marty
Posts: 13049
Joined: 12/28/2007
Status: online
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Thanks, Ralph (earlier post), that's not nitpicking at all, you are absolutely correct !!! I want to nail the score, and get it EXACTLY right, so thanks ! Because I picked OT, I need to amend the score to: TB 40 Vikes 34 I see the over/under is 43 for this game, I like the over, but even though I picked the Bucs, I have some doubts they'll put up the 40 I predicted, unless Freeman catches fire (my prediction is based on that), and or they get a defensive TD or special teams TD. If you can (there probably ARE some Vegas casinos that let you bet it), I think that betting just the Vikings to go over would be a good bet. Combining the over/under with the spread, you get about a final score of Vikes 24 Tampa 18. If the Vikes over/under would be 24, I would like that bet, although 23 would be SOOOOO much better. Sometimes 10 casinos will all have the same over/under number, and the 11th one you walk into, will have it 1 point higher, or lower. I think the Vikes will get at least 30 because: A) They are going from a very good defense to a much lower ranked one. B) They are at home. C) Ponder has been struggling for several games, is due for a good one D) They've been playing conservatively, and might be due to play a little more aggressively E) Simpson should start producing, maybe get a deep TD F) Teams usually score a little more than their average in Thursday night games (in past years anway) G) They should be able to boost their red zone production,.... hopefully H) Jenkins or Aromashadu, one of them is about due to score a TD
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