marty
Posts: 13047
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: offline
|
Either the Chiefs' defense is much better than I thought, or Hanie is not even close to being as good as Ponder. Now I didn't see much of the Bears/Chiefs game, so maybe somebody that saw it can chime in. I'm just wondering if the officials strongly favored the Chiefs with calls and non-calls in this one. I would have guessed with the Bears going into the game being a team with a playoff record, and being competitive at Oakland with Hanie starting the week before, that even with Hanie starting, more money was likely on the Bears to win at home. It'll be interesting next week with Bears at Broncos. The most predictable result is the Broncos winning a close game at home, so even with Broncos minus 3 1/2, I would guess more money would be bet on the Broncos, we'll see if the lines moves to 4. I think either the refs will leave it alone and be unbiased (most likely), or will favor the BEARS if more money was bet on the Broncos. I don't think it's too likely the refs will biased in favor of the Broncos. It COULD happen, as they do have this 'magic' and maybe "God on their side", but I think after they've won a bunch in a row, it might get too predictable and too many gamblers might win betting on them, so the refs favor the other team towards the end. The NFL just doesn't want things getting too predictable. But I really think the refs will leave this one alone, and the most likely result is Denver winning a close game. OTOH, with Hanie not being able to give his team a TD at home against the Chiefs, he might really run into trouble at Denver with the Dawkin's 2ndary, and end up throwing a bunch of picks which might get returned for TDs. I sure wouldn't feel all that safe putting money on the Bears. The smartest thing is to just not bet this game as you can't really count on the officials 'swaying' the game. If I had a little extra money, I might put a small amount on Denver covering the 3 1/2, as the odds would seem to favor that (and moreso with Forte out).
|