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RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 2:56:19 PM   
Mark Anderson

 

Posts: 12223
Joined: 9/1/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Because a lot can happen, and who knows how many new credit cards Kwesi has accumulated, I'll simply provide the current givens:

$77M in cap space.

2025 cap items:
- $15M void
- $6M dead
- $6M in-season reserve (as a normal course of events)
+ $10M 2024 roll-over cap

Equals $60M in cap.

Around 25 UFAs.

Same song and dance you did before Ginkel Cashman Jones Darnold Gillmore Ward Tillery signed last year.

Cap space isn’t what it looks like. Multiple years not just that cap year. With Signing Bonus and 3-5 year contracts it is more money than it looks like.


Let's continue the same song and dance which was based on franchising Darnold:

Using Rat's numbers we enter the league year with $79M.
Assume the Franchise Tag for QBs is $42 million.

$79 - $42 = $37 million for adding 25 players. Have fun with that!

We can backload the FAs but probably not much in 2026-27 as the big $ kick in: Jefferson 39/43, Hock 21/23, Darrisaw 23/25, O'Neill 23, Greenard 22/22.

And at some point it would be nice to make a splash signing or two for a top CB, OG, DL, etc. instead of penciling in "Gillmore Ward Tillery". You know, to add real talent.


You mean the real talent of Van Ginkel, Cashman, Jones, and Greenard?


And they are far from the minimum wage types. And those defenders are already on the 2025 roster.

But you rest on those laurels. I want to see a new secondary with talent, a new IOL, some real DL (although it remains to be seen what may shake out with some of the newbies).

One thing I think we can all agree on is we need to start hitting some home runs in the draft to take that final step.

We have a 1st and 3rd(compensatory)in 2025 draft that needs to produce two solid players. Maybe turn those two picks into two 2s and a 3 to give ourselves a better chance at finding impact players.

< Message edited by Mark Anderson -- 12/10/2024 2:57:33 PM >
Post #: 3551
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 3:06:28 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28969
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Because a lot can happen, and who knows how many new credit cards Kwesi has accumulated, I'll simply provide the current givens:

$77M in cap space.

2025 cap items:
- $15M void
- $6M dead
- $6M in-season reserve (as a normal course of events)
+ $10M 2024 roll-over cap

Equals $60M in cap.

Around 25 UFAs.

Same song and dance you did before Ginkel Cashman Jones Darnold Gillmore Ward Tillery signed last year.

Cap space isn’t what it looks like. Multiple years not just that cap year. With Signing Bonus and 3-5 year contracts it is more money than it looks like.


Let's continue the same song and dance which was based on franchising Darnold:

Using Rat's numbers we enter the league year with $79M.
Assume the Franchise Tag for QBs is $42 million.

$79 - $42 = $37 million for adding 25 players. Have fun with that!

We can backload the FAs but probably not much in 2026-27 as the big $ kick in: Jefferson 39/43, Hock 21/23, Darrisaw 23/25, O'Neill 23, Greenard 22/22.

And at some point it would be nice to make a splash signing or two for a top CB, OG, DL, etc. instead of penciling in "Gillmore Ward Tillery". You know, to add real talent.


You mean the real talent of Van Ginkel, Cashman, Jones, and Greenard?


And they are far from the minimum wage types. And those defenders are already on the 2025 roster.

But you rest on those laurels. I want to see a new secondary with talent, a new IOL, some real DL (although it remains to be seen what may shake out with some of the newbies).

One thing I think we can all agree on is we need to start hitting some home runs in the draft to take that final step.

We have a 1st and 3rd(compensatory)in 2025 draft that needs to produce two solid players. Maybe turn those two picks into two 2s and a 3 to give ourselves a better chance at finding impact players.


Yep. To wit, here are a few tidbits:

In terms of performance, so far the 2024 draft and a big chunk of the 2025 draft has netted... a kicker.

Outside of Turner and his 7 career solo tackles, no other draftee has seen a single offensive or defensive snap.

As a recap the 2024 draft ended up costing:

#11 overall
4th
5th
(6th back)


2nd
2nd
3rd
4th
5th

4th
6th
6th
7th
7th

In draft sequence: #11 overall, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 4th, 4th, 5th, 5th, 6th (net), 7th, 7th.

< Message edited by Bill Johanesen -- 12/10/2024 3:49:52 PM >
Post #: 3552
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 4:33:15 PM   
Phil Riewer


Posts: 27677
Joined: 8/24/2007
From: MN
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Oh Phil, before you lecture on cap basics you might want to brush up on the rules about cap hits for franchised players.

Hint: Kwesi's credit cards will be denied. Think more along the lines of Straight Cash Homey!


I just look back on last year when you said no signings were possible and our cap available is about double although the Darrisaw and JJ contracts helped....

That is the reality....you don't look at one year but 2-3 years cap.


Yeah you brought up that strawman after free agency but in your eagerness to prove something you conveniently neglected to add the many times I said ~ depending on how Kwesi handles the contracts. Just like I've said at least three times in this series of posts:

- Just spitballing as a lot of things can transpire...

- There is no telling how much Kwesi will backload, void, etc...

- We can backload the FAs...

- Because a lot can happen, and who knows how many new credit cards Kwesi has accumulated, I'll simply provide the current givens.

That of course will not stop you from falsely reframing what I said.


Strawman? You have been on the wrong side of the cap almost every year. You mentioned Gillmore, Ward, and Hill for a reason.....you know it.
1) When they figure salary cap space they figure the contracts for the highest 51 paid....so when they sign the max 90, 39 of them do not go on Kwesi's credit card.
2) Also salary cap is figured with those remaining contracts at the league minimum....so if it is a 7 million dollar contract it is that minus the league minimum contract that was replaced or the 51st highest at that point.
3) Yeah there was void years, etc. but there is more cap space in 2025 then 2024 and they filled over 13 positions last year with about half the cap space.
4) There was the wave of signings after they let Kirk and Hunter sign elsewhere....which was right have Bill's every other post about Kwesi Credit Cards....then they signed Grenard, Van Ginkel, and Cashman. Then Extended Darrisaw, JJ, and Brandel. Then not too much from Bill.
5) Then the 2nd wave a week or two later of Jones, Gillmore, Griffin, Tillery, and Ward. Then not too much from Bill for a while again.
Those devil in the details you always seemed to struggle with. No spitballing needed.

< Message edited by Phil Riewer -- 12/10/2024 4:51:57 PM >


_____________________________

SSG Riewer, Greg A Co 2/136 CAB
KIA 23 March 2007 Habbaniyah Iraq
Post #: 3553
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 6:20:40 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28969
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Oh Phil, before you lecture on cap basics you might want to brush up on the rules about cap hits for franchised players.

Hint: Kwesi's credit cards will be denied. Think more along the lines of Straight Cash Homey!


I just look back on last year when you said no signings were possible and our cap available is about double although the Darrisaw and JJ contracts helped....

That is the reality....you don't look at one year but 2-3 years cap.


Yeah you brought up that strawman after free agency but in your eagerness to prove something you conveniently neglected to add the many times I said ~ depending on how Kwesi handles the contracts. Just like I've said at least three times in this series of posts:

- Just spitballing as a lot of things can transpire...

- There is no telling how much Kwesi will backload, void, etc...

- We can backload the FAs...

- Because a lot can happen, and who knows how many new credit cards Kwesi has accumulated, I'll simply provide the current givens.

That of course will not stop you from falsely reframing what I said.


Strawman? You have been on the wrong side of the cap almost every year. You mentioned Gillmore, Ward, and Hill for a reason.....you know it.
1) When they figure salary cap space they figure the contracts for the highest 51 paid....so when they sign the max 90, 39 of them do not go on Kwesi's credit card.
2) Also salary cap is figured with those remaining contracts at the league minimum....so if it is a 7 million dollar contract it is that minus the league minimum contract that was replaced or the 51st highest at that point.
3) Yeah there was void years, etc. but there is more cap space in 2025 then 2024 and they filled over 13 positions last year with about half the cap space.
4) There was the wave of signings after they let Kirk and Hunter sign elsewhere....which was right have Bill's every other post about Kwesi Credit Cards....then they signed Grenard, Van Ginkel, and Cashman. Then Extended Darrisaw, JJ, and Brandel. Then not too much from Bill.
5) Then the 2nd wave a week or two later of Jones, Gillmore, Griffin, Tillery, and Ward. Then not too much from Bill for a while again.
Those devil in the details you always seemed to struggle with. No spitballing needed.


That's right, a strawman. Others call you out for bending what people say to fit your narrative. Well, you are wrong. You simply ignore the fact that I've posted continuously that what can be accomplished depends entirely on how much Kwesi decides to pay later.

You're right though, there wasn't much from me on extending Brandel, and your 'wave' of the Fab 5 that includes Ward, Tillery, Gilmore (learn to spell his name right), etc. They are just ho-hum filler. For you though, because they play they must be good LMAO. Darrisaw, a typical extension that costs cap $ later.

And here you go again with the "top 51" and your 90 players. Newsflash, what's important is the talent and the 53 man roster on opening day, along with the resultant cap costs of the contracts in the out years. Not your summertime fling with 90 players.

So here's the bottomline: there are upwards of 25 FAs and IMO they can't franchise Donald and still make things work. THAT is the only key conclusion/theory I've drawn. So deal with that. Are you able to? I doubt it.

Why perennially siding with Spielman and Kwesi is so important to you, I'll never know. I guess you live vicariously through those 'in charge'.
Post #: 3554
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 6:30:06 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28969
Status: offline
Further, I want to see a merge of existing talent and cap availability AT THE RIGHT TIME to make that final leap from good to being a legit threat to win it all. For example, a blockbuster signing/trade for a shutdown corner to get us over the top in say 2026 (depending of course how this year and next goes).

But you press on and trumpet key signings like Tillery, Brandel, and "Gillmore" in the quest for a SB
Post #: 3555
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 6:52:54 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28969
Status: offline
My favorite part of Phil's strawman:

Yeah there was void years, etc.

Ya think?? That is my entire premise! And I love "etc". Etc as in yeah backload a bunch, yeah go to the personal bank of Brian O'Neill to get some cap in 2024, yeah add placeholder void years.

Those things allowed the team to be able to afford the Tilleries of the world, however cheap they were. And to pay for our QB. Oh wait, they only 'paid' for 50% of his cheap contract, the rest is stashed in, yeah, a void year.


I'm most interested in void year and backloaded money for 2026/2027 because IMO that's the soonest JJM can make an impact, hence help the team to go on a real SB run. That's assuming he's any good.
Post #: 3556
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 7:12:27 PM   
paulgly

 

Posts: 226
Joined: 4/13/2020
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Because a lot can happen, and who knows how many new credit cards Kwesi has accumulated, I'll simply provide the current givens:

$77M in cap space.

2025 cap items:
- $15M void
- $6M dead
- $6M in-season reserve (as a normal course of events)
+ $10M 2024 roll-over cap

Equals $60M in cap.

Around 25 UFAs.

Same song and dance you did before Ginkel Cashman Jones Darnold Gillmore Ward Tillery signed last year.

Cap space isn’t what it looks like. Multiple years not just that cap year. With Signing Bonus and 3-5 year contracts it is more money than it looks like.


Let's continue the same song and dance which was based on franchising Darnold:

Using Rat's numbers we enter the league year with $79M.
Assume the Franchise Tag for QBs is $42 million.

$79 - $42 = $37 million for adding 25 players. Have fun with that!

We can backload the FAs but probably not much in 2026-27 as the big $ kick in: Jefferson 39/43, Hock 21/23, Darrisaw 23/25, O'Neill 23, Greenard 22/22.

And at some point it would be nice to make a splash signing or two for a top CB, OG, DL, etc. instead of penciling in "Gillmore Ward Tillery". You know, to add real talent.


You mean the real talent of Van Ginkel, Cashman, Jones, and Greenard?


And they are far from the minimum wage types. And those defenders are already on the 2025 roster.

But you rest on those laurels. I want to see a new secondary with talent, a new IOL, some real DL (although it remains to be seen what may shake out with some of the newbies).

One thing I think we can all agree on is we need to start hitting some home runs in the draft to take that final step.

We have a 1st and 3rd(compensatory)in 2025 draft that needs to produce two solid players. Maybe turn those two picks into two 2s and a 3 to give ourselves a better chance at finding impact players.


Yep. To wit, here are a few tidbits:

In terms of performance, so far the 2024 draft and a big chunk of the 2025 draft has netted... a kicker.

Outside of Turner and his 7 career solo tackles, no other draftee has seen a single offensive or defensive snap.

As a recap the 2024 draft ended up costing:

#11 overall
4th
5th
(6th back)


2nd
2nd
3rd
4th
5th

4th
6th
6th
7th
7th

In draft sequence: #11 overall, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 4th, 4th, 5th, 5th, 6th (net), 7th, 7th.


Kwesi's draft misses in the secondary are especially problematic. I'm enjoying every second of this year. But not kidding myself going forward into thinking they have to do anything other than a complete secondary overhaul (assuming Byron Murphy gets the type of contract he probably will elsewhere).

Cine, Booth, Evans, Blackmon, Ward, Jackson (RIP). 6 picks in the top 4 rounds in 3 years and not 1 contributor let alone starter (I suppose Blackmon) may have a chance.

He crushed free agency this year - no denying that. But his drafts have been so bad.
Post #: 3557
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 8:38:02 PM   
Richard Neussendorfer

 

Posts: 19905
Joined: 12/7/2007
From: Alamogordo, NM
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: paulgly

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Because a lot can happen, and who knows how many new credit cards Kwesi has accumulated, I'll simply provide the current givens:

$77M in cap space.

2025 cap items:
- $15M void
- $6M dead
- $6M in-season reserve (as a normal course of events)
+ $10M 2024 roll-over cap

Equals $60M in cap.

Around 25 UFAs.

Same song and dance you did before Ginkel Cashman Jones Darnold Gillmore Ward Tillery signed last year.

Cap space isn’t what it looks like. Multiple years not just that cap year. With Signing Bonus and 3-5 year contracts it is more money than it looks like.


Let's continue the same song and dance which was based on franchising Darnold:

Using Rat's numbers we enter the league year with $79M.
Assume the Franchise Tag for QBs is $42 million.

$79 - $42 = $37 million for adding 25 players. Have fun with that!

We can backload the FAs but probably not much in 2026-27 as the big $ kick in: Jefferson 39/43, Hock 21/23, Darrisaw 23/25, O'Neill 23, Greenard 22/22.

And at some point it would be nice to make a splash signing or two for a top CB, OG, DL, etc. instead of penciling in "Gillmore Ward Tillery". You know, to add real talent.


You mean the real talent of Van Ginkel, Cashman, Jones, and Greenard?


And they are far from the minimum wage types. And those defenders are already on the 2025 roster.

But you rest on those laurels. I want to see a new secondary with talent, a new IOL, some real DL (although it remains to be seen what may shake out with some of the newbies).

One thing I think we can all agree on is we need to start hitting some home runs in the draft to take that final step.

We have a 1st and 3rd(compensatory)in 2025 draft that needs to produce two solid players. Maybe turn those two picks into two 2s and a 3 to give ourselves a better chance at finding impact players.


Yep. To wit, here are a few tidbits:

In terms of performance, so far the 2024 draft and a big chunk of the 2025 draft has netted... a kicker.

Outside of Turner and his 7 career solo tackles, no other draftee has seen a single offensive or defensive snap.

As a recap the 2024 draft ended up costing:

#11 overall
4th
5th
(6th back)


2nd
2nd
3rd
4th
5th

4th
6th
6th
7th
7th

In draft sequence: #11 overall, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 4th, 4th, 5th, 5th, 6th (net), 7th, 7th.


Kwesi's draft misses in the secondary are especially problematic. I'm enjoying every second of this year. But not kidding myself going forward into thinking they have to do anything other than a complete secondary overhaul (assuming Byron Murphy gets the type of contract he probably will elsewhere).

Cine, Booth, Evans, Blackmon, Ward, Jackson (RIP). 6 picks in the top 4 rounds in 3 years and not 1 contributor let alone starter (I suppose Blackmon) may have a chance.

He crushed free agency this year - no denying that. But his drafts have been so bad.

This is a good point. At some point we need Young secondary talent. There won't be a lot of options this offseason either. The free agency has been awesome this year but it's tough to build an entire roster that way.
Post #: 3558
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 9:38:07 PM   
beo

 

Posts: 2410
Joined: 3/18/2009
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: paulgly

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Because a lot can happen, and who knows how many new credit cards Kwesi has accumulated, I'll simply provide the current givens:

$77M in cap space.

2025 cap items:
- $15M void
- $6M dead
- $6M in-season reserve (as a normal course of events)
+ $10M 2024 roll-over cap

Equals $60M in cap.

Around 25 UFAs.

Same song and dance you did before Ginkel Cashman Jones Darnold Gillmore Ward Tillery signed last year.

Cap space isn’t what it looks like. Multiple years not just that cap year. With Signing Bonus and 3-5 year contracts it is more money than it looks like.


Let's continue the same song and dance which was based on franchising Darnold:

Using Rat's numbers we enter the league year with $79M.
Assume the Franchise Tag for QBs is $42 million.

$79 - $42 = $37 million for adding 25 players. Have fun with that!

We can backload the FAs but probably not much in 2026-27 as the big $ kick in: Jefferson 39/43, Hock 21/23, Darrisaw 23/25, O'Neill 23, Greenard 22/22.

And at some point it would be nice to make a splash signing or two for a top CB, OG, DL, etc. instead of penciling in "Gillmore Ward Tillery". You know, to add real talent.


You mean the real talent of Van Ginkel, Cashman, Jones, and Greenard?


And they are far from the minimum wage types. And those defenders are already on the 2025 roster.

But you rest on those laurels. I want to see a new secondary with talent, a new IOL, some real DL (although it remains to be seen what may shake out with some of the newbies).

One thing I think we can all agree on is we need to start hitting some home runs in the draft to take that final step.

We have a 1st and 3rd(compensatory)in 2025 draft that needs to produce two solid players. Maybe turn those two picks into two 2s and a 3 to give ourselves a better chance at finding impact players.


Yep. To wit, here are a few tidbits:

In terms of performance, so far the 2024 draft and a big chunk of the 2025 draft has netted... a kicker.

Outside of Turner and his 7 career solo tackles, no other draftee has seen a single offensive or defensive snap.

As a recap the 2024 draft ended up costing:

#11 overall
4th
5th
(6th back)


2nd
2nd
3rd
4th
5th

4th
6th
6th
7th
7th

In draft sequence: #11 overall, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 4th, 4th, 5th, 5th, 6th (net), 7th, 7th.


Kwesi's draft misses in the secondary are especially problematic. I'm enjoying every second of this year. But not kidding myself going forward into thinking they have to do anything other than a complete secondary overhaul (assuming Byron Murphy gets the type of contract he probably will elsewhere).

Cine, Booth, Evans, Blackmon, Ward, Jackson (RIP). 6 picks in the top 4 rounds in 3 years and not 1 contributor let alone starter (I suppose Blackmon) may have a chance.

He crushed free agency this year - no denying that. But his drafts have been so bad.


I would bet they resign Byron Murphy and let Cam Bynum walk.
Murphy is young and finally started playing decent 2nd half of this season.
Bynum I think gets a big contract somewhere else... young too... but I don't think Kwesi will spend big on safety.
Post #: 3559
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 10:01:47 PM   
Mark Anderson

 

Posts: 12223
Joined: 9/1/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Richard Neussendorfer

quote:

ORIGINAL: paulgly

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Because a lot can happen, and who knows how many new credit cards Kwesi has accumulated, I'll simply provide the current givens:

$77M in cap space.

2025 cap items:
- $15M void
- $6M dead
- $6M in-season reserve (as a normal course of events)
+ $10M 2024 roll-over cap

Equals $60M in cap.

Around 25 UFAs.

Same song and dance you did before Ginkel Cashman Jones Darnold Gillmore Ward Tillery signed last year.

Cap space isn’t what it looks like. Multiple years not just that cap year. With Signing Bonus and 3-5 year contracts it is more money than it looks like.


Let's continue the same song and dance which was based on franchising Darnold:

Using Rat's numbers we enter the league year with $79M.
Assume the Franchise Tag for QBs is $42 million.

$79 - $42 = $37 million for adding 25 players. Have fun with that!

We can backload the FAs but probably not much in 2026-27 as the big $ kick in: Jefferson 39/43, Hock 21/23, Darrisaw 23/25, O'Neill 23, Greenard 22/22.

And at some point it would be nice to make a splash signing or two for a top CB, OG, DL, etc. instead of penciling in "Gillmore Ward Tillery". You know, to add real talent.


You mean the real talent of Van Ginkel, Cashman, Jones, and Greenard?


And they are far from the minimum wage types. And those defenders are already on the 2025 roster.

But you rest on those laurels. I want to see a new secondary with talent, a new IOL, some real DL (although it remains to be seen what may shake out with some of the newbies).

One thing I think we can all agree on is we need to start hitting some home runs in the draft to take that final step.

We have a 1st and 3rd(compensatory)in 2025 draft that needs to produce two solid players. Maybe turn those two picks into two 2s and a 3 to give ourselves a better chance at finding impact players.


Yep. To wit, here are a few tidbits:

In terms of performance, so far the 2024 draft and a big chunk of the 2025 draft has netted... a kicker.

Outside of Turner and his 7 career solo tackles, no other draftee has seen a single offensive or defensive snap.

As a recap the 2024 draft ended up costing:

#11 overall
4th
5th
(6th back)


2nd
2nd
3rd
4th
5th

4th
6th
6th
7th
7th

In draft sequence: #11 overall, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 4th, 4th, 5th, 5th, 6th (net), 7th, 7th.


Kwesi's draft misses in the secondary are especially problematic. I'm enjoying every second of this year. But not kidding myself going forward into thinking they have to do anything other than a complete secondary overhaul (assuming Byron Murphy gets the type of contract he probably will elsewhere).

Cine, Booth, Evans, Blackmon, Ward, Jackson (RIP). 6 picks in the top 4 rounds in 3 years and not 1 contributor let alone starter (I suppose Blackmon) may have a chance.

He crushed free agency this year - no denying that. But his drafts have been so bad.

This is a good point. At some point we need Young secondary talent. There won't be a lot of options this offseason either. The free agency has been awesome this year but it's tough to build an entire roster that way.

Some good FA CBs(but expensive)

Reed (Jets) Going to have to pay Sauce.

Ward (49ers) They paid big $$$ to Lenoir

Samuel Jr. (Chargers) Harbaugh didn't draft him so he probably leaves
Post #: 3560
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 10:13:34 PM   
Mark Anderson

 

Posts: 12223
Joined: 9/1/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

My favorite part of Phil's strawman:

Yeah there was void years, etc.

Ya think?? That is my entire premise! And I love "etc". Etc as in yeah backload a bunch, yeah go to the personal bank of Brian O'Neill to get some cap in 2024, yeah add placeholder void years.

Those things allowed the team to be able to afford the Tilleries of the world, however cheap they were. And to pay for our QB. Oh wait, they only 'paid' for 50% of his cheap contract, the rest is stashed in, yeah, a void year.


I'm most interested in void year and backloaded money for 2026/2027 because IMO that's the soonest JJM can make an impact, hence help the team to go on a real SB run. That's assuming he's any good.

We are 11-2 with a lot of talented guys. I don't think that we are planning our 2025 off season on how good JJM will be in 26-27.

There will be high expectations next year(SB). If that is with Darnold or JJM, who knows. We will backload and void year some big FAs and go for it imo.

< Message edited by Mark Anderson -- 12/10/2024 10:16:08 PM >
Post #: 3561
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 10:32:33 PM   
Phil Riewer


Posts: 27677
Joined: 8/24/2007
From: MN
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

My favorite part of Phil's strawman:

Yeah there was void years, etc.

Ya think?? That is my entire premise! And I love "etc". Etc as in yeah backload a bunch, yeah go to the personal bank of Brian O'Neill to get some cap in 2024, yeah add placeholder void years.

Those things allowed the team to be able to afford the Tilleries of the world, however cheap they were. And to pay for our QB. Oh wait, they only 'paid' for 50% of his cheap contract, the rest is stashed in, yeah, a void year.


I'm most interested in void year and backloaded money for 2026/2027 because IMO that's the soonest JJM can make an impact, hence help the team to go on a real SB run. That's assuming he's any good.


Bill doesn’t want to discuss Van Ginkel Cashman or Grenard because the first day guys proved his philosophy wrong. So he says I was big on the middle tier guys.

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Post #: 3562
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/10/2024 10:35:05 PM   
Phil Riewer


Posts: 27677
Joined: 8/24/2007
From: MN
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

My favorite part of Phil's strawman:

Yeah there was void years, etc.

Ya think?? That is my entire premise! And I love "etc". Etc as in yeah backload a bunch, yeah go to the personal bank of Brian O'Neill to get some cap in 2024, yeah add placeholder void years.

Those things allowed the team to be able to afford the Tilleries of the world, however cheap they were. And to pay for our QB. Oh wait, they only 'paid' for 50% of his cheap contract, the rest is stashed in, yeah, a void year.


I'm most interested in void year and backloaded money for 2026/2027 because IMO that's the soonest JJM can make an impact, hence help the team to go on a real SB run. That's assuming he's any good.

We are 11-2 with a lot of talented guys. I don't think that we are planning our 2025 off season on how good JJM will be in 26-27.

There will be high expectations next year(SB). If that is with Darnold or JJM, who knows. We will backload and void year some big FAs and go for it imo.


Whatever they do I hope they move as swiftly to Plan B or C like last year.

< Message edited by Phil Riewer -- 12/11/2024 7:14:15 AM >


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Post #: 3563
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/11/2024 12:44:41 AM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28969
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

My favorite part of Phil's strawman:

Yeah there was void years, etc.

Ya think?? That is my entire premise! And I love "etc". Etc as in yeah backload a bunch, yeah go to the personal bank of Brian O'Neill to get some cap in 2024, yeah add placeholder void years.

Those things allowed the team to be able to afford the Tilleries of the world, however cheap they were. And to pay for our QB. Oh wait, they only 'paid' for 50% of his cheap contract, the rest is stashed in, yeah, a void year.


I'm most interested in void year and backloaded money for 2026/2027 because IMO that's the soonest JJM can make an impact, hence help the team to go on a real SB run. That's assuming he's any good.


Bill doesn’t want to discuss Van Ginkel Cashman or Grenard because the first day guys proved his philosophy wrong. So he says I was big on the middle tier guys.


Oh, the same three players who ALL have void year money! Those three? Thank you for making my point!

And, on "day 1" you were gloating and I was saying let's see how their contracts are structured. Not that you'd remember.

So big deal we signed them... I was right in that we could do so if enough cap overall was backloaded and voided. Without their void year money, we'd be in negative cap territory right now if that was allowable.

Wow, you need to pick better examples of players. Whose next?
Post #: 3564
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/11/2024 12:57:43 AM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28969
Status: offline
Some of last year's signees with void year money:

Greenard
Van Ginkel
Cashman
Darnold
Jones
"Gillmore"
Bradbury (restructure with void year money)
Harrison Smith (restructure with void year money)

Pump enough into void years, backloading, or "etc" and a lot can be done. Kwesi is the man for making my case

< Message edited by Bill Johanesen -- 12/11/2024 1:02:20 AM >
Post #: 3565
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/11/2024 1:14:17 AM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28969
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

My favorite part of Phil's strawman:

Yeah there was void years, etc.

Ya think?? That is my entire premise! And I love "etc". Etc as in yeah backload a bunch, yeah go to the personal bank of Brian O'Neill to get some cap in 2024, yeah add placeholder void years.

Those things allowed the team to be able to afford the Tilleries of the world, however cheap they were. And to pay for our QB. Oh wait, they only 'paid' for 50% of his cheap contract, the rest is stashed in, yeah, a void year.


I'm most interested in void year and backloaded money for 2026/2027 because IMO that's the soonest JJM can make an impact, hence help the team to go on a real SB run. That's assuming he's any good.

We are 11-2 with a lot of talented guys. I don't think that we are planning our 2025 off season on how good JJM will be in 26-27.

There will be high expectations next year(SB). If that is with Darnold or JJM, who knows. We will backload and void year some big FAs and go for it imo.


Just saying 26-27 is the time to go for it if JJM has a good initial season. I hope they are doing some strategic planning. But then again, they could be concerned about their jobs and are resigned to sign more short term deals.

If they backload and void, it needs to be for CBs because all are UFAs or on IR except McGlothern. And IOL needs a teardown and remodel.
Post #: 3566
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/11/2024 1:19:05 AM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28969
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Richard Neussendorfer

quote:

ORIGINAL: paulgly

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phil Riewer

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Because a lot can happen, and who knows how many new credit cards Kwesi has accumulated, I'll simply provide the current givens:

$77M in cap space.

2025 cap items:
- $15M void
- $6M dead
- $6M in-season reserve (as a normal course of events)
+ $10M 2024 roll-over cap

Equals $60M in cap.

Around 25 UFAs.

Same song and dance you did before Ginkel Cashman Jones Darnold Gillmore Ward Tillery signed last year.

Cap space isn’t what it looks like. Multiple years not just that cap year. With Signing Bonus and 3-5 year contracts it is more money than it looks like.


Let's continue the same song and dance which was based on franchising Darnold:

Using Rat's numbers we enter the league year with $79M.
Assume the Franchise Tag for QBs is $42 million.

$79 - $42 = $37 million for adding 25 players. Have fun with that!

We can backload the FAs but probably not much in 2026-27 as the big $ kick in: Jefferson 39/43, Hock 21/23, Darrisaw 23/25, O'Neill 23, Greenard 22/22.

And at some point it would be nice to make a splash signing or two for a top CB, OG, DL, etc. instead of penciling in "Gillmore Ward Tillery". You know, to add real talent.


You mean the real talent of Van Ginkel, Cashman, Jones, and Greenard?


And they are far from the minimum wage types. And those defenders are already on the 2025 roster.

But you rest on those laurels. I want to see a new secondary with talent, a new IOL, some real DL (although it remains to be seen what may shake out with some of the newbies).

One thing I think we can all agree on is we need to start hitting some home runs in the draft to take that final step.

We have a 1st and 3rd(compensatory)in 2025 draft that needs to produce two solid players. Maybe turn those two picks into two 2s and a 3 to give ourselves a better chance at finding impact players.


Yep. To wit, here are a few tidbits:

In terms of performance, so far the 2024 draft and a big chunk of the 2025 draft has netted... a kicker.

Outside of Turner and his 7 career solo tackles, no other draftee has seen a single offensive or defensive snap.

As a recap the 2024 draft ended up costing:

#11 overall
4th
5th
(6th back)


2nd
2nd
3rd
4th
5th

4th
6th
6th
7th
7th

In draft sequence: #11 overall, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 4th, 4th, 5th, 5th, 6th (net), 7th, 7th.


Kwesi's draft misses in the secondary are especially problematic. I'm enjoying every second of this year. But not kidding myself going forward into thinking they have to do anything other than a complete secondary overhaul (assuming Byron Murphy gets the type of contract he probably will elsewhere).

Cine, Booth, Evans, Blackmon, Ward, Jackson (RIP). 6 picks in the top 4 rounds in 3 years and not 1 contributor let alone starter (I suppose Blackmon) may have a chance.

He crushed free agency this year - no denying that. But his drafts have been so bad.

This is a good point. At some point we need Young secondary talent. There won't be a lot of options this offseason either. The free agency has been awesome this year but it's tough to build an entire roster that way.

Some good FA CBs(but expensive)

Reed (Jets) Going to have to pay Sauce.

Ward (49ers) They paid big $$$ to Lenoir

Samuel Jr. (Chargers) Harbaugh didn't draft him so he probably leaves


They have to shoot for one of those guys.
Post #: 3567
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/11/2024 5:20:15 AM   
ratoppenheimer


Posts: 9627
Joined: 12/9/2007
From: cascais, portugal...still in exile
Status: offline
.
Some good FA CBs(but expensive)

Reed (Jets) Going to have to pay Sauce.

Ward (49ers) They paid big $$$ to Lenoir

Samuel Jr. (Chargers) Harbaugh didn't draft him so he probably leaves


They have to shoot for one of those guys.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IMO we should sign a tier 1 and tier 2 free agent cornerback...then draft one early....









+

< Message edited by ratoppenheimer -- 12/11/2024 5:27:16 AM >


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Post #: 3568
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/11/2024 6:44:10 AM   
Todd M

 

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I sure hope FA works out next year. Maybe we’ll have a team that’s 11-2 with a shot at it all. Imagine how exciting that will be.

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Post #: 3569
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/11/2024 7:16:02 AM   
Phil Riewer


Posts: 27677
Joined: 8/24/2007
From: MN
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Some of last year's signees with void year money:

Greenard
Van Ginkel
Cashman
Darnold
Jones
"Gillmore"
Bradbury (restructure with void year money)
Harrison Smith (restructure with void year money)

Pump enough into void years, backloading, or "etc" and a lot can be done. Kwesi is the man for making my case


You were right about the void years and nobody is happy with that but not having any money to make moves....you were not on point on that one.

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Post #: 3570
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/11/2024 9:08:21 AM   
Todd M

 

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Joined: 7/14/2007
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Word out that Randy Moss has liver cancer. Hope he beats it. I lost my mom and brother to it.

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The ego holds on to pain from the past to prevent pain in the future, which causes pain in the present.

Keith Crossley
Post #: 3571
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/11/2024 9:11:06 AM   
Todd M

 

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We gotta win it all this year now.

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The ego holds on to pain from the past to prevent pain in the future, which causes pain in the present.

Keith Crossley
Post #: 3572
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/11/2024 9:24:36 AM   
Brad H


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From: Parts Unknown
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You've got three quarterbacks to choose from for next year.

One has never played a down in the NFL and comes from a run-first college offense. One has had a disastrous start to his NFL career. The third is 11-2 in 2024 with the #3 passer rating among starters.

If we are going to pay anyone next season, it should be the guy currently playing quarterback. I would pay Darnold $50-million a year (for three years) and keep McCarthy as a backup. Anything else should be considered general manager malpractice. The other two options are completely unproven commodities.

< Message edited by Brad H -- 12/11/2024 9:28:30 AM >


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Post #: 3573
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/11/2024 9:30:10 AM   
Phil Riewer


Posts: 27677
Joined: 8/24/2007
From: MN
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Brad H

You've got three quarterbacks to choose from for next year.

One has never played a down in the NFL and comes from a run-first college offense. One has had a disastrous start to his NFL career. The third is 11-2 in 2024 with the #3 passer rating among starters.

If we are going to pay anyone next season, it should be the guy currently playing quarterback.


Hard to disagree but there are options.....Sam was Daniel Jones coming into this year and he has been hitting his stride the last few games. I think Jones isn't guaranteed to be here next year but a very good option as a backup this year.

I think the Wilfs made it clear to have contingencies in place at QB this year after what happened last year....

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Post #: 3574
RE: General Vikes Talk - 12/11/2024 9:32:15 AM   
TJSweens


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Todd M

Word out that Randy Moss has liver cancer. Hope he beats it. I lost my mom and brother to it.

Larry Fitzgerald Sr made that claim. Moss' son, Thaddeus, said that it isn't true about a half hour ago.

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