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RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond)

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RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/27/2013 6:07:12 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28619
Status: offline 		Looks like marty is 3-5 ATS for games so far today and a loss in his "lock".

Ouch.
Post #: 2451
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/27/2013 6:15:44 PM   
drviking


Posts: 36160
Joined: 7/17/2007
From: South Dakota
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Looks like marty is 3-5 ATS for games so far today and a loss in his "lock".

Ouch.



YAHOO!!!!

I am in first place!!!

_____________________________

"Only one thing left to do..."
Post #: 2452
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/27/2013 8:50:10 PM   
Brad H


Posts: 22989
Joined: 8/16/2007
From: Parts Unknown
Status: online
quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

Brad, for my lock, I'm going to go with KC -7 1/2 (over Cleveland).

The site you listed (footballlocks.com) should be just fine.

Hmmmm, I got you right where I want you.

_____________________________

Defense starts at the corners!
Post #: 2453
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/28/2013 10:46:50 PM   
marty


Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: offline 		You've got nothin' Brad.

We have a 4 way tie, and I'll list the newcomers 1st as they didn't do picks the 1st few weeks.

1) DrViking 1
2) Ricky 1
3) Marty 1
4) Brad 1
Post #: 2454
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/28/2013 10:51:31 PM   
marty


Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: offline 		Brad, I think we should come up with some sort of agreed upon tiebreaker, and also decide when we are going to end this, regular season, or all the way to the SB.

This is getting fun. So far, Brad and myself suck. But we are embracing the suck. We'll see if the newcomers have any stamina, and how long can they avoid the suck.
Post #: 2455
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/29/2013 6:09:15 AM   
Prescott


Posts: 15395
Joined: 10/3/2010
Status: offline 		Make sure you get my "Adrian Peterson won't be traded lock" in there.

_____________________________

If I had a perfect day
I would have it start this way
Open up the fridge and have a tall boy
Yeah
Post #: 2456
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/29/2013 1:06:42 PM   
Brad H


Posts: 22989
Joined: 8/16/2007
From: Parts Unknown
Status: online
quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

Brad, I think we should come up with some sort of agreed upon tiebreaker, and also decide when we are going to end this, regular season, or all the way to the SB.

This is getting fun. So far, Brad and myself suck. But we are embracing the suck. We'll see if the newcomers have any stamina, and how long can they avoid the suck.

We are beyond bad. I had a chance to change last week and didn't. I heard this guy giving me a ton of reasons to take Cleveland and the points and opted to stay with Seattle.

_____________________________

Defense starts at the corners!
Post #: 2457
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/29/2013 1:24:25 PM   
drviking


Posts: 36160
Joined: 7/17/2007
From: South Dakota
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Brad H

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

Brad, I think we should come up with some sort of agreed upon tiebreaker, and also decide when we are going to end this, regular season, or all the way to the SB.

This is getting fun. So far, Brad and myself suck. But we are embracing the suck. We'll see if the newcomers have any stamina, and how long can they avoid the suck.

We are beyond bad. I had a chance to change last week and didn't. I heard this guy giving me a ton of reasons to take Cleveland and the points and opted to stay with Seattle.


You guys are way behind the coin flip....on your "locks"


I think you guys should go with the George costanza "do the opposite" theory

_____________________________

"Only one thing left to do..."
Post #: 2458
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/29/2013 1:25:33 PM   
Brad H


Posts: 22989
Joined: 8/16/2007
From: Parts Unknown
Status: online
quote:

ORIGINAL: drviking

quote:

ORIGINAL: Brad H

quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

Brad, I think we should come up with some sort of agreed upon tiebreaker, and also decide when we are going to end this, regular season, or all the way to the SB.

This is getting fun. So far, Brad and myself suck. But we are embracing the suck. We'll see if the newcomers have any stamina, and how long can they avoid the suck.

We are beyond bad. I had a chance to change last week and didn't. I heard this guy giving me a ton of reasons to take Cleveland and the points and opted to stay with Seattle.


You guys are way behind the coin flip....on your "locks"


I think you guys should go with the George costanza "do the opposite" theory

Agree entirely. I knew I wasn't worth a shit at this stuff from the beginning. Only Marty can make me look average.

_____________________________

Defense starts at the corners!
Post #: 2459
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/29/2013 8:50:08 PM   
marty


Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: offline 		I can't make you look average Brad, we make each other look HORRIBLE !

This is quite funny. I think we should have called it something other than 'locks' of the week.

This isn't really an easy thing, or we'd be quite wealthy if we could consistently pick locks and put money on them.

Brad, we need to pick up the slack. Ricky caught us in his 1st week of action. We'll see what kind of stamina the boy has. Brad, if you don't pick up things on your end, somebody is going to pick the opposite of you, like DrViking is doing with my picks, and they might end up passing DrViking !

----------------------------------------------------
As an aside, a long time ago, I had a co-worker that wanted to bet on some NFL games. He said he just wanted some action on the games to make them more exciting to watch. We started out just discussing games and point spreads, and I would just pick a game against him, betting on 1 game a week. I won the 1st 6 weeks, just figuring out what his favorite bet was, and taking the opposite. Then he won 1 week, and I won the next 2. After that, he figured out that I was just taking the opposite of his best pick, and he decided we should just end this, it just wasn't that fun for him anymore. I won 8 of 9 weeks, if you were doing the math.
Post #: 2460
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/29/2013 9:19:02 PM   
marty


Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: offline 		Brad, I only caught brief parts of the Monday night football game. The parts I caught, it did seem like the officiating was favoring the underdog Rams. Do you think it was a possible 'sway' so the Rams cover, or so the Rams win ?

Seattle can't seem to stop the run, so the Packers should run all over them. SF seems like about the only team that can stop the Packers from once again winning the SB, with their storyline, winning it with backups and half the guys out with injuries.

< Message edited by marty -- 10/29/2013 9:20:22 PM >
Post #: 2461
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/30/2013 2:03:48 PM   
Brad H


Posts: 22989
Joined: 8/16/2007
From: Parts Unknown
Status: online 		All right, here are the spreads for this week.

http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_lines.shtml

_____________________________

Defense starts at the corners!
Post #: 2462
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 10/31/2013 8:51:21 PM   
marty


Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: offline 		I didn't realize there was a game tonight. I caught the score as I was looking at a sports website, it had Miami up 7-3. I would have picked Cincy to win that one.
Post #: 2463
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 11/2/2013 5:45:29 PM   
Ricky J


Posts: 18357
Joined: 7/19/2007
Status: offline 		Lock obviously is Seattle

Upset will be NYJ
Post #: 2464
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 11/2/2013 10:51:36 PM   
marty


Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: offline 		I was going to consider using this source to help narrow down a lock, but I might have to go the opposite of this 'expert', as he went 4-8 last week:

http://www.bucsnation.com/2013/10/27/5033792/nfl-picks-against-the-spread-week-8-bet-on-the-jaguars-every-week

So, Ricky, you're going with Seattle - 15 1/2 ?
Post #: 2465
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 11/2/2013 10:58:14 PM   
drviking


Posts: 36160
Joined: 7/17/2007
From: South Dakota
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

I was going to consider using this source to help narrow down a lock, but I might have to go the opposite of this 'expert', as he went 4-8 last week:

http://www.bucsnation.com/2013/10/27/5033792/nfl-picks-against-the-spread-week-8-bet-on-the-jaguars-every-week

So, Ricky, you're going with Seattle - 15 1/2 ?


Actually, in your world, he should go at least 8-4 this week cuz of regression to the mean....


But since he is an expert his mean should be even better than 50-50, so really he will go 10-2 to bring his average over fifty percent

Thus he should be the lock of the week


Unless he subconsciously wants to tear his ACL...

_____________________________

"Only one thing left to do..."
Post #: 2466
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 11/2/2013 11:08:35 PM   
marty


Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: offline 		You have a point DrViking, assuming he can regress to the mean in one week. But if it takes 6 or 7 weeks, that's a different story.

Last week, I missed the 1st Super Teaser by ONE game (got 13 out of 14), only missed on the Jets:

1) Det +7, NY Giants + 16 1/2, KC +3, NO - 2 1/2, NE + 6 1/2, NY Jets + 17, OAK + 11 1/2, Den -3, Ari + 7 1/2, MIN +16, Seattle pick, Was/Den O 43 1/2, Clev/KC U 50, Dal/Det O 41

Missed by 3 teams on the other one (got 11 of 14), Jets, PHI, and Wash:

2) Det +7, Dallas +13, NY Giants +16 1/2, PHI +3 1/2, Mia + 14 1/2, KC +3, NO - 2 1/2, NY Jets +17, SF - 3 1/2, Pittsburgh + 8 1/2, Wash + 23, GB +4, Seattle pick, Was/Den O 43 1/2
Post #: 2467
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 11/2/2013 11:28:50 PM   
marty


Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: offline 		Picks for this week:

CAR over Atl
DAL over Min
NO over Jets
St. LOUIS over Ten
K.C. over Buf
S.D. over Wash
OAK over Philly
SEA over Tampa
BALT over Cleveland
N.E. over Pitts
Indy over HOU
G.B. over Chi
Post #: 2468
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 11/2/2013 11:36:59 PM   
marty


Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: offline 		A couple of Super Teasers:

1) CAR + 2 1/2, DAL pick, K.C. + 6 1/2, S.D. + 11, SEA - 5.5, BALT +8, N.E. + 3.5, GB -1, ST. LOUIS + 13, Indy +8, Min/Dal O 39, KC/BUF U 50, SF/WASH O 41, Balt/CLEV U 51

2) CAR 2 1/2, DAL pick, K.C. + 6 1/2, S.D + 11, SEA - 5.5, BALT +8, N.E + 3.5, GB -1, OAK + 7 1/2, Ten/St LOU O 29, NO/NY JETS U 56, Indy/HOU O 34, Pitts/NE O 34, Chi/GB U 60

< Message edited by marty -- 11/2/2013 11:50:36 PM >
Post #: 2469
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 11/2/2013 11:54:36 PM   
marty


Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: offline 		My lock of the week:

Baltimore -2 over Cleveland

I think Baltimore should win by a FG or more.
Post #: 2470
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 11/3/2013 8:16:19 AM   
Duane Sampson


Posts: 14200
Status: offline 		My Prediction: Joe Webb will not play QB


Post #: 2471
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 11/3/2013 8:32:14 AM   
Bill Jandro

 

Posts: 17929
Joined: 8/13/2007
Status: online 		Thanks Duane. I almost had that play erased from my brain.

_____________________________

Oline...early and often this draft
Post #: 2472
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 11/3/2013 10:45:07 AM   
Brad H


Posts: 22989
Joined: 8/16/2007
From: Parts Unknown
Status: online 		Dang, I better come up with something quick. Eeny, meene, miny moe. I'll take Seattle and give the 15.5.

_____________________________

Defense starts at the corners!
Post #: 2473
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 11/3/2013 4:07:55 PM   
Ian Joseph


Posts: 15350
Joined: 7/15/2007
From: Los Angeles, CA
Status: offline 		Tampa Bay is whupping Seattles ass. Wow!

_____________________________

Hate the message, not the messenger.

Enjoy the process; crave the goal.

Believe.
Post #: 2474
RE: Predictions for Next Week (and maybe beyond) - 11/3/2013 6:21:24 PM   
drviking


Posts: 36160
Joined: 7/17/2007
From: South Dakota
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Brad H

Dang, I better come up with something quick. Eeny, meene, miny moe. I'll take Seattle and give the 15.5.




Coinflip is owning you

_____________________________

"Only one thing left to do..."
Post #: 2475
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