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RE: 2022 NFL draft

 
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RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:10:16 PM   
Tom Sykes

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Chris Olson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

I was about to post that not drafting CB Booth would make two mistakes out three selections for Kwesi but I guess he has an injury history going back to high school and this:

"It's notable that Booth suffered a strained quad while training for the NFL Scouting Combine and was unable to compete. Therefore we don't have concrete measurables to compare to the rest of the class. It's also notable that he got sports hernia surgery at the end of March."

Not that Kwesi is in the least bit injury risk averse.

can't remember who it was, maybe Steve Smith on NFLN, was saying the big red flags for injury are the recurrent soft tissue injuries, (like hamstrings, quads, hernias...)

I bet Booth isn't on our radar here as it sounds like those are exactly the types of things he's dealt with

If that's true it only leaves one CB on paper that could push Danztler to start, Gordon.

If that's important to us. (its an apocalyptic concern for me)
Post #: 1176
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:12:21 PM   
kgdabom

 

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Joined: 7/29/2007
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Murph

quote:

ORIGINAL: kgdabom

quote:

ORIGINAL: Murph

Guess the Detroit fan base has a similar view to our fan base

https://www.prideofdetroit.com/2022/4/28/23047679/detroit-lions-jameson-williams-trade-nfl-draft-analysis

The Detroit Lions swindled the Minnesota Vikings in a first-round trade
...and walked away with arguably the most talented receiver in the draft.

Brad Holmes is a thief, a menace, and a swindler. He’s robbed the Vikings blind with this trade to move back up to the 12th-overall pick. Here are the official terms of the trade, per the team:

Lions get: Pick 12, Pick 46 (second round)
Vikings get: Pick 32, Pick 34 (second round), Pick 66 (third round)

I had a hunch at first sight that it was a good deal, so I did some digging. According to the Rich Hill Draft Value model—the most modern chart to date—the Lions gave up 435 points of value and gained 475 points of value. In other words, they gained 40 points of value by making this trade with the Vikings. For those wondering, according to the chart, the Lions gained the equivalent of the 95th overall pick—a late third-round pick.

All that resulted in the Lions getting arguably the most talented receiver in the draft in Jameson Williams. Had it not been for a torn ACL, Williams likely would’ve been one of the first names off the board Thursday night. I said on the Pride of Detroit live stream a half hour prior to the trade that whatever team gets Williams will have a really good player in six months when he’s healthy. Lucky for us, that team is the Detroit Lions.

Compare it to actual deals from last year Vikings Darrisaw trade and Giants Fields trades the teams trading back got far better value. Detroit as the team trading up got a STEAL.


Kwesi got schooled.

Detroit had a player they coveted and we had the leverage. You only move down that far, 20 freaking spots, if you get the better end of the deal or don't trade!

I can't believe that Kwesi didn't do better.

_____________________________

"So let it be written.
So let it be done."
Post #: 1177
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:13:12 PM   
Mark Anderson

 

Posts: 12164
Joined: 9/1/2007
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

quote:

ORIGINAL: Chris Olson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

I was about to post that not drafting CB Booth would make two mistakes out three selections for Kwesi but I guess he has an injury history going back to high school and this:

"It's notable that Booth suffered a strained quad while training for the NFL Scouting Combine and was unable to compete. Therefore we don't have concrete measurables to compare to the rest of the class. It's also notable that he got sports hernia surgery at the end of March."

Not that Kwesi is in the least bit injury risk averse.

can't remember who it was, maybe Steve Smith on NFLN, was saying the big red flags for injury are the recurrent soft tissue injuries, (like hamstrings, quads, hernias...)

I bet Booth isn't on our radar here as it sounds like those are exactly the types of things he's dealt with

If that's true it only leaves one CB on paper that could push Danztler to start, Gordon.

If that's important to us. (its an apocalyptic concern for me)

McCreary and Gordon

Outside chance(and creative accounting) of trading late round pick for Bradberry
Post #: 1178
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:18:53 PM   
Karl Juhnke


Posts: 13023
Joined: 7/28/2007
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quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

Listening to Common on KFAN. He had a guy on with NBC sports, locally based. Don’t know who he is but he brings up an interesting point. This draft is weaker on top, but unusually deep, due too Covid and other factors.

That’s probably what drove Kwesi to the trade. Trade charts that are static from year to year assigning a set value to each spot and don’t take into account the makeup of a draft said Vikings lost the trade. But a system that factors in the characteristics of a particular draft may tell a different story.

Very good point.

In my mocks I've focused on accumulating as many picks between 20 and 100 as possible.

I think our top needs remaining in no particular order are C, WR, DE, CB. Here I nab all 4 in the top 82 and still get 5 more depth players.


Thumbnail Image



It’s like I said, any draft chart that is just generic and not specific to one draft doesn’t tell the whole story. Kwesi in his past has helped construct charts like this. I’m not saying he won or lost, but to suggest that he is not aware of factors like Rich Hill’s chart is absurd.

The wheel’s still in spin. impossible to judge yet.

< Message edited by Karl Juhnke -- 4/29/2022 2:20:37 PM >
Post #: 1179
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:21:11 PM   
ratoppenheimer


Posts: 9555
Joined: 12/9/2007
From: cascais, portugal...still in exile
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: TJSweens

quote:

ORIGINAL: ratoppenheimer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: kgdabom

quote:

ORIGINAL: Todd M

We should have gotten Detroit's 2nd and 3rd.

We did get Detroit's 2nd and 3rd round picks. The problem is we gave them our second which we should have kept.


How? Detroit was trading up to the pick behind us with the same capital. We now move up to the top of the 2nd and 3rd round and have 4 picks in the top 80 instead of 3.

What would you think if we drafted Cine at 12?

Its like promoting longer life expectancy rates as proof of advancement in modern medicine.

Uh no ... we are increasing the length of a person's life by tacking on few more sucky final few years. When and if I turn 75, tack on some extra years from my early 20s and then we'll talk.

We moved back 20 picks from 12 to 32 in rd one. That's losing 20 spots of first rd talent.
We moved up 12 picks from 46 to 34. That's gaining 12 spots of second rd. talent.
We gain a third rd pick, free and clear but ... that's a gain of a third rd talent.

Quality matters, not just quantity.



it was a bad deal, plain and simple...worse than any deal spielman has ever made....

That simply isn't true. Remember giving up a 1st for Bradford? A second for Ngokwe and trading him away a couple weeks later for a 3rd. And what did we give to give up to get a punter we could cut?

I get that you can make an argument that Kwesi should have gotten more depending on the chart you use. The idea that this is worse than any Spielman deal or Herschal Walker II is just getting carried away. Instead of 12 & 46, we got 32, 34 & 66. We'll survive.



okay, you are correct about a couple of those...i was thinking more of draft day deals...but it does suck....

_____________________________

the journey...is paradise.
Post #: 1180
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:21:36 PM   
Mark Anderson

 

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Strict BPA for 34:

Logan Hall
Booth (if we believe he is healthy)
Watson

Slight trade down

McCreary
Pitre
Muma
Gordon
Pickens(character issues)
McBride
Skyy Moore
Post #: 1181
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:23:56 PM   
Tom Sykes

 

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https://twitter.com/WillRagatz/status/1519905057281658881

The mention of Sendejo is a real downer. But he didn't take out one of his teammates so I think the comparison is wrong
Post #: 1182
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:29:07 PM   
Chris Olson


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From: Saratoga Springs, NY
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I heard somebody say they thought Gordon will be the better player than his teammate McDuffie
Post #: 1183
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:32:10 PM   
Mark Anderson

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Chris Olson

I heard somebody say they thought Gordon will be the better player than his teammate McDuffie

I think Charles Davis said it. He understands the position.
Post #: 1184
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:35:31 PM   
kgdabom

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

https://twitter.com/WillRagatz/status/1519905057281658881

The mention of Sendejo is a real downer. But he didn't take out one of his teammates so I think the comparison is wrong

Right below the video he said the Sendejo line was in jest.

Will Ragatz
@WillRagatz
·
14h
Replying to
@WillRagatz
Ha, not necessarily. The Sendejo line was in jest. That hit was a couple years ago and he had only one penalty (a PI) last season. I'm sure he understands the line between being physical and being stupid.

_____________________________

"So let it be written.
So let it be done."
Post #: 1185
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:40:44 PM   
Dana Turner


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quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

So is it:

A) take a CB
B) trade down
C) take Willis
D) take Corral
E) take OG
F) something else

???


I'm hoping Seattle gives us their two number two's to move up and get their QB.
Post #: 1186
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:44:36 PM   
Mark Anderson

 

Posts: 12164
Joined: 9/1/2007
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Dana Turner

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

So is it:

A) take a CB
B) trade down
C) take Willis
D) take Corral
E) take OG
F) something else

???


I'm hoping Seattle gives us their two number two's to move up and get their QB.

That would be nice.

There are no excuses tonight for getting bad value or reaching for someone(@34).

We have had 20 hours to call teams and figure stuff out.
Post #: 1187
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:53:18 PM   
kgdabom

 

Posts: 33770
Joined: 7/29/2007
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Dana Turner

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

So is it:

A) take a CB
B) trade down
C) take Willis
D) take Corral
E) take OG
F) something else

???


I'm hoping Seattle gives us their two number two's to move up and get their QB.

That would be nice.

There are no excuses tonight for getting bad value or reaching for someone(@34).

We have had 20 hours to call teams and figure stuff out.

I just think after seeing what Kwesi did last night there's no way Seattle will offer that much. They will offer less and Kwesi will cave.

_____________________________

"So let it be written.
So let it be done."
Post #: 1188
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:54:06 PM   
ratoppenheimer


Posts: 9555
Joined: 12/9/2007
From: cascais, portugal...still in exile
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: kgdabom

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

https://twitter.com/WillRagatz/status/1519905057281658881

The mention of Sendejo is a real downer. But he didn't take out one of his teammates so I think the comparison is wrong

Right below the video he said the Sendejo line was in jest.

Will Ragatz
@WillRagatz
·
14h
Replying to
@WillRagatz
Ha, not necessarily. The Sendejo line was in jest. That hit was a couple years ago and he had only one penalty (a PI) last season. I'm sure he understands the line between being physical and being stupid.



but he's probably already got a target on his back with the nfl refs...harry was ejected last year and called for a couple of others....

_____________________________

the journey...is paradise.
Post #: 1189
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 2:56:23 PM   
ratoppenheimer


Posts: 9555
Joined: 12/9/2007
From: cascais, portugal...still in exile
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: kgdabom

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Dana Turner

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

So is it:

A) take a CB
B) trade down
C) take Willis
D) take Corral
E) take OG
F) something else

???


I'm hoping Seattle gives us their two number two's to move up and get their QB.

That would be nice.

There are no excuses tonight for getting bad value or reaching for someone(@34).

We have had 20 hours to call teams and figure stuff out.

I just think after seeing what Kwesi did last night there's no way Seattle will offer that much. They will offer less and Kwesi will cave.


i think that seattle probably leaps over us and gets him....

_____________________________

the journey...is paradise.
Post #: 1190
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 3:00:48 PM   
kgdabom

 

Posts: 33770
Joined: 7/29/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: ratoppenheimer

quote:

ORIGINAL: kgdabom

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Dana Turner

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

So is it:

A) take a CB
B) trade down
C) take Willis
D) take Corral
E) take OG
F) something else

???


I'm hoping Seattle gives us their two number two's to move up and get their QB.

That would be nice.

There are no excuses tonight for getting bad value or reaching for someone(@34).

We have had 20 hours to call teams and figure stuff out.

I just think after seeing what Kwesi did last night there's no way Seattle will offer that much. They will offer less and Kwesi will cave.


i think that seattle probably leaps over us and gets him....

Right why trade with us and let somebody leapfrog them. Just deal with Tampa.

_____________________________

"So let it be written.
So let it be done."
Post #: 1191
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 3:04:13 PM   
David Levine


Posts: 77901
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From: Las Vegas
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: ratoppenheimer

quote:

ORIGINAL: kgdabom

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

https://twitter.com/WillRagatz/status/1519905057281658881

The mention of Sendejo is a real downer. But he didn't take out one of his teammates so I think the comparison is wrong

Right below the video he said the Sendejo line was in jest.

Will Ragatz
@WillRagatz
·
14h
Replying to
@WillRagatz
Ha, not necessarily. The Sendejo line was in jest. That hit was a couple years ago and he had only one penalty (a PI) last season. I'm sure he understands the line between being physical and being stupid.



but he's probably already got a target on his back with the nfl refs...harry was ejected last year and called for a couple of others....


The NFL refs likely have no idea who he even is.
Post #: 1192
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 3:27:34 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28598
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Dana Turner

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

So is it:

A) take a CB
B) trade down
C) take Willis
D) take Corral
E) take OG
F) something else

???


I'm hoping Seattle gives us their two number two's to move up and get their QB.

That would be nice.

There are no excuses tonight for getting bad value or reaching for someone(@34).

We have had 20 hours to call teams and figure stuff out.


But did Kwesi have enough time to build his new color-coded draft value chart.
Post #: 1193
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 3:30:35 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28598
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: ratoppenheimer

quote:

ORIGINAL: kgdabom

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

https://twitter.com/WillRagatz/status/1519905057281658881

The mention of Sendejo is a real downer. But he didn't take out one of his teammates so I think the comparison is wrong

Right below the video he said the Sendejo line was in jest.

Will Ragatz
@WillRagatz
·
14h
Replying to
@WillRagatz
Ha, not necessarily. The Sendejo line was in jest. That hit was a couple years ago and he had only one penalty (a PI) last season. I'm sure he understands the line between being physical and being stupid.



but he's probably already got a target on his back with the nfl refs...harry was ejected last year and called for a couple of others....


The NFL refs likely have no idea who he even is.


Maybe they use a draft penalty chart. "That Cine guy has an equivalent of 220 penalty yards his first season. He's the skinny safety playing for Minny."
Post #: 1194
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 3:38:43 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28598
Status: offline
The gall of Scraps scoffing at the notion he was taken behind the woodshed in that trade: "Value chart? Hey, you're talking to the guy who built value charts."

Big damn deal. I can build them too, doesn't mean they are any good.

Mr. Pretend Value likely got fixated on a player and/or a trade back scenario. The Lions come calling. Yey, the phone finally rang! They sense Kwesi is all excited, low ball him, and wait. Silence. Kwesi starts to utter a counter. They cut him off and tell him to go pound sand. Silence. Collaboration Kwesi caves.

Then at the presser, Woodshed offers a bunch of mumbo jumbo.

All is well!
Post #: 1195
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 3:52:45 PM   
DavidAOlson

 

Posts: 18931
Joined: 8/2/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Dana Turner

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

So is it:

A) take a CB
B) trade down
C) take Willis
D) take Corral
E) take OG
F) something else

???


I'm hoping Seattle gives us their two number two's to move up and get their QB.


I would not be surprised. Somebody will trade for 33 or 34, to nab Willis.

We can reverse engineer one fact, though: I think the Vikes said they had Cine in the teens on their board. They weren't willing to trade down and risk losing him at 33. So he was the only player left they rated that highly. I doubt they have another player isolated in the next tier of value. So that suggests they will be willing to trade down from 34.

Plus teams have had all day to offer trades for 33 and 34. I kind of expect a modest trade down.

_____________________________

I give myself very good advice, but I very seldom follow it. --- Alice
Post #: 1196
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 3:58:17 PM  1 votes
Phil Riewer


Posts: 27426
Joined: 8/24/2007
From: MN
Status: offline
If I am drafting I grab the most talented guy. A possible top 10 pick before Achilles injury. Ojabo. Don’t care if he can’t play until October.

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KIA 23 March 2007 Habbaniyah Iraq
Post #: 1197
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 4:00:05 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28598
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke

Listening to Common on KFAN. He had a guy on with NBC sports, locally based. Don’t know who he is but he brings up an interesting point. This draft is weaker on top, but unusually deep, due too Covid and other factors.

That’s probably what drove Kwesi to the trade. Trade charts that are static from year to year assigning a set value to each spot and don’t take into account the makeup of a draft said Vikings lost the trade. But a system that factors in the characteristics of a particular draft may tell a different story.


How did COVID and other factors make the draft weaker on top?
Post #: 1198
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 4:03:44 PM   
DavidAOlson

 

Posts: 18931
Joined: 8/2/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Karl Juhnke
...
It’s like I said, any draft chart that is just generic and not specific to one draft doesn’t tell the whole story. Kwesi in his past has helped construct charts like this. I’m not saying he won or lost, but to suggest that he is not aware of factors like Rich Hill’s chart is absurd.

The wheel’s still in spin. impossible to judge yet.


Exactly. The chart for last year should have been adjusted because of Covid effects and fewer players. I suspect 7th round picks had almost no value. This year that's flipped, with extra players. Both 2021 and 2022 are obviously atypical years, and "standard" draft charts are outright wrong.

It'd be a great year to Trader Rick into a stash of 7th round picks, because you can probably lock up 5th & 6th round talent. And UDFAs will be unusually rich.

_____________________________

I give myself very good advice, but I very seldom follow it. --- Alice
Post #: 1199
RE: 2022 NFL draft - 4/29/2022 4:05:02 PM   
marty


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Status: offline
Maybe Kwesi DOES have concerns about injury, and that may be the reason he passed on Williams.

I was concerned that Williams will be injury prone, and I think he will get injured a lot in Detroit.

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SKOL to the BOWL !!!
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