marty -> RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) (1/17/2012 9:10:44 PM)
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Prescott, I did in fact make $2000 on a $100 Super Teaser, plus you get the $100 back. I went back to Vegas and put $400 down for 9 wagers (2 $100, Super Teasers, 2 $50 Teasers, and 5 $20 parlays), anyone of them paying another $2000. 5 of them were one game away from $2000, and 1 of them was ONE Doug Flutie play away from another $2000 ! In this imaginary Super Teaser bet, I likely would have changed to the Patriots, but would have lost the wager as the GB/NY Giants game really did catch me by surprise. I would NOT have taken the Giants +18, even though that looks like a no brainer today. Marty might be right. Giants got hosed on that fumble. 69in09 I'm just telling you that officiating is likely to either be non-biased, or if they ARE biased, which side they are likely to be on, based on the spread, and where I think mainstream betting is leaning (and if the spread moves, THAT shows it). It is quite rare that the refs will be where the money is, but it does happen once in a while. Without knowing if the spreads have moved for next week, I thought the Giants would be favored by about 2 or 3, and that NE would probably be favored by about 4. With the 49ers favored by 3, I would expect more betting on the Giants (we'll see if the spread moves, sometimes I'm wrong on that, but usually I'm right on that), and then you get either neutral officiating, or officiating that helps the 49ers. I thought the Patriots would be favored by about 4, so I would expect more betting on the Ravens. IF so, then the officiating is likely to either be nuetral, or favoring the Patriots. We'll see.
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