marty
Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: offline
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The more reading I do, I think Baltimore is a silly pick. It's likely to be NE, possibly a blowout. What I liked about Baltimore is they've played NE close, and I thought maybe they'll get lucky this time, the stars are aligned, maybe it's their year ? But I think the stars were just aligned for last week, they played a HC that takes a knee. NE is the hot team, Baltimore lost 4 of their last 5 regular season games. McKinnie adds a little size to their OL, and I think Flacco could get a deep pass TD that swings the game, IF the game is close. IF it's close, and IF Flacco can hit a deep pass late in the game, I think Baltimore COULD win. But NONE of that seems likely, NE is the pick here, they'll get it done. I'm thinking the score will be 38-24, and Baltimore will get a TD that makes the score appear closer. Baltimore 31 NE 38 I think SF-Atlanta might have the makings of a GREAT game. I don't think Kap will be able to run like he did last week, and he's likely to be nervous on the road. The analysis says Vernon Davis could have a big game, but Kap doesn't throw to him much, so if he does I think it will be just a couple of plays. Atlanta will key on Crabtree, so that should slow SF down. The SF pass rush looked pretty non-existent against a weak Packer OL, but we'll see if Justin Smith can make a difference. I think if it's a close game at the end, Ryan is likely to try to throw it Gonzo, and I think 49ers will have him doubled, which could lead to a pick. I think for Atlanta to win in a close one, Ryan will need to hit Roddy White for the clutch grab. I don't really like Ryan in the clutch, he's been poor before, his OL is a large part of his success. Atlanta didn't need to win their last game against TB, won 3 of 4 before that, only loss at Carolina. SF won 3 of their last 4, the only lost being at Seattle, and it came the game after they just went into NE and won. Atlanta does get the advantage of being the underdog, and most of the season they've been proving people wrong, especially at home. I wonder if I'm just picking SF because I like them better ? A really close game, should probably go to the home team. But I think SF has a slight coaching advantage, and Kap needs to reach the SB to justify his starting over Alex Smith, unless it's felt that beating GB was their SB. Atlanta is likely to get more help from the officials with more of the betting on SF. I'm would like to see SF in a close game. I want to see the Dirty Birds lose by the same score the Vikes lost to them in the NFC Championship, and I'd also like to see their kicker miss a game tying FG late in the game. But I don't think it's going to happen. I think the Dirty Birds are going to win this one. SF 27 Atlanta 30 THAT should help SF win! I usually hit around 50%, so I'm hoping that means SF wins as I don't think Baltimore is going to do it.
< Message edited by marty -- 1/24/2013 8:36:44 PM >
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