thebigo
Posts: 28294
Joined: 7/14/2007
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quote:
ORIGINAL: TJSweens quote:
ORIGINAL: thebigo quote:
ORIGINAL: TJSweens quote:
ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen quote:
ORIGINAL: TJSweens Not according to the polls. I think the polls were trending to Biden but either stopped or reversed after the debacles in Seattle and Portland (the latter involved the feds which complicated the mix). IMO the most idiotic thing was that initial group of people (city council (?), others) holding the rally with the "Defund the Police" banner. No thought to using a better choice of words, no plan, no forethought, just stupidity. Yet the term spread like wildfire. Nope. The latest fivethirtyeight composite has Biden leading Trump 50.4 to 42. Pretty much where they have been for quite awhile now. And pretty much the same lead Hillary had over Trump at this time 4 years ago. Nope. Not even close. Hillary's leads fluctuated from 4 to 7. Biden's leads have fluctuated from 8 to double digits. Hillary also never came to close to having 50%. Biden is also winning demographics this time around that Trump won by as much as 15% four years ago. It isn't the same at all. Really here's various polls from the same time period 4 years ago, the last # the Hillary lead. UPI/CVoter[227] August 11–17, 2016 50% 46% 4 UPI/CVoter[228] August 9–16, 2016 51% 44% 7 Ipsos/Reuters[229] August 11–15, 2016 41% 35% 6 Normington, Petts & Associates[230] August 9–15, 2016 50% 40% 10 UPI/CVoter[231] August 9–15, 2016 51% 44% 7 Morning Consult[232] August 11–14, 2016 44% 37% 7 NBC News/SurveyMonkey[233] August 8–14, 2016 50% 41% 9 So 7 polls, average Hillary 7.1% lead. Maybe a little bit close.
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