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RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/16/2026 10:19:09 AM   
Bill Johanesen


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If one subscribes to the theory that there is a three year lag before a team feels the effect of its draft results, early returns suggest the effect is somewhere between lots of hope to we're screwed

2023 - Addison, Blackmon, Ward, Roy, Hall, McBride
2024 - JJM, Turner, Rouse, Reichard, Jurgens, LDR
2025 - Jackson, Felton, Ingram-Dawkins, King, Bartholomew

UDFA (the stock in cupboard doesn't match the hoopla)
2023 - Pace, N. Thompson
2024 - Murphy, McGlothern, Taimani
2025 - Brosmer, Huber, Price, E. Williams
Post #: 2626
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/16/2026 10:29:18 AM   
Tom Sykes

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

quote:

ORIGINAL: TJSweens

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: TJSweens

The Vikings can just convert the salaries of JJ, Darrisaw, O'Neil, Hockenson and Greenard to signing bonuses and save up to $65M in cap space. Hargrave will likely be cut to save another $10.45M.

Yep. The doomsdayers will be out in force with "Cap Hell, time to tank, etc... It's been a broken record the last couple years.

But, we find a way and still are big spenders in FA. It worked well in 2024. Not so much in 2025.

With KAM gone, could this be the year we do well in both FA and Draft?

Worked well? Right … because we’ve gotten such great results and put ourselves in such a great place moving forward!

Just keep it rolling. Why change strategies when you can field the worst team in the playoffs every other year!

Woohoo!

I don’t know about tanking … my thing is about picking and choosing better how you spend and structure contracts … and where. Please invest your money on a roughly priority- based system, at qb, in the dl, ol, at cb, etc. Stop making TEs, FBs, RTs the near-highest-paid at their positions.

Not spraying it around every offseason without regard for the following two or three years. And stop structuring the bajeezus out of contracts so it feels like we have to rob ambulances for talent every year.

We are running in a mud to build the 2026 roster that we created two or three years ago.

IMO our coaching and personnel decisions have had way more to do with our mediocrity than our cap and contract mgmt … but gzuz, have a little foresight, the options / choices you make each year are directly tied to contract shenanigans you were orchestrating in previous years. These things go hand in hand.

I'll stick by that we hit it big in FA in 2024. Darnold, Grenard, Van Ginkel, Cashman, Redmond, Jones.

That's not why we are the worst team in the playoffs every other year. It's the drafts. Any competent drafting(to go along with the FA hits we had) and we would be in the hunt every year. But, KAM spent 85% of his drafts on stiffs.

2024 was a very good FA haul. I doubt anybody has said otherwise.

So, improving the roster, check, winning offseason media scorecards, check … a humdinger.

2022,2023, 2025 - not so much … some good ones, some stinkers.

I just prefer to measure the FA success of the team, including the business operation, on the football success of the team. Of course there are a lot of other factors than FA … not just the draft (which is critical).

I get it. Playing with monopoly money as a fan is fun. Instant gratification is fun.

The overriding problem is that free agents are supposed to supplement a core. The Vikings keep having to sign free agents to be the core

Sure, I understand this. And I understand you have to be creative in that situation and find nooks and crannies to hide and defer money to compensate FAs. Of course. I’ts just not an ideal way to operate.

I confess I was really happy with last offseason’s haul. Positionally, IMO it was spot on (except for CB) to where we needed to improve (both lines). None of that worked out (both lines) like I had hoped … I didn’t know the FAs, just that we were addressing positions.

Its like a double whammy if the FA doesnt work out and you used contract sorcery to bring them.

This stuff compounds on itself … it just does. Decisions are affected.

Some people believe there’s always a creative way to deal with it. I think its more of a roller coaster than it needs to be, with a little discipline.

We wouldn't need the FA contract sorcery if we had better success in draft. We would have a good number of solid contributors on cheaper rookie contracts. But, we don't because we drafted a lot of stiffs.

Hopefully that changes this year as we have 4 picks in 1st three rounds. To get back on track with salary cap and avoiding void years contracts, we need a home run draft. Probably two in a row(2026 and 2027).

Yes, understood. I keep agreeing with this point.

Bad drafting leads to heavier dependance on FA leads to filthier bookeeping.

As far as the draft, I’m not sure what to expect. Since I assume the same draft apparatus is in place that provided Kwesi with his options before and during the draft.

Saying, it couldnt be worse … is not true. It can always be worse or better. Its still gambling on young human specimens with unpredictable behavior. Young men, no less, at the bottom of the mental / maturity pyramid, down there with some lizards and a flatworm or two. Based on my example.

I am hoping for way way better. KOC has some work to do to start rebuilding my confidence at least.
Post #: 2627
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/16/2026 12:13:42 PM   
Trekgeekscott


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes


As far as the draft, I’m not sure what to expect. Since I assume the same draft apparatus is in place that provided Kwesi with his options before and during the draft.




From what I've been hearing, Kwesi didn't really listen to scouts and such and based most of his personnel decisions on Analytics. Including the draft. You know, scouts that have literally watched thousands of players play and can see a good with in the blink of an eye.

But for some people the numbers tell the entire story....blah blah blah bullshit. Success in College does not necessarily translate to the pros. There wss a legitimate debate in 1998 over who was better, Peyton Manning or Ryan Leaf. and at the time most people could argue that Leaf would have been better, But some scouts saw things in Leaf they didn't like....and they were right. but I'm betting the analytics would have steered Kwesi to Leaf. And one little thing made all the difference. we ended up with HOFer and a basket case.

Kwesi was the wrong guy for the GM job. He had no clue about player evaluation outside of numbers..

And he didn't listen to anyone.

_____________________________

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Post #: 2628
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/16/2026 12:56:12 PM   
Tom Sykes

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes


As far as the draft, I’m not sure what to expect. Since I assume the same draft apparatus is in place that provided Kwesi with his options before and during the draft.




From what I've been hearing, Kwesi didn't really listen to scouts and such and based most of his personnel decisions on Analytics. Including the draft. You know, scouts that have literally watched thousands of players play and can see a good with in the blink of an eye.

But for some people the numbers tell the entire story....blah blah blah bullshit. Success in College does not necessarily translate to the pros. There wss a legitimate debate in 1998 over who was better, Peyton Manning or Ryan Leaf. and at the time most people could argue that Leaf would have been better, But some scouts saw things in Leaf they didn't like....and they were right. but I'm betting the analytics would have steered Kwesi to Leaf. And one little thing made all the difference. we ended up with HOFer and a basket case.

Kwesi was the wrong guy for the GM job. He had no clue about player evaluation outside of numbers..

And he didn't listen to anyone.

Yes I have been listening to this chatter as well.

Who really knows?

It sounds like a reasonable explanation ... Kwesi's approach, whatever that was, wasn't working. That much is evident.

As far as Kwesi's analytics picking leaf over manning ... ok. pure conjecture.

Maybe we don't need a GM to operate in the draft, anticipate runs on positions, man the phones and gauge interest in trades, etc.

Hope we have an anti-Tice clock management specialist to assist KOC.

If it works this year, its only because KOC and Flores seem to have a really strong relationship ...

otherwise I'd worry about KOC slaking his thirst and drafting 4 TEs in the first 3 rds. Or at least offensive heavy.

All kidding aside, its going to be a lot more interesting as a whole than last year's draft after the Turner pick.
Post #: 2629
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/16/2026 12:59:40 PM   
Bill Johanesen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes


As far as the draft, I’m not sure what to expect. Since I assume the same draft apparatus is in place that provided Kwesi with his options before and during the draft.




From what I've been hearing, Kwesi didn't really listen to scouts and such and based most of his personnel decisions on Analytics. Including the draft. You know, scouts that have literally watched thousands of players play and can see a good with in the blink of an eye.

But for some people the numbers tell the entire story....blah blah blah bullshit. Success in College does not necessarily translate to the pros. There wss a legitimate debate in 1998 over who was better, Peyton Manning or Ryan Leaf. and at the time most people could argue that Leaf would have been better, But some scouts saw things in Leaf they didn't like....and they were right. but I'm betting the analytics would have steered Kwesi to Leaf. And one little thing made all the difference. we ended up with HOFer and a basket case.

Kwesi was the wrong guy for the GM job. He had no clue about player evaluation outside of numbers..

And he didn't listen to anyone.


Great points on Manning v Leaf. Interestingly enough years later Leaf said he simply didn't like the game, but he was also said to be lazy with a prima donna persona and arrogance mixed in. Maybe those two things fed off each other but ultimately he was incredibly terrible.
Post #: 2630
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/17/2026 7:57:58 AM   
Phil Riewer


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Looking at the Vikings roster starters/Contributors and age:

25 and under: JJ, Addison, Turner, Donovan Jackson. Reichert, Wright

26-30: JJ, Fries, TJ, Theo Jackson, Rodgers, Mason, Murphy, Oliver, Redmond, Van Ginkel, Cashman, Metellus, Darrisaw

Over 30: Harry, Jones, Allen, Hargrove, O'Neil

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Post #: 2631
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/19/2026 9:46:04 AM   
Phil Riewer


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Not Sure If this is believeable:

Adam Ferrell
@AdamFerrellNFL
·
14h
The Vikings and Colts have the framework for an Anthony Richardson trade.

He will be a Viking in 2026.

_____________________________

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KIA 23 March 2007 Habbaniyah Iraq
Post #: 2632
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/19/2026 11:13:04 AM   
marty


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I liked Richardson on draft day, he looked great on film, I didn't realize that like McCarthy he really needs tons of reps.

It's possible that both McCarthy and Richardson have what it takes, they just need lots of repetitions.

I didn't think Sam Darnold had what it takes to win the Super Bowl, but that was also true of Trent Dilfer, Nick Foles and Brad Johnson. I would probably rank Sam higher than those 3, so Sam is probably the 4th worst QB to ever win a Super Bowl. All 4 were carried by their defense, but Sam could win some more Super Bowls before he is done.

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SKOL to the BOWL !!!
Post #: 2633
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/19/2026 8:56:42 PM   
Chris Olson


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He is as bad as JJ...makes no sense
Post #: 2634
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 7:44:30 AM   
Brad H


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quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

I liked Richardson on draft day, he looked great on film, I didn't realize that like McCarthy he really needs tons of reps.

It's possible that both McCarthy and Richardson have what it takes, they just need lots of repetitions.

I didn't think Sam Darnold had what it takes to win the Super Bowl, but that was also true of Trent Dilfer, Nick Foles and Brad Johnson. I would probably rank Sam higher than those 3, so Sam is probably the 4th worst QB to ever win a Super Bowl. All 4 were carried by their defense, but Sam could win some more Super Bowls before he is done.

Darnold had the third highest passer rating in playoff history heading into the Super Bowl this post-season.

Again, what does this guy have to do to prove himself to you?

The bottom line is, he is a really good football player. He's a really good leader. He's a really good teammate. At $33-million, he was the steal of free agency in 2025.

Right now if I had to compare careers, Darnold is on a similar path to Terry Bradshaw. Had a rough few seasons to start his career. People hated him and said he'd never make it. Eventually figured out the speed of the game (year 5-6-7) and the Steelers built a machine around his skillsets.

< Message edited by Brad H -- 2/20/2026 7:57:36 AM >


_____________________________

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Post #: 2635
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 9:10:00 AM   
Phil Riewer


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Brad H

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

I liked Richardson on draft day, he looked great on film, I didn't realize that like McCarthy he really needs tons of reps.

It's possible that both McCarthy and Richardson have what it takes, they just need lots of repetitions.

I didn't think Sam Darnold had what it takes to win the Super Bowl, but that was also true of Trent Dilfer, Nick Foles and Brad Johnson. I would probably rank Sam higher than those 3, so Sam is probably the 4th worst QB to ever win a Super Bowl. All 4 were carried by their defense, but Sam could win some more Super Bowls before he is done.

Darnold had the third highest passer rating in playoff history heading into the Super Bowl this post-season.

Again, what does this guy have to do to prove himself to you?

The bottom line is, he is a really good football player. He's a really good leader. He's a really good teammate. At $33-million, he was the steal of free agency in 2025.

Right now if I had to compare careers, Darnold is on a similar path to Terry Bradshaw. Had a rough few seasons to start his career. People hated him and said he'd never make it. Eventually figured out the speed of the game (year 5-6-7) and the Steelers built a machine around his skillsets.


Again....not apples to apples.
Seattle needed Sam to play only average in the biggest game....why?

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Post #: 2636
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 9:20:09 AM   
Brad H


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Brad H

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

I liked Richardson on draft day, he looked great on film, I didn't realize that like McCarthy he really needs tons of reps.

It's possible that both McCarthy and Richardson have what it takes, they just need lots of repetitions.

I didn't think Sam Darnold had what it takes to win the Super Bowl, but that was also true of Trent Dilfer, Nick Foles and Brad Johnson. I would probably rank Sam higher than those 3, so Sam is probably the 4th worst QB to ever win a Super Bowl. All 4 were carried by their defense, but Sam could win some more Super Bowls before he is done.

Darnold had the third highest passer rating in playoff history heading into the Super Bowl this post-season.

Again, what does this guy have to do to prove himself to you?

The bottom line is, he is a really good football player. He's a really good leader. He's a really good teammate. At $33-million, he was the steal of free agency in 2025.

Right now if I had to compare careers, Darnold is on a similar path to Terry Bradshaw. Had a rough few seasons to start his career. People hated him and said he'd never make it. Eventually figured out the speed of the game (year 5-6-7) and the Steelers built a machine around his skillsets.


Again....not apples to apples.
Seattle needed Sam to play only average in the biggest game....why?

That's just silly. Sam Darnold was way above average. That's why they won big.

_____________________________

Defense starts at the corners!
Post #: 2637
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 9:22:50 AM   
Phil Riewer


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Brad H

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Brad H

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

I liked Richardson on draft day, he looked great on film, I didn't realize that like McCarthy he really needs tons of reps.

It's possible that both McCarthy and Richardson have what it takes, they just need lots of repetitions.

I didn't think Sam Darnold had what it takes to win the Super Bowl, but that was also true of Trent Dilfer, Nick Foles and Brad Johnson. I would probably rank Sam higher than those 3, so Sam is probably the 4th worst QB to ever win a Super Bowl. All 4 were carried by their defense, but Sam could win some more Super Bowls before he is done.

Darnold had the third highest passer rating in playoff history heading into the Super Bowl this post-season.

Again, what does this guy have to do to prove himself to you?

The bottom line is, he is a really good football player. He's a really good leader. He's a really good teammate. At $33-million, he was the steal of free agency in 2025.

Right now if I had to compare careers, Darnold is on a similar path to Terry Bradshaw. Had a rough few seasons to start his career. People hated him and said he'd never make it. Eventually figured out the speed of the game (year 5-6-7) and the Steelers built a machine around his skillsets.


Again....not apples to apples.
Seattle needed Sam to play only average in the biggest game....why?

That's just silly. Sam Darnold was way above average. That's why they won big.


They were 10-7 w/o.....again a way better team inside and out before adding Sam.

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Post #: 2638
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 10:51:52 AM   
Bill Jandro

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Brad H

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

I liked Richardson on draft day, he looked great on film, I didn't realize that like McCarthy he really needs tons of reps.

It's possible that both McCarthy and Richardson have what it takes, they just need lots of repetitions.

I didn't think Sam Darnold had what it takes to win the Super Bowl, but that was also true of Trent Dilfer, Nick Foles and Brad Johnson. I would probably rank Sam higher than those 3, so Sam is probably the 4th worst QB to ever win a Super Bowl. All 4 were carried by their defense, but Sam could win some more Super Bowls before he is done.

Darnold had the third highest passer rating in playoff history heading into the Super Bowl this post-season.

Again, what does this guy have to do to prove himself to you?

The bottom line is, he is a really good football player. He's a really good leader. He's a really good teammate. At $33-million, he was the steal of free agency in 2025.

Right now if I had to compare careers, Darnold is on a similar path to Terry Bradshaw. Had a rough few seasons to start his career. People hated him and said he'd never make it. Eventually figured out the speed of the game (year 5-6-7) and the Steelers built a machine around his skillsets.

Not sure why you keeping bringing Darnold up. He's not a FA so he will not be on the market. Find some new material. I'm sure the rest of us would appreciate it.

_____________________________

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Post #: 2639
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 10:53:41 AM   
Bill Jandro

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Chris Olson

He is as bad as JJ...makes no sense

Richardson is as raw as sushi. How many roster spots are we going to allocate for project QB's next season?

_____________________________

Oline...early and often this draft
Post #: 2640
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 11:04:29 AM   
Phil Riewer


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Chris Olson

He is as bad as JJ...makes no sense


The problem still is you need a good backup. At worst does he fit that role?

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Post #: 2641
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 11:13:46 AM   
Bill Johanesen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Jandro

quote:

ORIGINAL: Chris Olson

He is as bad as JJ...makes no sense

Richardson is as raw as sushi. How many roster spots are we going to allocate for project QB's next season?


Great points from both of you. One prevalent truth is there is no substitute for game experience, so does anyone want to burn two more years seeing if either of these scrubs have it? It would be different if one or both tilted to being a QBOTF instead of a bust.

Generally the QB lineup starts with someone proven/shows fairly consistent promise, backed up by a good veteran, followed by a project to hold the clipboard. We don't need to try to reverse that by making a clipboard holder a starter and then double down on it.

< Message edited by Bill Johanesen -- 2/20/2026 11:17:46 AM >
Post #: 2642
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 11:29:56 AM   
marty


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Again, what does this guy have to do to prove himself to you?

To prove what ? Sam Darnold proved he could win a Super Bowl, just like Trent Dilfer, Brad Johnson, and Nick Foles. Darnold, Dilfer and Johnson all showed they could win the Super Bowl their team had the best defense in the league.

Should Darnold win multiple Super Bowls, that would put him clearly above Dilfer, Johnson and Foles, and probably over many other QBs that only won just 1 Super Bowl.

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SKOL to the BOWL !!!
Post #: 2643
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 2:10:00 PM   
Tom Sykes

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Jandro

quote:

ORIGINAL: Chris Olson

He is as bad as JJ...makes no sense

Richardson is as raw as sushi. How many roster spots are we going to allocate for project QB's next season?


Great points from both of you. One prevalent truth is there is no substitute for game experience, so does anyone want to burn two more years seeing if either of these scrubs have it? It would be different if one or both tilted to being a QBOTF instead of a bust.

Generally the QB lineup starts with someone proven/shows fairly consistent promise, backed up by a good veteran, followed by a project to hold the clipboard. We don't need to try to reverse that by making a clipboard holder a starter and then double down on it.

much less trade for the guy.

Nick Mullens
Joshua Dobbs
Sam Howell

or drafted.

JJ McCarthy
Jaren Hall

Cousins definitely improved his game in 2022-2023 until he hit the playoff wall. Darnold was a total bust and risk signing as a backup; played very well until he hit the playoff wall.

when you look at non-factors we’ve signed at the position, and there are many, it makes me think that cousins darnold plugged into the system well, and was less about being tutored by the qb whisperer.

KOC even gets sideways credit for helping revive Daniel Jones … he never played a down and was here for one or two months.

some other gems to instill confidence:

Sean Mannion*
David Blough
Jordan Ta’amu
Tanner Morgan*
Matt Corral
Max Brosmer
Carson Wentz
Desmond Ridder
Brett Rypien*
*signed cut resigned cut
Post #: 2644
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 2:35:12 PM   
Tom Sykes

 

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Zimmer had dried up like a leaf.

KOC was an excellent choice to bounce in the opposite direction.

He really needs to show something this offseason without Kwesi’s interference and dead weight collaboration.

Otherwise he justed lucked out … having Kirk already in place, who was thrilled and rejuvenated with Zim out of the way, and Darnold, finally finding a triangular hole to fit in as a stepping stone.
Post #: 2645
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 5:45:48 PM   
David Levine


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Chris Olson

He is as bad as JJ...makes no sense


The problem still is you need a good backup. At worst does he fit that role?


No.

He's way worse than JJ.

Anthony Richardson is "What if Joe Webb was taken in the 1st round?"

He was not a good QB in college, he was a tremendous athlete with a huge arm. Could not hit short passes to save his life.

He's the same guy in the NFL.

2024 is the only season he threw more than 2 games worth of passes.

In 11 starts, he completed 47.7% of his passes with 8 TDs and 12 INTs. He did lead the league in Yards per Completion, but again, that's because he can only hit longer passes. He averaged a measley 165 yards/game.

28% of his throws (70 on the year) were considered "bad throws" and he was "On Target" only 58% of the time.

He did have 500 yards and 6 TDs running the ball. He fumbled 9 times.


Now for comparison, let's do JJ:

In 10 starts, he completed 57.6% of his passes with 11 TDs and 12 INTs. He averaged a measley 163 yards/game.

21% of his throws (51 on the year) were considered "bad throws" and he was "On Target" only 66.5% of the time.

He did have 181 yards and 4 TDs running the ball. He fumbled 6 times.
Post #: 2646
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/20/2026 10:20:19 PM   
marty


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David, you have almost entirely convinced me that signing Anthony Richardson is a bad idea, some strong points there.

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Post #: 2647
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/21/2026 9:42:03 PM   
tbz

 

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Interesting. https://www.nfl.com/news/bears-potential-move-indiana-step-forward-effort-build-stadium-illinois-lingers
Post #: 2648
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/21/2026 11:05:07 PM   
Chris Olson


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From: Saratoga Springs, NY
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RIP Rondale Moore

tragic
Post #: 2649
RE: General Vikes Talkk - 2/22/2026 1:38:32 AM   
Phil Riewer


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Chris Olson

RIP Rondale Moore

tragic

Way too young.

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Post #: 2650
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