marty
Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: online
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It's time for Rob to be wrong in a BIG way ! If in Vegas, I would have been hoping the Packers would be favored by about 3, so the money line wouldn't be so big. The line is 7 1/2, I would have expected more betting on N.O., the spread probably moving to 6 later in the week. With the regular refs, I would have expected the officiating would favor the Pack early, and maybe early 4th quarter to 'sway' the game towards GB covering the spread. Assuming the replacement officials aren't 'swaying' any games, even with the huge spread, a person could make some pretty easy money betting the money line on the Packers. The Packers actually have a defense, and I think the Saints miss Tracy Porter. You would have to bet $390 to win $100 on the Pack, but then you don't have to give up ANY points. The Packers win by 1 point and you've won the bet. I think that would be easy money, and if I had the money, would lay down $3900 to win $1000. That's better than any kind of interest you could get, and a nice return on investment, only taking a little over 3 hours to get it. About the ONLY way I see the Saints winning, is if they are REALLY agressive, the game is a track meet, and the Packers slow starting offense can't keep up. But I don't think we'll see that, the Packers haven't scored in the 1st quarter yet, so I expect them to come out fast, just like I predicted Ponder would this last week (though I didn't expect the Vikes to hang on to the lead in the 2nd half). IF the Saints/Packers game is close you can best MOST calls, anything borderline throughout the game will go in the Packers favor. And at the end of the game, everything (noncalls and calls) will get called (or NOT called) in the Packers' favor, even if it's a wrong call.
< Message edited by marty -- 9/26/2012 8:43:47 AM >
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