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RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 11:57:55 AM   
David Levine


Posts: 77942
Joined: 7/14/2007
From: Las Vegas
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Daniel Lee Young

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark C. Johnson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Daniel Lee Young

He tries to win, KFC does not..

Case closed.


Tries to win? What does that mean? I live in Illinois near Chicago so I"m force fed Bear news and every single game is on TV. Fields is a very, very inaccurate passer and doesn't see the field well at all. His only skill is running. Cousins has his faults, that's obvious, but there is no way that any objective football observer would take Fields over Cousins at this point in time. If Fields "tries" to win, then why have the Bears lost 13 straight games?

He is in his second season…

JFC..KFC is in his 12th

KFC has multiple talented receivers, everywhere, including out of the backfield..

Chicago got waffle stomped by Kanas city, I didn’t watch the game, I had plumbing to look at for my SIL.

when I got back home, Kc was up 41-0, K C backupQB, running backs, and skill players were still gashing Chicago for yards.

Chicago got 2 turnover, by their defense.. scored on both of them..

How did Cousins do when handed a take-away or TOOD in scoring position…?


He ****ing choked..

I await your but, but..,but..
Rebuttal claiming that Fields, as a second year player, has piss poor mechanics and patience in the passing game.

What the hell ever…

His mobility is a PLUS.

Our STATUTE QB, has no pocket awareness, and stands there eating hits and fumbling, like the moron he is…

Prosecution rests.


Then we might as well put Mattison at QB if that's all you care about.
Post #: 2701
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:02:25 PM   
Daniel Lee Young

 

Posts: 14027
Status: offline
Oh let’s see..

24 year old Mobil Qb on his rookie contract with a shithouse OC and “ meh” receivers, or a 38 y/o “ veteran never will/ was/is…”
Who is a stat king…?

We are in full suck mode..

I’d bench KFC immediately and see how “ you like that?!”


He, KFC is useless, gutless, worthless and a money pt.

FH.

Fields will probably look like an AllPro, against our defense and secondary, right now.

only 1-2 LBs who can tackle, Cornerbacks who can’t cover a toddler in a stroller, being Pushed across the middle.. and safeties, who are either burnt toast or out of position..


The 3-4 of Flores, KOC and his “complex offensive plays calling, and the Sloth of KFC calling those reads and plays at the LOS, is the trifecta of “ this shit sucks ass”…

Bench Cousins.. what’s the worst that can happen? Mullins plays?

This season is shot barring a multiple plane crash involving our next 7 opponents..

JMO.

< Message edited by Daniel Lee Young -- 9/25/2023 12:03:32 PM >


_____________________________

**** you all.
Post #: 2702
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:05:25 PM   
Arlowe84

 

Posts: 331
Joined: 9/30/2019
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When is the last time a Vikings team has blown the door off an opponent?

I know it's rarer these days in the NFL, but like what Buffalo did Was or what Dallas did it's first 2 weeks.

It seems like it's been years, they team has relied on close games forever.

I think that is what you get when you build you team from the outside in, which is what it seems like the team has been doing for years
Rick did it, and now Kwesi is doing it. They are just good enough to compete with all the skill players, but will never be able to take over and dominate a game with this roster constuction.

Rick at least got Barr/Kendricks and got lucky with Hunter.

I really hope this team starts investing in the trenches. I know we finally got Darrisaw and Bradbury (who did not work out) before that, but I applaud that effort.
The defensive side, it's shocking how little draft capital they've put in the dline.
Post #: 2703
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:06:34 PM   
Trekgeekscott


Posts: 39296
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From: United Federation of Planets
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Daniel Lee Young



Bench Cousins.. what’s the worst that can happen? Mullins plays?

This season is shot barring a multiple plane crash involving our next 7 opponents..

JMO.


Yeah Dan, a lot of us are saying that.

_____________________________

“There is no hate like Christian love.”
Post #: 2704
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:08:11 PM   
Richard Neussendorfer

 

Posts: 19617
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From: Alamogordo, NM
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KOC blaming the crowd is about as dumb as it gets. Does anyone really buy that?
Post #: 2705
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:13:31 PM   
David F.


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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzfLYsjgK7M

OK. Let's look at pressure on our QB objectively. That link is to the condensed game. It takes 47 minutes to watch. I just went through every offensive play and used a timer to gauge if we allowed a pressure on a play. I used three seconds. If the ball is out or no defender is about to make contact at three seconds I determined it to be a play free of pressure. I came up with 58 pass plays. Some were negated by penalties. I didn't have the time to sort those out. Here are the resutls:

Out of 58 pass plays I determined that the Chargers got pressure clearly on six plays. There are also two plays where Cousins is sacked or hit at exactly three seconds so let's count those also. That makes eight plays out of 58 or 14% of drop backs.

Kirk successfully navigated the pressure three of the plays including throwing a TD pass on one of them.

His sacks came at 3, 5, 6, and 5 seconds so like I said I counted the 3 second one as a pressure.

I saved my notes on this so if anyone else wants to go through the plays like I did and disagree with my results I'm willing to take a look.

14% pressure rate and half the fan base talks about "running for his life from the onset of the snap on every play".

_____________________________

I wouldn't give ANY qb $30-50+ mil unless that QB had won me a Super Bowl. Did you win a Super Bowl on your rookie deal? Yes? Great! Here's your hugenormous contract. F it let's just run victory laps and love life. No? Good luck. Next!
Post #: 2706
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:15:44 PM   
Bill Johanesen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

There needs to be wins, or this season is over.

Ah, the old mathematical chance.

In the Super Bowl era, only 2.4% of 0-3 teams have overcome such a start to make the postseason. Yes, that statistic spans 14-game, 16-game and 17-game seasons. But it hasn't happened since the NFL expanded the regular season to 17 games. The last 0-3 team to make the playoffs was the 2018 Houston Texans.


OK. the line that says it hasn't happened since the NFL expanded the regular season.

How many seasons have had 17 games so far?

That being said...anything can happen but it's not likely. We can't even win winnable games. There is no sign in our play we can turn this thing around. and it's not like we don't still have a lot of tough games ahead.

We will need a lot of things to change rather rapidly or we will go nowhere but to the top of the draft which is probably the best scenario at this point.


It's not like we've played really well. We've been good enough to be in the games but there are a lot of warts here. I just don't see a team with these warts suddenly becoming really good. It's not just overcoming 0-3 and a few bad breaks. It's overcoming our own glaring easily exploitable shortcomings as well. I just don't see it. I don't believe in tanking, but continuing to lose would be better. We dont' stand a chance against the better teams in this league right now.


Why even ask how many 17 game seasons there have been since ZERO 0-3 teams have made the playoffs during that time.



It doesn't even matter Bill.

It's just stupid to point out that no team has done it in the two years we've had 17 games. So what? I would think that one extra game would increase the odds of recoving from an 0-3 start...but...

What matters is we don't have the personnel, coaching, and chutzpah to pull it off anyway.

Our 12 year veteran QB apparently needs to be told to clock the ball (this isn't new either. IIRC it happened with Zimmer here too) Our Defense can't generate Pressure on the QB. Our Oline can't protect. more than half of Kwesi's draft picks can't play themselves onto the field. This team is not poised to buck the odds at all. Right now the odds in a 17 game season is 0%. It would take a far more talented and better prepared roster to do this. With our remaining schedule and lackluster play/gameplanning/two minute drill calamity, there is no way this team can overcome it.


Correct, it doesn't matter in that it won't influence outcomes (except maybe psychologically). So if it doesn't matter, why you continue to harp on it? To pretend to be smart? Sure there is an additional game to help buck the trend. Anybody knows that. You didn't uncover some grand gold nugget. And they are still oh-fer in the 17 game seasons.

Sorry you can't deal with a "stupid" historical tidbit.

< Message edited by Bill Johanesen -- 9/25/2023 12:25:03 PM >
Post #: 2707
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:19:03 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28639
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzfLYsjgK7M

OK. Let's look at pressure on our QB objectively. That link is to the condensed game. It takes 47 minutes to watch. I just went through every offensive play and used a timer to gauge if we allowed a pressure on a play. I used three seconds. If the ball is out or no defender is about to make contact at three seconds I determined it to be a play free of pressure. I came up with 58 pass plays. Some were negated by penalties. I didn't have the time to sort those out. Here are the resutls:

Out of 58 pass plays I determined that the Chargers got pressure clearly on six plays. There are also two plays where Cousins is sacked or hit at exactly three seconds so let's count those also. That makes eight plays out of 58 or 14% of drop backs.

Kirk successfully navigated the pressure three of the plays including throwing a TD pass on one of them.

His sacks came at 3, 5, 6, and 5 seconds so like I said I counted the 3 second one as a pressure.

I saved my notes on this so if anyone else wants to go through the plays like I did and disagree with my results I'm willing to take a look.

14% pressure rate and half the fan base talks about "running for his life from the onset of the snap on every play".



Nice.
Post #: 2708
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:22:43 PM   
Trekgeekscott


Posts: 39296
Joined: 7/16/2007
From: United Federation of Planets
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Richard Neussendorfer

KOC blaming the crowd is about as dumb as it gets. Does anyone really buy that?


Not for a second.

If you don't know to clock the ball in that situation, you are a dumbfuck that doesn't derserve the starting job.

After 12 years in the league you should know better, and they were getting loud because THEY knew you needed to clock it, but you didn't.

_____________________________

“There is no hate like Christian love.”
Post #: 2709
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:25:39 PM   
Arlowe84

 

Posts: 331
Joined: 9/30/2019
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzfLYsjgK7M

OK. Let's look at pressure on our QB objectively. That link is to the condensed game. It takes 47 minutes to watch. I just went through every offensive play and used a timer to gauge if we allowed a pressure on a play. I used three seconds. If the ball is out or no defender is about to make contact at three seconds I determined it to be a play free of pressure. I came up with 58 pass plays. Some were negated by penalties. I didn't have the time to sort those out. Here are the resutls:

Out of 58 pass plays I determined that the Chargers got pressure clearly on six plays. There are also two plays where Cousins is sacked or hit at exactly three seconds so let's count those also. That makes eight plays out of 58 or 14% of drop backs.

Kirk successfully navigated the pressure three of the plays including throwing a TD pass on one of them.

His sacks came at 3, 5, 6, and 5 seconds so like I said I counted the 3 second one as a pressure.

I saved my notes on this so if anyone else wants to go through the plays like I did and disagree with my results I'm willing to take a look.

14% pressure rate and half the fan base talks about "running for his life from the onset of the snap on every play".



Nice.


Yep, the problem is he's so immobile any sort fo break looks like pressure, where as more mobile QBs are able to shift away from things. Kirk makes it look worse because he can't move
Post #: 2710
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:28:53 PM   
Trekgeekscott


Posts: 39296
Joined: 7/16/2007
From: United Federation of Planets
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzfLYsjgK7M

OK. Let's look at pressure on our QB objectively. That link is to the condensed game. It takes 47 minutes to watch. I just went through every offensive play and used a timer to gauge if we allowed a pressure on a play. I used three seconds. If the ball is out or no defender is about to make contact at three seconds I determined it to be a play free of pressure. I came up with 58 pass plays. Some were negated by penalties. I didn't have the time to sort those out. Here are the resutls:

Out of 58 pass plays I determined that the Chargers got pressure clearly on six plays. There are also two plays where Cousins is sacked or hit at exactly three seconds so let's count those also. That makes eight plays out of 58 or 14% of drop backs.

Kirk successfully navigated the pressure three of the plays including throwing a TD pass on one of them.

His sacks came at 3, 5, 6, and 5 seconds so like I said I counted the 3 second one as a pressure.

I saved my notes on this so if anyone else wants to go through the plays like I did and disagree with my results I'm willing to take a look.

14% pressure rate and half the fan base talks about "running for his life from the onset of the snap on every play".



3 seconds seems sort of arbitrary to me. but it is a nice analysis.

For some QBs 3 seconds is all they need. for many, they need more. So it depends more on the QB. For a Justin Herbert 3 seconds is more than enough time. For a Kirk Cousins it probably isn't. Plus some QBs actually handle pressure better. But i do appreciate the effort you made to analyze this. and stand corrected.

It just seems like our Oline is completely ineffective at providing a clean pocket. or at protecting the QB in general. He gets hit a lot even as he makes a successful throw. and Cousins does hold the ball too long frequently.

It just looks like the pocket collapses almost instantaneously every snap and even if no hit is made that adds pressure to the QB.

Again. I applaud your analysis and stand corrected.

Well done on that.

I just think there is far more to it than your analysis provides.

< Message edited by Trekgeekscott -- 9/25/2023 12:32:40 PM >


_____________________________

“There is no hate like Christian love.”
Post #: 2711
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:30:26 PM   
Arlowe84

 

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Joined: 9/30/2019
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Was listening to Kfan vent line last night, and an interesting topic came up.

Not the Jets (who's pick is frozen), but New Orleans. If Carr is out for the year, that is a really interesting spot. They have a 1st round pick.
If we have a top 10 pick, for QB and then use the Saints pick for the biggest nastiest DT you can find?

Kirk would get to go to another dome, New Orleans has a very good defense, and could very well compete this year.

I know Kirk has a not trade clause, but would he waive it with a very legitimate chance to win the division?
I agree with Judd though. Kirk is so insecure, he would demand a 3 year deal.
Post #: 2712
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:31:23 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28639
Status: offline
On the surface, the crowd should have shut up but I suppose each of the tens of thousands of individuals thought their voice alone would be the one that would clearly be heard.

At the same time, the crowd can be excused on that play because as soon as the previous play was complete, the next play was a simple/no-brainer whereby NO information needed to be sent in. KFC merely needed to show the clock motion while running to the LOS.

< Message edited by Bill Johanesen -- 9/25/2023 12:38:57 PM >
Post #: 2713
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:32:53 PM   
David F.


Posts: 10864
Joined: 12/31/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzfLYsjgK7M

OK. Let's look at pressure on our QB objectively. That link is to the condensed game. It takes 47 minutes to watch. I just went through every offensive play and used a timer to gauge if we allowed a pressure on a play. I used three seconds. If the ball is out or no defender is about to make contact at three seconds I determined it to be a play free of pressure. I came up with 58 pass plays. Some were negated by penalties. I didn't have the time to sort those out. Here are the resutls:

Out of 58 pass plays I determined that the Chargers got pressure clearly on six plays. There are also two plays where Cousins is sacked or hit at exactly three seconds so let's count those also. That makes eight plays out of 58 or 14% of drop backs.

Kirk successfully navigated the pressure three of the plays including throwing a TD pass on one of them.

His sacks came at 3, 5, 6, and 5 seconds so like I said I counted the 3 second one as a pressure.

I saved my notes on this so if anyone else wants to go through the plays like I did and disagree with my results I'm willing to take a look.

14% pressure rate and half the fan base talks about "running for his life from the onset of the snap on every play".



3 seconds seems sort of arbitrary to me. but it is a nice analysis.

For some QBs 3 seconds is all they need. for many, they need more. So it depends more on the QB. For a Justin Herbert 3 seconds is more than enough time. For a Kirk Cousins it probably isn't. But i do appreciate the effort you made to analyze this. and stand corrected.

It just seems like our Oline is completely ineffective at providing a clean pocket. or at protecting the QB in general. He gets hit a lot even as he makes a successful throw. and Cousins does hold the ball too long frequently.

It just looks like the pocket collapses almost instantaneously every snap and even if no hit is made that adds pressure to the QB.

Again. I applaud your analysis and stand corrected.

Well done on that.

I just think there is far more to it than your analysis provides.


I find that when I go back the following day and can replay each play multiple times I realize that my emotions during my first viewing can skew my reality on what really happened.

_____________________________

I wouldn't give ANY qb $30-50+ mil unless that QB had won me a Super Bowl. Did you win a Super Bowl on your rookie deal? Yes? Great! Here's your hugenormous contract. F it let's just run victory laps and love life. No? Good luck. Next!
Post #: 2714
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:37:18 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28639
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzfLYsjgK7M

OK. Let's look at pressure on our QB objectively. That link is to the condensed game. It takes 47 minutes to watch. I just went through every offensive play and used a timer to gauge if we allowed a pressure on a play. I used three seconds. If the ball is out or no defender is about to make contact at three seconds I determined it to be a play free of pressure. I came up with 58 pass plays. Some were negated by penalties. I didn't have the time to sort those out. Here are the resutls:

Out of 58 pass plays I determined that the Chargers got pressure clearly on six plays. There are also two plays where Cousins is sacked or hit at exactly three seconds so let's count those also. That makes eight plays out of 58 or 14% of drop backs.

Kirk successfully navigated the pressure three of the plays including throwing a TD pass on one of them.

His sacks came at 3, 5, 6, and 5 seconds so like I said I counted the 3 second one as a pressure.

I saved my notes on this so if anyone else wants to go through the plays like I did and disagree with my results I'm willing to take a look.

14% pressure rate and half the fan base talks about "running for his life from the onset of the snap on every play".



3 seconds seems sort of arbitrary to me. but it is a nice analysis.

For some QBs 3 seconds is all they need. for many, they need more. So it depends more on the QB. For a Justin Herbert 3 seconds is more than enough time. For a Kirk Cousins it probably isn't. Plus some QBs actually handle pressure better. But i do appreciate the effort you made to analyze this. and stand corrected.

It just seems like our Oline is completely ineffective at providing a clean pocket. or at protecting the QB in general. He gets hit a lot even as he makes a successful throw. and Cousins does hold the ball too long frequently.

It just looks like the pocket collapses almost instantaneously every snap and even if no hit is made that adds pressure to the QB.

Again. I applaud your analysis and stand corrected.

Well done on that.

I just think there is far more to it than your analysis provides.



WTF? Of course 3 seconds is technically arbitrary. 4.5 speed for a WR is arbitrary. A DEs wingspan is arbitrary. A sold out crowd is arbitrary. But they are good barometers, based on averages.

And you were the guy who basically said last week that a QB should expect to have 4-5 seconds.
Post #: 2715
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:37:44 PM   
Trekgeekscott


Posts: 39296
Joined: 7/16/2007
From: United Federation of Planets
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzfLYsjgK7M

OK. Let's look at pressure on our QB objectively. That link is to the condensed game. It takes 47 minutes to watch. I just went through every offensive play and used a timer to gauge if we allowed a pressure on a play. I used three seconds. If the ball is out or no defender is about to make contact at three seconds I determined it to be a play free of pressure. I came up with 58 pass plays. Some were negated by penalties. I didn't have the time to sort those out. Here are the resutls:

Out of 58 pass plays I determined that the Chargers got pressure clearly on six plays. There are also two plays where Cousins is sacked or hit at exactly three seconds so let's count those also. That makes eight plays out of 58 or 14% of drop backs.

Kirk successfully navigated the pressure three of the plays including throwing a TD pass on one of them.

His sacks came at 3, 5, 6, and 5 seconds so like I said I counted the 3 second one as a pressure.

I saved my notes on this so if anyone else wants to go through the plays like I did and disagree with my results I'm willing to take a look.

14% pressure rate and half the fan base talks about "running for his life from the onset of the snap on every play".



3 seconds seems sort of arbitrary to me. but it is a nice analysis.

For some QBs 3 seconds is all they need. for many, they need more. So it depends more on the QB. For a Justin Herbert 3 seconds is more than enough time. For a Kirk Cousins it probably isn't. But i do appreciate the effort you made to analyze this. and stand corrected.

It just seems like our Oline is completely ineffective at providing a clean pocket. or at protecting the QB in general. He gets hit a lot even as he makes a successful throw. and Cousins does hold the ball too long frequently.

It just looks like the pocket collapses almost instantaneously every snap and even if no hit is made that adds pressure to the QB.

Again. I applaud your analysis and stand corrected.

Well done on that.

I just think there is far more to it than your analysis provides.


I find that when I go back the following day and can replay each play multiple times I realize that my emotions during my first viewing can skew my reality on what really happened.



I am sure you are right. I am sure that my emotions do cloud my judgement. I try really hard to be objective and give more passes than many for bad play but after a while, I just can't unsee bad play anymore. When I have had enogh bad emotions about a particular player/coach it hits me like a ton of bricks. With Zimmer it was that loss to Detroit where all we had to do was keep them out of the endzone and he let them march right down the field and score. With Kirk it was not clocking the ball. and this Oline is pretty close. hopefully Risner can help but I am not feeling positive about it.

_____________________________

“There is no hate like Christian love.”
Post #: 2716
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:39:50 PM   
Ricky J


Posts: 18357
Joined: 7/19/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: Ricky J

... you have to make the QB feel you ....


And there is nothing wrong with that...


Something's got to change [IOW, get some pressure on the QB]. We've gotta find some freekin' dawgs that can win some one-on-one pass rush or this is going to be a really really long season
Post #: 2717
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:41:29 PM   
Trekgeekscott


Posts: 39296
Joined: 7/16/2007
From: United Federation of Planets
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzfLYsjgK7M

OK. Let's look at pressure on our QB objectively. That link is to the condensed game. It takes 47 minutes to watch. I just went through every offensive play and used a timer to gauge if we allowed a pressure on a play. I used three seconds. If the ball is out or no defender is about to make contact at three seconds I determined it to be a play free of pressure. I came up with 58 pass plays. Some were negated by penalties. I didn't have the time to sort those out. Here are the resutls:

Out of 58 pass plays I determined that the Chargers got pressure clearly on six plays. There are also two plays where Cousins is sacked or hit at exactly three seconds so let's count those also. That makes eight plays out of 58 or 14% of drop backs.

Kirk successfully navigated the pressure three of the plays including throwing a TD pass on one of them.

His sacks came at 3, 5, 6, and 5 seconds so like I said I counted the 3 second one as a pressure.

I saved my notes on this so if anyone else wants to go through the plays like I did and disagree with my results I'm willing to take a look.

14% pressure rate and half the fan base talks about "running for his life from the onset of the snap on every play".



3 seconds seems sort of arbitrary to me. but it is a nice analysis.

For some QBs 3 seconds is all they need. for many, they need more. So it depends more on the QB. For a Justin Herbert 3 seconds is more than enough time. For a Kirk Cousins it probably isn't. Plus some QBs actually handle pressure better. But i do appreciate the effort you made to analyze this. and stand corrected.

It just seems like our Oline is completely ineffective at providing a clean pocket. or at protecting the QB in general. He gets hit a lot even as he makes a successful throw. and Cousins does hold the ball too long frequently.

It just looks like the pocket collapses almost instantaneously every snap and even if no hit is made that adds pressure to the QB.

Again. I applaud your analysis and stand corrected.

Well done on that.

I just think there is far more to it than your analysis provides.



WTF? Of course 3 seconds is technically arbitrary. 4.5 speed for a WR is arbitrary. A DEs wingspan is arbitrary. A sold out crowd is arbitrary. But they are good barometers, based on averages.

And you were the guy who basically said last week that a QB should expect to have 4-5 seconds.


Well I can see you've got a problem with me now.

It's arbitrary. and consistant. i wouldn't call three seconds pressure, I would go longer. How many plays did he get hit after 4.5 seconds? and if he's one that doesn't handle pressure well, he's going to feel it more anyway.

Get over it Bill. I gave credit for Davids Analysis and admitted that I stand corrected.

Sheesh. lighten up.

_____________________________

“There is no hate like Christian love.”
Post #: 2718
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:42:52 PM   
David Levine


Posts: 77942
Joined: 7/14/2007
From: Las Vegas
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzfLYsjgK7M

OK. Let's look at pressure on our QB objectively. That link is to the condensed game. It takes 47 minutes to watch. I just went through every offensive play and used a timer to gauge if we allowed a pressure on a play. I used three seconds. If the ball is out or no defender is about to make contact at three seconds I determined it to be a play free of pressure. I came up with 58 pass plays. Some were negated by penalties. I didn't have the time to sort those out. Here are the resutls:

Out of 58 pass plays I determined that the Chargers got pressure clearly on six plays. There are also two plays where Cousins is sacked or hit at exactly three seconds so let's count those also. That makes eight plays out of 58 or 14% of drop backs.

Kirk successfully navigated the pressure three of the plays including throwing a TD pass on one of them.

His sacks came at 3, 5, 6, and 5 seconds so like I said I counted the 3 second one as a pressure.

I saved my notes on this so if anyone else wants to go through the plays like I did and disagree with my results I'm willing to take a look.

14% pressure rate and half the fan base talks about "running for his life from the onset of the snap on every play".



3 seconds seems sort of arbitrary to me. but it is a nice analysis.

For some QBs 3 seconds is all they need. for many, they need more. So it depends more on the QB. For a Justin Herbert 3 seconds is more than enough time. For a Kirk Cousins it probably isn't. Plus some QBs actually handle pressure better. But i do appreciate the effort you made to analyze this. and stand corrected.

It just seems like our Oline is completely ineffective at providing a clean pocket. or at protecting the QB in general. He gets hit a lot even as he makes a successful throw. and Cousins does hold the ball too long frequently.

It just looks like the pocket collapses almost instantaneously every snap and even if no hit is made that adds pressure to the QB.

Again. I applaud your analysis and stand corrected.

Well done on that.

I just think there is far more to it than your analysis provides.


3 seconds is pretty much the agreed upon time that the ball should be gone by. Anything more than 3 seconds and you generally have a QB running for his life or scrambling like hell to make a throw. The guys who routinely finish above 3 are the runners. Fields, Watson, Wilson, etc.

There are only 5 QBs that are averaging over 3 seconds - with Zach Wilson being a distant last at 3.2. That tracks with most years. The top guys will usually be in the 2.4-2.5 range.

Cousins is getting rid of the ball in 2.89 seconds on average - which puts him just outside the bottom 3rd. And in line with pretty much all of his career.
Post #: 2719
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:45:29 PM   
David Levine


Posts: 77942
Joined: 7/14/2007
From: Las Vegas
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Arlowe84

Was listening to Kfan vent line last night, and an interesting topic came up.

Not the Jets (who's pick is frozen), but New Orleans. If Carr is out for the year, that is a really interesting spot. They have a 1st round pick.
If we have a top 10 pick, for QB and then use the Saints pick for the biggest nastiest DT you can find?

Kirk would get to go to another dome, New Orleans has a very good defense, and could very well compete this year.

I know Kirk has a not trade clause, but would he waive it with a very legitimate chance to win the division?
I agree with Judd though. Kirk is so insecure, he would demand a 3 year deal.


I'd probably rather draft a C or G to protect my new QB.

I feel like DTs are easier to get in FA than good O-Linemen.
Post #: 2720
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:45:34 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28639
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Arlowe84

Was listening to Kfan vent line last night, and an interesting topic came up.

Not the Jets (who's pick is frozen), but New Orleans. If Carr is out for the year, that is a really interesting spot. They have a 1st round pick.
If we have a top 10 pick, for QB and then use the Saints pick for the biggest nastiest DT you can find?

Kirk would get to go to another dome, New Orleans has a very good defense, and could very well compete this year.

I know Kirk has a not trade clause, but would he waive it with a very legitimate chance to win the division?
I agree with Judd though. Kirk is so insecure, he would demand a 3 year deal.


For Kirk, just follow the opportunity to build stats and secure a big contract.
Post #: 2721
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:45:34 PM   
Trekgeekscott


Posts: 39296
Joined: 7/16/2007
From: United Federation of Planets
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzfLYsjgK7M

OK. Let's look at pressure on our QB objectively. That link is to the condensed game. It takes 47 minutes to watch. I just went through every offensive play and used a timer to gauge if we allowed a pressure on a play. I used three seconds. If the ball is out or no defender is about to make contact at three seconds I determined it to be a play free of pressure. I came up with 58 pass plays. Some were negated by penalties. I didn't have the time to sort those out. Here are the resutls:

Out of 58 pass plays I determined that the Chargers got pressure clearly on six plays. There are also two plays where Cousins is sacked or hit at exactly three seconds so let's count those also. That makes eight plays out of 58 or 14% of drop backs.

Kirk successfully navigated the pressure three of the plays including throwing a TD pass on one of them.

His sacks came at 3, 5, 6, and 5 seconds so like I said I counted the 3 second one as a pressure.

I saved my notes on this so if anyone else wants to go through the plays like I did and disagree with my results I'm willing to take a look.

14% pressure rate and half the fan base talks about "running for his life from the onset of the snap on every play".



3 seconds seems sort of arbitrary to me. but it is a nice analysis.

For some QBs 3 seconds is all they need. for many, they need more. So it depends more on the QB. For a Justin Herbert 3 seconds is more than enough time. For a Kirk Cousins it probably isn't. Plus some QBs actually handle pressure better. But i do appreciate the effort you made to analyze this. and stand corrected.

It just seems like our Oline is completely ineffective at providing a clean pocket. or at protecting the QB in general. He gets hit a lot even as he makes a successful throw. and Cousins does hold the ball too long frequently.

It just looks like the pocket collapses almost instantaneously every snap and even if no hit is made that adds pressure to the QB.

Again. I applaud your analysis and stand corrected.

Well done on that.

I just think there is far more to it than your analysis provides.


3 seconds is pretty much the agreed upon time that the ball should be gone by. Anything more than 3 seconds and you generally have a QB running for his life or scrambling like hell to make a throw. The guys who routinely finish above 3 are the runners. Fields, Watson, Wilson, etc.

There are only 5 QBs that are averaging over 3 seconds - with Zach Wilson being a distant last at 3.2. That tracks with most years. The top guys will usually be in the 2.4-2.5 range.

Cousins is getting rid of the ball in 2.89 seconds on average - which puts him just outside the bottom 3rd. And in line with pretty much all of his career.

OK

I stand corrected.

_____________________________

“There is no hate like Christian love.”
Post #: 2722
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:47:05 PM   
David F.


Posts: 10864
Joined: 12/31/2007
Status: offline
The Vikings have an excellent offensive line and I'm standing by that. You can quote me.

_____________________________

I wouldn't give ANY qb $30-50+ mil unless that QB had won me a Super Bowl. Did you win a Super Bowl on your rookie deal? Yes? Great! Here's your hugenormous contract. F it let's just run victory laps and love life. No? Good luck. Next!
Post #: 2723
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:47:52 PM   
Trekgeekscott


Posts: 39296
Joined: 7/16/2007
From: United Federation of Planets
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: Arlowe84

Was listening to Kfan vent line last night, and an interesting topic came up.

Not the Jets (who's pick is frozen), but New Orleans. If Carr is out for the year, that is a really interesting spot. They have a 1st round pick.
If we have a top 10 pick, for QB and then use the Saints pick for the biggest nastiest DT you can find?

Kirk would get to go to another dome, New Orleans has a very good defense, and could very well compete this year.

I know Kirk has a not trade clause, but would he waive it with a very legitimate chance to win the division?
I agree with Judd though. Kirk is so insecure, he would demand a 3 year deal.


I'd probably rather draft a C or G to protect my new QB.

I feel like DTs are easier to get in FA than good O-Linemen.


They might be harder to get but, if you can get one they usually have a far better feel for the nuance and blocking schemes than a rookie. where as an athletic DT can be plugged in right away as the ability and instincts will make up for some early struggles with scheme. JMO

_____________________________

“There is no hate like Christian love.”
Post #: 2724
RE: General Vikes Talk - 9/25/2023 12:48:32 PM   
Trekgeekscott


Posts: 39296
Joined: 7/16/2007
From: United Federation of Planets
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

The Vikings have an excellent offensive line and I'm standing by that. You can quote me.



I will agree to disagree.

and you can quote me on that.

_____________________________

“There is no hate like Christian love.”
Post #: 2725
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