 150 games in left field this season (which is his most frequently played position) is -40.0. That means that he's 40 runs worse than the average left fielder over 150 games played.




David Levine -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/12/2024 12:08:24 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

Players like Castro should get picked more often for all-star. The ‘super utility’ player, who doesn’t really have a set position to call home but plays every day somewhere, and plays it well.

They’ll never get voted in because they don’t play one position enough and don’t have the name recognition. But they are extremely valuable to their teams. A manager’s best friend. And a valuable addition to all-star roster too because towards the end of the game when the box score is messy, you can plug them in anywhere.

He's really bad in the outfield though.


I wouldn't call him bad. He's average.

His UZR per 150 games in left field this season (which is his most frequently played position) is -40.0. That means that he's 40 runs worse than the average left fielder over 150 games played.


That seems like a nebulous, at best, stat.

So every 4th game he's going to cost his team a run with his defense?




twinsfan -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/12/2024 12:34:46 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

Players like Castro should get picked more often for all-star. The ‘super utility’ player, who doesn’t really have a set position to call home but plays every day somewhere, and plays it well.

They’ll never get voted in because they don’t play one position enough and don’t have the name recognition. But they are extremely valuable to their teams. A manager’s best friend. And a valuable addition to all-star roster too because towards the end of the game when the box score is messy, you can plug them in anywhere.

He's really bad in the outfield though.


I wouldn't call him bad. He's average.

His UZR per 150 games in left field this season (which is his most frequently played position) is -40.0. That means that he's 40 runs worse than the average left fielder over 150 games played.


That seems like a nebulous, at best, stat.

So every 4th game he's going to cost his team a run with his defense?

Yes, you are understanding it correctly.




David Levine -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/12/2024 12:57:46 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

Players like Castro should get picked more often for all-star. The ‘super utility’ player, who doesn’t really have a set position to call home but plays every day somewhere, and plays it well.

They’ll never get voted in because they don’t play one position enough and don’t have the name recognition. But they are extremely valuable to their teams. A manager’s best friend. And a valuable addition to all-star roster too because towards the end of the game when the box score is messy, you can plug them in anywhere.

He's really bad in the outfield though.


I wouldn't call him bad. He's average.

His UZR per 150 games in left field this season (which is his most frequently played position) is -40.0. That means that he's 40 runs worse than the average left fielder over 150 games played.


That seems like a nebulous, at best, stat.

So every 4th game he's going to cost his team a run with his defense?

Yes, you are understanding it correctly.


So its just another effed up stat to try to quantify something - and doing it poorly.




twinsfan -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/12/2024 4:20:25 PM)

OK boomer.




TJSweens -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/12/2024 9:04:42 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

Players like Castro should get picked more often for all-star. The ‘super utility’ player, who doesn’t really have a set position to call home but plays every day somewhere, and plays it well.

They’ll never get voted in because they don’t play one position enough and don’t have the name recognition. But they are extremely valuable to their teams. A manager’s best friend. And a valuable addition to all-star roster too because towards the end of the game when the box score is messy, you can plug them in anywhere.

He's really bad in the outfield though.


I wouldn't call him bad. He's average.

His UZR per 150 games in left field this season (which is his most frequently played position) is -40.0. That means that he's 40 runs worse than the average left fielder over 150 games played.


That seems like a nebulous, at best, stat.

So every 4th game he's going to cost his team a run with his defense?

Yes, you are understanding it correctly.


So its just another effed up stat to try to quantify something - and doing it poorly.

Exactly. Even the creators of defensive metrics admit that it takes close to 3 years worth of games at a position to establish an accurate baseline for a players defensive performance at a postion. A 40 game sample split between CF and LF is pretty well worthless.




Karl Juhnke -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/14/2024 2:04:57 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TJSweens

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

quote:

ORIGINAL: twinsfan

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

Players like Castro should get picked more often for all-star. The ‘super utility’ player, who doesn’t really have a set position to call home but plays every day somewhere, and plays it well.

They’ll never get voted in because they don’t play one position enough and don’t have the name recognition. But they are extremely valuable to their teams. A manager’s best friend. And a valuable addition to all-star roster too because towards the end of the game when the box score is messy, you can plug them in anywhere.

He's really bad in the outfield though.


I wouldn't call him bad. He's average.

His UZR per 150 games in left field this season (which is his most frequently played position) is -40.0. That means that he's 40 runs worse than the average left fielder over 150 games played.


That seems like a nebulous, at best, stat.

So every 4th game he's going to cost his team a run with his defense?

Yes, you are understanding it correctly.


So its just another effed up stat to try to quantify something - and doing it poorly.

Exactly. Even the creators of defensive metrics admit that it takes close to 3 years worth of games at a position to establish an accurate baseline for a players defensive performance at a postion. A 40 game sample split between CF and LF is pretty well worthless.


My eyeballs tell me he’s not great, not bad in the outfield. He’s just there. Filling a spot.




TJSweens -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/14/2024 9:15:52 PM)

The Twins drafted a pair of college SS in day 1 of the draft.

Kaelen Culpepper, SS, Kansas State
Kyle DeBarge, SS, Louisiana-Lafayette




bstinger -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/15/2024 1:27:05 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TJSweens

The Twins drafted a pair of college SS in day 1 of the draft.

Kaelen Culpepper, SS, Kansas State
Kyle DeBarge, SS, Louisiana-Lafayette

Get some damn pitching.




TJSweens -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/15/2024 2:13:55 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: TJSweens

The Twins drafted a pair of college SS in day 1 of the draft.

Kaelen Culpepper, SS, Kansas State
Kyle DeBarge, SS, Louisiana-Lafayette

Get some damn pitching.

As usual, they waited until the 3rd round to draft a pitcher.




David Levine -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/15/2024 2:21:56 PM)

21. Minnesota Twins: Kaelen Culpepper, SS, Kansas State
Who is Culpepper? A third baseman early in his college career who has shined since moving to shortstop, Culpepper's ultimate pro position remains a bit unclear. What is clear though is the K-State star can hit to all fields. Unheralded out of high school, Culpepper put himself on draft radars by posting a .934 OPS during his three seasons in the Big 12 and leading a U.S. collegiate national team featuring several of this draft's top prospects in batting average, on-base percentage and slugging last summer.

Why the Twins took him here: Culpepper was one of the most dynamic hitters in college baseball this season and only helped his draft stock by making the move from third base to shortstop. He put up huge numbers at K-State, including hitting for the cycle in an NCAA regional game and taking No. 5 overall pick Hagen Smith deep the next day, and has shown himself against top competition in the summers. Ultimately, his pro ceiling will likely be decided by whether he can stick at shortstop or if he moves to third base on his way to the majors. -- Mullen

33. Minnesota Twins: Kyle DeBarge, SS, Louisiana
(Compensation for Sonny Gray)

The Sun Belt Conference player of the year, DeBarge had a huge season, hitting .356/.418/.699 with 21 home runs and 72 RBIs in 62 games. Despite the power numbers, his contact ability projects as his best skill (just 30 strikeouts) and he has the tools to stick at shortstop (despite being a catcher in high school). He did struggle with wood bats in the Cape Cod League last summer, slugging just .297.

Second round
60. Minnesota Twins: Billy Amick, 3B, Tennessee

Competitive Balance Round B
69. Minnesota Twins: Dasan Hill, LHP, Grapevine (Texas) HS

Third round
126. Minnesota Twins: Jaime Ferrer, OF, Florida State

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/40527412/2024-mlb-draft-tracker-live-updates-order-results-analysis-every-first-round-pick




TJSweens -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/15/2024 4:31:57 PM)

FWIW, The Twins had picks 21, 33, 60 and 69. They drafted players ranked 31, 67, 32, and 52.




TJSweens -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/15/2024 4:43:34 PM)

They drafted 8 players in the first 6 rounds. Only one pitcher.




David Levine -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/15/2024 4:46:33 PM)

Round 2, CB Round B, Pick No. 69: Dasan Hill, LHP, Grapevine (TX)

FanGraphs Scouting Report (#24 ranked prospect)

Hill is maybe the most projectable player in the entire draft class regardless of position or demographic, at 6-foot-5, 175 pounds. He was peaking in the 88-90 mph range last summer but held 92-97 for five or six innings at a time this spring, and he still has a ton of room for strength and more velocity. His feel for location is also uncommonly good for a pitcher his size and age, and it applies to Hill’s fastball and breaking balls. He can locate his breaking ball for strikes and chase; both versions are average to a tick above. An upper-70s changeup is his fourth pitch right now but it might be his best at maturity. He has precocious feel for creating action and for location. Hill is among the best high school pitching prospects in the draft, with impact, mid-rotation ceiling.

MLB Pipeline Scouting Report (#52 ranked prospect)
After parking around 89-90 mph and topping out at 93 with his fastball last summer, Hill has grown 3 inches, added 15 pounds and started dealing in the low 90s while reaching 96. His best pitch is a high-spin slider in the low 80s that he backfoots well against right-handers. He also has a solid upper-70s curveball with more depth and a low-80s changeup with sink and similar promise. Hill not only possesses four viable offerings but he also has the ability to throw them all for strikes. He still has room to add plenty of muscle to his lanky frame, so his repertoire could continue to get stronger. The biggest knock on him is a lack of history with quality stuff, though his upside at least as a No. 3 starter is hard to deny.

Keith Law (#40 ranked prospect)
Hill is a 6-5, projectable lefty who shows average velocity now but should easily get to the mid-90s in time, with feel to spin two different breaking balls, excellent tumble to his changeup, and a delivery he should repeat enough for strikes. He can cut himself off and come across his body too much, which he shouldn’t need to do since his slider looks like it’ll be plus and that alone will make him tough on left-handed batters. This is the classic high school projection archetype — good frame, solid offspeed pitches for his age, a delivery that mostly works, needing strength and the added velocity that comes with it. He’s committed to Dallas Baptist but should be one of the first high school lefties off the board.




TJSweens -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/15/2024 9:19:01 PM)

Kaelen Culpepper

SS, Kansas State

BATS R

THROWS R

DOB 12/29/2002

AGE 21

HT 6' 0"

WT 185

Scouting grades: Hit: 55 | Power: 45 | Run: 50 | Arm: 60 | Field: 50 | Overall: 50

Culpepper might go from an unheralded Tennessee high schooler to Kansas State's first-ever first-round position player. Bothered by a hamate injury for much of his sophomore season, he starred at the Big 12 Conference tournament and was the top hitter (.471/.526/.853) on the U.S. collegiate national team during the summer. He moved from third base to shortstop as a junior, batting .474 in the NCAA Tournament (including hitting for the cycle against Louisiana Tech) as the Wildcats reached the Super Regionals.

A right-handed hitter, Culpepper has a disciplined approach that prioritizes making consistent contact and using the entire field. He has well-above-average bat speed and enough strength to produce average power, yet he has a flat swing and rarely drives the ball in the air. He slugged just .318 with wood bats in the Cape Cod League last summer and may top out at 12-15 homers per season.

Culpepper handled shortstop on the Cape and in fall practice better than scouts expected, though he probably lacks the lateral quickness to play there regularly in the big leagues. He has at least plus arm strength and is a potential Gold Glover at third base, though that position would demand more power production than shortstop. He's an average runner and an opportunistic base stealer.




TJSweens -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/15/2024 9:23:47 PM)

Kyle DeBarge

SS, Louisiana-Lafayette

DOB 07/15/2003

AGE 21

BATS R

THROWS R

HT 5' 9"

WT 175

Scouting grades: Hit: 55 | Power: 40 | Run: 60 | Arm: 60 | Field: 55 | Overall: 50

A standout catcher at powerhouse Barbe HS (Lake Charles, La.), DeBarge was too small to draw pro interest out of high school. He moved to shortstop after arriving at Louisiana-Lafayette and is a better prospect than recent Ragin' Cajuns standouts at the position: 2015 third-rounder Blake Trahan and 2020 fifth-rounder Hayden Cantrelle. He plays bigger than his 5-foot-9, 170-pound frame and earned Sun Belt Conference Player of the Year accolades this spring.

An elite contact hitter, DeBarge recognizes pitches extremely well and rarely chases out of the strike zone or swings and misses. His right-handed stroke is quick, compact and flat, designed to put the ball in play so easily that it does cut into his walk totals. He has some sneaky power to his pull side but doesn't drive the ball in the air consistently and slugged just .297 with wood bats in the Cape Cod League last summer.

DeBarge has the tools and instincts to impact games in a number of ways. He has plus speed and uses it aggressively on the bases. His quick hands, strong arm and fine internal clock allow him to play a solid shortstop and he also looked good at third base on the Cape.




TJSweens -> RE: Twins 2024 Season and Game Day Thread (7/15/2024 9:28:07 PM)

Billy Amick, 3B, Tennessee

DOB 11/04/2002

AGE 21

HT 6' 1"

WT 220

BATS R

THROWS R

Scouting grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 55 | Run: 40 | Arm: 50 | Field: 45 | Overall: 50

The son of former NASCAR driver Lyndon Amick, Billy barely played as a freshman or in the first month of his sophomore season at Clemson. After the Tigers inserted him in their lineup last March, he batted .413/.464/.772 and then continued to rake in a brief stint in the Cape Cod League. Unhappy with being limited to DH and first base by the Tigers, he sought an opportunity to play third base and transferred to Tennessee, where he became one of the most dangerous hitters in the Southeastern Conference and helped the Volunteers win their first College World Series championship.

Amick has a quality right-handed swing and repeatedly barrels balls despite frequently chasing pitches out of the strike zone. His aggressive approach yields hard contact to all fields but does cut into his walk totals. His bat speed and strength create plus raw power that plays all over the ballpark and should translate into 20-25 homers per season.

Amick has gotten the chance to man the hot corner for the Volunteers and looks like he'll be able to stay there in pro ball. Equipped with below-average speed and quickness along with average arm strength, he's a fringy to average third baseman who has looked more comfortable as he has gained more experience. He does have the work ethic to continue to improve but also may wind up at first base.




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