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RE: 2024 Draft

 
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RE: 2024 Draft - 3/10/2024 9:46:22 PM   
Bill Johanesen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: kgdabom

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Jandro

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

quote:

ORIGINAL: kgdabom

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

Just keep in mind, you and Sims could GUESS right or wrong. Its still a wild guess.

I don't think it's a wild guess. I really believe Simms is good at this.

Nobody picking Zach Wilson over Lawrence is good at this.

He’s in the same ballpark as kiper and zierlein and a bunch of others. l
do give him credit for being willing to go against the grain … like he did with Wilson and he’s doing this year with Nix and Maye.

Seems more like shtick than science.

As I’ve mentioned, I have a buddy who follows college football obsessively who completely agrees with him on Nix.

He also had Mond as one of the 3 best qb's in that class

First of all he had Mond 4th. 2nd duh he's going to get some wrong. He's right more than anybody else.


Link the proof.
Post #: 276
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/10/2024 11:42:27 PM   
kgdabom

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: TJSweens

quote:

ORIGINAL: kgdabom

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Jandro

quote:

ORIGINAL: Chris Olson

From the poll at the bottom of the article:

"Should the Vikings trade draft picks #11 and #42 and a 4th round pick this year, along with their 2025 first- and third-round picks for the Commanders #2 pick this year and draft Jayden Daniels?"

That would be exciting if nothing else!

A lot of top 5 qb's bust. Just think Mitch Trubisky, Zach Wilson, and Trey Lance. I'd rather take my chances with Penix and his knees than trading draft capital for a wing and a prayer.


I don't think you can let fear enter the equation.

If you like a guy, go get him. You job is likely going to hinge on who you get as your QB, so do whatever you can to get the guy yiu think is the best. Not the last man standing.

And you might as well trade future picks. If you nail the QB pick, you can survive giving up those picks. If you miss on the QB, you likely won't be here to draft anyways...

All this do whatever it takes to get one player in the draft that you like is ridiculous. There comes a point where it's too expensive. What if the cost is Jefferson, Darrisaw, Addison, and our next 10 first round picks. If that is what it takes do you do it? No and sure that's ridiculous, but it's just to prove the point that you don't do whatever it takes no matter what. There is a point it becomes too expensive.

That is not what he said and you know it. David's point was that if you identify someone you think is the guy, you shouldn't be afraid to get him because he might bust. Nobody has advocated selling the farm to move up 4 or 5 spots. Stating a ridiculous hypothetical doesn't make your point. There are value charts that govern what it takes to move up.

David didn't say do what it takes no matter what and I didn't say he did. I've seen people who do. I just wanted to point out that no you don't overpay regardless of it being a QB and who knows it could be the next Mahomes, Elway, Brady, Montana etc..............There has to be a point you say too much.

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Post #: 277
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/10/2024 11:44:08 PM   
kgdabom

 

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ORIGINAL: Todd M

Unless we can get to 2 the Daniel’s dream is done.

Get to 5 and choose between JJ, Maye, or Penix. They might all be gone at 11.

I don’t want the runt of the litter, Nix. The 6th freaking option. Though Nix Six does have a ring to it.

We could easily get one of those guys at pick 11 and a decent chance of getting one in the 2nd round or late first. Giving up the farm for pick 5 IMO would be a waste.

< Message edited by kgdabom -- 3/10/2024 11:45:28 PM >


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Post #: 278
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 9:59:18 AM   
Bill Johanesen


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It would be meaningful if after the draft each GM had to list who they wanted at the spots they picked at in the 1st-3rd rounds. Accountability.

For example a list may show they wanted McCarthy, Penix, and Nix in that order.

It's also easy to fault them for not trading up, but other teams are trying to do the same. With trades, at least the results are made known. And perhaps a trade will show team x did not give up that much to move up for a certain QB, but perhaps our regime wasn't that high on the QB.
Post #: 279
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 10:07:50 AM   
Bill Johanesen


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Not securing a QB is not a good look, but picking a QB who ends up being a bust after two+ years of starting is an even worse look.

At the end of the day, it's entirely possible the regime thinks trading for Caleb and Daniels will cost too much (or the order of 3-4 first rounders) AND they don't think Maye, Penix, McCarthy, or Nix project to being successful QBs.

In that case they take a top defender at #11 and, if the 'top six' QBs are gone, they take a Rattler-type at #42. Or defense with both picks.
Post #: 280
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 10:08:47 AM   
Bill Johanesen


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Not securing a QB is not a good look, but picking a QB who ends up being a bust after two+ years of starting is an even worse look.

At the end of the day, it's entirely possible the regime thinks trading for Caleb and Daniels will cost too much (on the order of 3-4 first rounders) AND they don't think Maye, Penix, McCarthy, or Nix project to being successful QBs.

In that case they take a top defender at #11 and, if the 'top six' QBs are gone, they take a Rattler-type at #42. Or defense with both picks.
Post #: 281
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 10:36:57 AM   
Trekgeekscott


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Not securing a QB is not a good look, but picking a QB who ends up being a bust after two+ years of starting is an even worse look.

At the end of the day, it's entirely possible the regime thinks trading for Caleb and Daniels will cost too much (on the order of 3-4 first rounders) AND they don't think Maye, Penix, McCarthy, or Nix project to being successful QBs.

In that case they take a top defender at #11 and, if the 'top six' QBs are gone, they take a Rattler-type at #42. Or defense with both picks.


If they don't take a QB at 11, they trade down to add picks. It's that simple.

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Post #: 282
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 10:49:20 AM   
Tom Sykes

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Not securing a QB is not a good look, but picking a QB who ends up being a bust after two+ years of starting is an even worse look.

At the end of the day, it's entirely possible the regime thinks trading for Caleb and Daniels will cost too much (on the order of 3-4 first rounders) AND they don't think Maye, Penix, McCarthy, or Nix project to being successful QBs.

In that case they take a top defender at #11 and, if the 'top six' QBs are gone, they take a Rattler-type at #42. Or defense with both picks.

I would say, picking a QB that starts for two years and ends up being a dud is not worse than NOT taking a QB …especially this year.

Even Williams is a risk … there’s risk in every draft pick. The issue wasn’t taking a chance on Ponder, given the options, it was holding on to him way too long. Course correct and move on. Everybody misses on picks. Some picks blow past expectations.

If this was year one … ok … be choosy and patient. Year two … there’s more pressure to to make a more aggressive move or take a higher risk guy (i dont mean a 5th rounder). If you don’t see potential starter in the first two rds - and you couldnt trade up … ok. I still think its a failure to not take a chance on someone in the grab bag third rd.

Year 3? Not only have we misplayed the veteran starter position, we need a backup and a developmental player to, at the very least kick Hall to the curb.

I’m not selling out for just anybody but I am taking a chance on somebody to give ourselves a chance. Even as you say, if they only see starter potential in the top two, you cant tell me that we can go another year without giving attention to the position. Urgently.
Post #: 283
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 10:56:14 AM   
Bill Johanesen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Not securing a QB is not a good look, but picking a QB who ends up being a bust after two+ years of starting is an even worse look.

At the end of the day, it's entirely possible the regime thinks trading for Caleb and Daniels will cost too much (on the order of 3-4 first rounders) AND they don't think Maye, Penix, McCarthy, or Nix project to being successful QBs.

In that case they take a top defender at #11 and, if the 'top six' QBs are gone, they take a Rattler-type at #42. Or defense with both picks.


If they don't take a QB at 11, they trade down to add picks. It's that simple.


Dallas Turner would be worth the 11th pick, but they could trade down some and still walk away with the top-rated CB in the draft which would be great. Everything (roster holes, lack of picks, history, etc) points to a trade down.
Post #: 284
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 11:03:07 AM   
Bill Johanesen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Not securing a QB is not a good look, but picking a QB who ends up being a bust after two+ years of starting is an even worse look.

At the end of the day, it's entirely possible the regime thinks trading for Caleb and Daniels will cost too much (on the order of 3-4 first rounders) AND they don't think Maye, Penix, McCarthy, or Nix project to being successful QBs.

In that case they take a top defender at #11 and, if the 'top six' QBs are gone, they take a Rattler-type at #42. Or defense with both picks.

I would say, picking a QB that starts for two years and ends up being a dud is not worse than NOT taking a QB …especially this year.

Even Williams is a risk … there’s risk in every draft pick. The issue wasn’t taking a chance on Ponder, given the options, it was holding on to him way too long. Course correct and move on. Everybody misses on picks. Some picks blow past expectations.

If this was year one … ok … be choosy and patient. Year two … there’s more pressure to to make a more aggressive move or take a higher risk guy (i dont mean a 5th rounder). If you don’t see potential starter in the first two rds - and you couldnt trade up … ok. I still think its a failure to not take a chance on someone in the grab bag third rd.

Year 3? Not only have we misplayed the veteran starter position, we need a backup and a developmental player to, at the very least kick Hall to the curb.

I’m not selling out for just anybody but I am taking a chance on somebody to give ourselves a chance. Even as you say, if they only see starter potential in the top two, you cant tell me that we can go another year without giving attention to the position. Urgently.


I'm just saying if they believe, strongly believe, the other four QBs won't be any good, then don't take them in the first place. Or take one somewhere in the 2nd round (or late 1st?... assuming one is around) depending on how they weigh the pick vs the player.

But as you allude to, they would come across as misplaying the position. So that might factor in.

< Message edited by Bill Johanesen -- 3/11/2024 11:07:50 AM >
Post #: 285
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 11:18:58 AM   
Jeff Jesser


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Agree Bill. If that's their thoughts just pass and sign a guy like Minchew, trade down and keep acquiring talent. We are just a QB away.
Post #: 286
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 11:32:41 AM   
Tom Sykes

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Jeff Jesser

Agree Bill. If that's their thoughts just pass and sign a guy like Minchew, trade down and keep acquiring talent. We are just a QB away.

I would argue about the QB away.

But my big issue is with the, ‘just sign a guy like …’ which has no more certainty than, ‘just trade up for / just take whover falls to #11’ etc.

There’s no agency in it. I have no idea how we rate the prospects but I’d prefer we at least have the appearance of trying to make something happen.

I want to see Kwesi stick his long slender swan-like neck out.
Post #: 287
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 11:37:17 AM   
Tom Sykes

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Not securing a QB is not a good look, but picking a QB who ends up being a bust after two+ years of starting is an even worse look.

At the end of the day, it's entirely possible the regime thinks trading for Caleb and Daniels will cost too much (on the order of 3-4 first rounders) AND they don't think Maye, Penix, McCarthy, or Nix project to being successful QBs.

In that case they take a top defender at #11 and, if the 'top six' QBs are gone, they take a Rattler-type at #42. Or defense with both picks.

I would say, picking a QB that starts for two years and ends up being a dud is not worse than NOT taking a QB …especially this year.

Even Williams is a risk … there’s risk in every draft pick. The issue wasn’t taking a chance on Ponder, given the options, it was holding on to him way too long. Course correct and move on. Everybody misses on picks. Some picks blow past expectations.

If this was year one … ok … be choosy and patient. Year two … there’s more pressure to to make a more aggressive move or take a higher risk guy (i dont mean a 5th rounder). If you don’t see potential starter in the first two rds - and you couldnt trade up … ok. I still think its a failure to not take a chance on someone in the grab bag third rd.

Year 3? Not only have we misplayed the veteran starter position, we need a backup and a developmental player to, at the very least kick Hall to the curb.

I’m not selling out for just anybody but I am taking a chance on somebody to give ourselves a chance. Even as you say, if they only see starter potential in the top two, you cant tell me that we can go another year without giving attention to the position. Urgently.


I'm just saying if they believe, strongly believe, the other four QBs won't be any good, then don't take them in the first place. Or take one somewhere in the 2nd round (or late 1st?... assuming one is around) depending on how they weigh the pick vs the player.

But as you allude to, they would come across as misplaying the position. So that might factor in.

I get that.

I doubt its even a reasonable view (on my part) since we can’t know their evaluations … at least put on a show and look decisive … like we are pivoting 180 from Cousins to a different direction. (even though its not by choice).

Its more angst than strategy for me We need a boatload of defensive players as well.

< Message edited by Tom Sykes -- 3/11/2024 12:09:12 PM >
Post #: 288
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 12:05:51 PM   
Tom Sykes

 

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oops

< Message edited by Tom Sykes -- 3/11/2024 12:08:27 PM >
Post #: 289
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 2:02:55 PM   
Daniel Lee Young

 

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Drafting a QB has GOT to be #1 priority..

Get a mobile one who can extend plays and see past the sticks on every down

Draft OL to protect and CB’s for defense..

Get a fn safety and kick Harry to the curb.

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Post #: 290
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 2:32:41 PM   
Jeff Jesser


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

quote:

ORIGINAL: Jeff Jesser

Agree Bill. If that's their thoughts just pass and sign a guy like Minchew, trade down and keep acquiring talent. We are just a QB away.

I would argue about the QB away.

But my big issue is with the, ‘just sign a guy like …’ which has no more certainty than, ‘just trade up for / just take whover falls to #11’ etc.

There’s no agency in it. I have no idea how we rate the prospects but I’d prefer we at least have the appearance of trying to make something happen.

I want to see Kwesi stick his long slender swan-like neck out.



Haha! That's my fault for trying to do a fly by while at work. I meant we 'aren't just a QB away'. So many holes to fill even we get that right. Although, we aren't far on the O if they can get a 10-15 ranked QB. We've had one for years. I wouldn't hate that approach while trying to find THE guy. Just don't get the 10-15 guy and ignore it while you upgrade the rest of the team or we stay in this washing machine for another 10 years.
Post #: 291
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 2:41:15 PM   
marty


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Should Dallas Turner fall to the Vikes, do they have a place for him ?

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Post #: 292
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 2:53:26 PM  1 votes
Todd M

 

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I’d make Washington an offer they can’t refuse.
Post #: 293
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 2:54:41 PM   
Jeff Jesser


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quote:

ORIGINAL: marty

Should Dallas Turner fall to the Vikes, do they have a place for him ?



Depends IMO but not on the Hunter situation. Even if they resign Hunter he would be a great option opposite but if a QB they like is there, doesn't matter to me if Hunter is gone. Go QB.
Post #: 294
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 5:20:04 PM   
kgdabom

 

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ORIGINAL: Todd M

I’d make Washington an offer they can’t refuse.

Offers that Washington can't refuse.
1: our next 10 first round picks
2: Jefferson and our next 3 first round picks
3: Jefferson, Darrisaw and Addison.

Which of those offers do you want us to make?

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Post #: 295
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 5:33:29 PM   
marty


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I would only trade JJ straight up for pick #1, Caleb Williams.

Other than that, I think I would just stay put and hope either Maye or McCarthy falls to #11.

IF not, then pick a defensive player, maybe trade back 5-10 spots and go CB.

Draft Penix in the 2nd round, if he is still available.

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Post #: 296
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 6:06:26 PM   
Todd M

 

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Penix has got to be Kwesi’s guy.. The injury history to potential upside is in the 99th percentile.

I say roll the dice at 11. With what they need to do to move up, one singly draft pick for a guy that may be lightening and may stay healthy after all is a much lesser risk.
Post #: 297
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 6:43:20 PM   
TJSweens


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Pennix has a strong accurate arm, has no mobility and choked in the big game. Sound familiar?

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Post #: 298
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 6:56:56 PM   
Bill Johanesen


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ORIGINAL: TJSweens

Pennix has a strong accurate arm, has no mobility and choked in the big game. Sound familiar?


Sold!
Post #: 299
RE: 2024 Draft - 3/11/2024 8:14:23 PM   
marty


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I am guessing with the injury concerns, that Penix is most likely to get drafted in the 2nd round.

IF you're going to gamble on him, would it make sense to move back into the 20s and draft him there, after getting an extra pick or 2 for 11 ?

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