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RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 9:33:11 AM   
Mark Anderson

 

Posts: 12104
Joined: 9/1/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

On the QB issue.

This list shows that drafting a QB high gives you a better chance than not of getting a good one, but at the same time is a motherfucker of crapshoot.


2023 Bryce Young 1
CJ Stroud 2
Anthony Richardson 4
Will Levis 33
Hendon Hooker 68
Aidan O'Connell 135
2022 Kenny Pickett 20
Desmond Ridder 74
Malik Willis 86
Matt Corral 94
Bailey Zappe 137
Sam Howell 144
Brock Purdy 262
2021 Trevor Lawrence 1
Zach Wilson 2
Trey Lance 3
Justin Fields 11
Mac Jones 15
Kyle Trask 64
Kellen Mond 66
Davis Mills 67
Sam Ehlinger 218
2020 Joe Burrow 1
Tua Tagovailoa 5
Justin Herbert 6
Jordan Love 26
Jalen Hurts 53
2019 Kyler Murray 1
Daniel Jones 6
Dwayne Haskins 15
Drew Lock 42
Will Grier 100
Jarrett Stidham 133
Easton Stick 166
Gardner Minshew 178
2018 Baker Mayfield 1
Sam Darnold 3
Josh Allen 7
Josh Rosen 10
Lamar Jackson 32
Mason Rudolph 76
Mike White 171
2017 Mitchell Trubisky 2
Patrick Mahomes 10
Deshaun Watson 12
Joshua Dobbs 135
2016 Jared Goff 1
Carson Wentz 2
Paxton Lynch 26
Christian Hackenberg 51
Jacoby Brissett 91
Cody Kessler 93
Connor Cook 100
Dak Prescott 135
2015 Jameis Winston 1
Marcus Mariota 2
Garret Grayson 75
Sean Mannion 89
Brett Hundley 147
Trevor Siemian 250
2014 Blake Bortles 3
Johnny Manziel 22
Teddy Bridgewater 32
Derek Carr 36
Jimmy Garapolo 62
A J McCarron 164
2013 E J Manuel 16
Geno Smith 39
Mike Glennon 73
Matt Barkley 98

So you have Burrow and maybe Lawrence as guys you would consider elite.
Post #: 6601
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 9:36:32 AM   
Murph


Posts: 1959
Joined: 4/20/2008
From: PNW
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: beo

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

The competitive rebuild was the wrong course of action and I was strongly in favor of a tear down. We did get to enjoy an entertaining yet hollow 13-4 season last year, all the while knowing we weren't good enough to win the SB with that team.

We've wasted 2 years of JJ and are further away from competing for a SB.

Not only are the cupboards pretty bare for next year, but we're paying a lot of dead cap.

We have maybe 5 guys under team control that other teams would covet and they are all on offense.

I love JJ, but we need to use that asset to kickstart the rebuild. Instead of paying him and Darrisaw big time extensions get some draft capital for them and anyone else that is tradeable. Tear it down to the studs and start by building quality OL and DL. I'm tired of being dominated in the trenches all the time.

Go 1-16 next year with Hall and Mullens as your QB and draft #1 overall in 2025. Get your QB and skill positions go from there, should have a bunch of FA money at that point too to fill in the gaps. You probably draft petty high again in 2026 as the new QB has some growing pains, but 2027 and beyond you should be very competitive if the GM and scouts did their jobs. (Hopefully not Queasy)

We are position to get a QBOTF this draft. Why wait?

Like Bill says, sit out FA and get dead cap in order.

By 2025, hopefully we have QBOTF and cap room.

Do you want the 3rd or 4th best QB on the board, because that's all you're getting in the 8-12 range that we're projected at. I'd rather wait a year and have the best guy that year. If you get the QB this year and still suck because the rest of the roster is bad, you not only run the risk of ruining your QBOTF, but you burn a year of his rookie scale contract for nothing.


You are making a couple of big assumptions:
1) You are assuming you can successfully tank to guarantee to get the "best" guy next year.
That could easily backfire... Vikes had the 3rd pick the year Andrew Luck came out... there was no QB available at 3.
2) You are assuming that 3rd/4th picked this year is WORSE than 1st guy picked next year. Mitch Tribisky was first guy picked at one point.
If this is a spectacular year of QBs (I don't know... but supposedly it is)... QBs this year might be better than next.

If there is a qb you like this year and he is available... you take him. IMO


Next year we not not draft as high or have as many top QB prospect to choose from. I really think this is the year to go for it.

If they love someone like Daniels and he's there at say, pick 4 or 5, go up and get him!

Spend the rest of this and next year's draft, along with FA to fix the D and shore up the Oline.

_____________________________

Hey Wilf's, let's build a "Perennial Super Bowl contender" not a "perennial playoff contender".
Post #: 6602
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 9:37:33 AM   
Mark Anderson

 

Posts: 12104
Joined: 9/1/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Here is the brilliant one re-riffing on tearing it down:

"That literally was a riff on the very question (a reporter) asked me, I want to say on our second press conference about team-building in the NBA vs. the NFL," he said. "So that was just a general conversation about why this is such a different exercise than the NBA. In that sport, you kinda do want to tear it down because you want the No. 1 pick. And I said the only thing that makes you nervous in the NFL that people are kinda coming to is the position of quarterback. You know what I mean?"

Trekky's list proves this without a doubt.

There have been a few #1 busts in NBA over the years but not as many as the NFL has produced.
Post #: 6603
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 9:41:16 AM   
Mark Anderson

 

Posts: 12104
Joined: 9/1/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Murph

quote:

ORIGINAL: beo

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

The competitive rebuild was the wrong course of action and I was strongly in favor of a tear down. We did get to enjoy an entertaining yet hollow 13-4 season last year, all the while knowing we weren't good enough to win the SB with that team.

We've wasted 2 years of JJ and are further away from competing for a SB.

Not only are the cupboards pretty bare for next year, but we're paying a lot of dead cap.

We have maybe 5 guys under team control that other teams would covet and they are all on offense.

I love JJ, but we need to use that asset to kickstart the rebuild. Instead of paying him and Darrisaw big time extensions get some draft capital for them and anyone else that is tradeable. Tear it down to the studs and start by building quality OL and DL. I'm tired of being dominated in the trenches all the time.

Go 1-16 next year with Hall and Mullens as your QB and draft #1 overall in 2025. Get your QB and skill positions go from there, should have a bunch of FA money at that point too to fill in the gaps. You probably draft petty high again in 2026 as the new QB has some growing pains, but 2027 and beyond you should be very competitive if the GM and scouts did their jobs. (Hopefully not Queasy)

We are position to get a QBOTF this draft. Why wait?

Like Bill says, sit out FA and get dead cap in order.

By 2025, hopefully we have QBOTF and cap room.

Do you want the 3rd or 4th best QB on the board, because that's all you're getting in the 8-12 range that we're projected at. I'd rather wait a year and have the best guy that year. If you get the QB this year and still suck because the rest of the roster is bad, you not only run the risk of ruining your QBOTF, but you burn a year of his rookie scale contract for nothing.


You are making a couple of big assumptions:
1) You are assuming you can successfully tank to guarantee to get the "best" guy next year.
That could easily backfire... Vikes had the 3rd pick the year Andrew Luck came out... there was no QB available at 3.
2) You are assuming that 3rd/4th picked this year is WORSE than 1st guy picked next year. Mitch Tribisky was first guy picked at one point.
If this is a spectacular year of QBs (I don't know... but supposedly it is)... QBs this year might be better than next.

If there is a qb you like this year and he is available... you take him. IMO


Next year we not not draft as high or have as many top QB prospect to choose from. I really think this is the year to go for it.

If they love someone like Daniels and he's there at say, pick 4 or 5, go up and get him!

Spend the rest of this and next year's draft, along with FA to fix the D and shore up the Oline.

Yes. I think a 2025 1st rounder and O'Neill gets you up there.
Post #: 6604
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 9:45:54 AM   
David F.


Posts: 10842
Joined: 12/31/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

On the QB issue.

This list shows that drafting a QB high gives you a better chance than not of getting a good one, but at the same time is a motherfucker of crapshoot.


2023 Bryce Young 1
CJ Stroud 2
Anthony Richardson 4
Will Levis 33
Hendon Hooker 68
Aidan O'Connell 135
2022 Kenny Pickett 20
Desmond Ridder 74
Malik Willis 86
Matt Corral 94
Bailey Zappe 137
Sam Howell 144
Brock Purdy 262
2021 Trevor Lawrence 1
Zach Wilson 2
Trey Lance 3
Justin Fields 11
Mac Jones 15
Kyle Trask 64
Kellen Mond 66
Davis Mills 67
Sam Ehlinger 218
2020 Joe Burrow 1
Tua Tagovailoa 5
Justin Herbert 6
Jordan Love 26
Jalen Hurts 53
2019 Kyler Murray 1
Daniel Jones 6
Dwayne Haskins 15
Drew Lock 42
Will Grier 100
Jarrett Stidham 133
Easton Stick 166
Gardner Minshew 178
2018 Baker Mayfield 1
Sam Darnold 3
Josh Allen 7
Josh Rosen 10
Lamar Jackson 32
Mason Rudolph 76
Mike White 171
2017 Mitchell Trubisky 2
Patrick Mahomes 10
Deshaun Watson 12
Joshua Dobbs 135
2016 Jared Goff 1
Carson Wentz 2
Paxton Lynch 26
Christian Hackenberg 51
Jacoby Brissett 91
Cody Kessler 93
Connor Cook 100
Dak Prescott 135
2015 Jameis Winston 1
Marcus Mariota 2
Garret Grayson 75
Sean Mannion 89
Brett Hundley 147
Trevor Siemian 250
2014 Blake Bortles 3
Johnny Manziel 22
Teddy Bridgewater 32
Derek Carr 36
Jimmy Garapolo 62
A J McCarron 164
2013 E J Manuel 16
Geno Smith 39
Mike Glennon 73
Matt Barkley 98

So you have Burrow and maybe Lawrence as guys you would consider elite.


Mahomes? Hurts? Lamar? Purdy has a chance. Justin Herbert also very very good.

EDIT - You probably were referring to just #1 overalls.

< Message edited by David F. -- 1/3/2024 9:51:36 AM >


_____________________________

I wouldn't give ANY qb $30-50+ mil unless that QB had won me a Super Bowl. Did you win a Super Bowl on your rookie deal? Yes? Great! Here's your hugenormous contract. F it let's just run victory laps and love life. No? Good luck. Next!
Post #: 6605
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 9:57:51 AM   
Trekgeekscott


Posts: 38935
Joined: 7/16/2007
From: United Federation of Planets
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

On the QB issue.

This list shows that drafting a QB high gives you a better chance than not of getting a good one, but at the same time is a motherfucker of crapshoot.


2023 Bryce Young 1
CJ Stroud 2
Anthony Richardson 4
Will Levis 33
Hendon Hooker 68
Aidan O'Connell 135
2022 Kenny Pickett 20
Desmond Ridder 74
Malik Willis 86
Matt Corral 94
Bailey Zappe 137
Sam Howell 144
Brock Purdy 262
2021 Trevor Lawrence 1
Zach Wilson 2
Trey Lance 3
Justin Fields 11
Mac Jones 15
Kyle Trask 64
Kellen Mond 66
Davis Mills 67
Sam Ehlinger 218
2020 Joe Burrow 1
Tua Tagovailoa 5
Justin Herbert 6
Jordan Love 26
Jalen Hurts 53
2019 Kyler Murray 1
Daniel Jones 6
Dwayne Haskins 15
Drew Lock 42
Will Grier 100
Jarrett Stidham 133
Easton Stick 166
Gardner Minshew 178
2018 Baker Mayfield 1
Sam Darnold 3
Josh Allen 7
Josh Rosen 10
Lamar Jackson 32
Mason Rudolph 76
Mike White 171
2017 Mitchell Trubisky 2
Patrick Mahomes 10
Deshaun Watson 12
Joshua Dobbs 135
2016 Jared Goff 1
Carson Wentz 2
Paxton Lynch 26
Christian Hackenberg 51
Jacoby Brissett 91
Cody Kessler 93
Connor Cook 100
Dak Prescott 135
2015 Jameis Winston 1
Marcus Mariota 2
Garret Grayson 75
Sean Mannion 89
Brett Hundley 147
Trevor Siemian 250
2014 Blake Bortles 3
Johnny Manziel 22
Teddy Bridgewater 32
Derek Carr 36
Jimmy Garapolo 62
A J McCarron 164
2013 E J Manuel 16
Geno Smith 39
Mike Glennon 73
Matt Barkley 98

So you have Burrow and maybe Lawrence as guys you would consider elite.


Mahomes? Hurts? Lamar? Purdy has a chance. Justin Herbert also very very good.

EDIT - You probably were referring to just #1 overalls.



All I did was list some of the QBs taken and the number they were picked in the draft.

I consider elite what most people consider elite.

_____________________________

A mind is like a parachute. It doesn't work if it's not open. Frank Zappa
Post #: 6606
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 10:07:51 AM   
Mark Anderson

 

Posts: 12104
Joined: 9/1/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

On the QB issue.

This list shows that drafting a QB high gives you a better chance than not of getting a good one, but at the same time is a motherfucker of crapshoot.


2023 Bryce Young 1
CJ Stroud 2
Anthony Richardson 4
Will Levis 33
Hendon Hooker 68
Aidan O'Connell 135
2022 Kenny Pickett 20
Desmond Ridder 74
Malik Willis 86
Matt Corral 94
Bailey Zappe 137
Sam Howell 144
Brock Purdy 262
2021 Trevor Lawrence 1
Zach Wilson 2
Trey Lance 3
Justin Fields 11
Mac Jones 15
Kyle Trask 64
Kellen Mond 66
Davis Mills 67
Sam Ehlinger 218
2020 Joe Burrow 1
Tua Tagovailoa 5
Justin Herbert 6
Jordan Love 26
Jalen Hurts 53
2019 Kyler Murray 1
Daniel Jones 6
Dwayne Haskins 15
Drew Lock 42
Will Grier 100
Jarrett Stidham 133
Easton Stick 166
Gardner Minshew 178
2018 Baker Mayfield 1
Sam Darnold 3
Josh Allen 7
Josh Rosen 10
Lamar Jackson 32
Mason Rudolph 76
Mike White 171
2017 Mitchell Trubisky 2
Patrick Mahomes 10
Deshaun Watson 12
Joshua Dobbs 135
2016 Jared Goff 1
Carson Wentz 2
Paxton Lynch 26
Christian Hackenberg 51
Jacoby Brissett 91
Cody Kessler 93
Connor Cook 100
Dak Prescott 135
2015 Jameis Winston 1
Marcus Mariota 2
Garret Grayson 75
Sean Mannion 89
Brett Hundley 147
Trevor Siemian 250
2014 Blake Bortles 3
Johnny Manziel 22
Teddy Bridgewater 32
Derek Carr 36
Jimmy Garapolo 62
A J McCarron 164
2013 E J Manuel 16
Geno Smith 39
Mike Glennon 73
Matt Barkley 98

So you have Burrow and maybe Lawrence as guys you would consider elite.


Mahomes? Hurts? Lamar? Purdy has a chance. Justin Herbert also very very good.

EDIT - You probably were referring to just #1 overalls.

Thanks for the list. Proves you don't have to tank for #1.
Post #: 6607
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 10:08:52 AM   
Todd M

 

Posts: 40145
Joined: 7/14/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: David F.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

On the QB issue.

This list shows that drafting a QB high gives you a better chance than not of getting a good one, but at the same time is a motherfucker of crapshoot.


2023 Bryce Young 1
CJ Stroud 2
Anthony Richardson 4
Will Levis 33
Hendon Hooker 68
Aidan O'Connell 135
2022 Kenny Pickett 20
Desmond Ridder 74
Malik Willis 86
Matt Corral 94
Bailey Zappe 137
Sam Howell 144
Brock Purdy 262
2021 Trevor Lawrence 1
Zach Wilson 2
Trey Lance 3
Justin Fields 11
Mac Jones 15
Kyle Trask 64
Kellen Mond 66
Davis Mills 67
Sam Ehlinger 218
2020 Joe Burrow 1
Tua Tagovailoa 5
Justin Herbert 6
Jordan Love 26
Jalen Hurts 53
2019 Kyler Murray 1
Daniel Jones 6
Dwayne Haskins 15
Drew Lock 42
Will Grier 100
Jarrett Stidham 133
Easton Stick 166
Gardner Minshew 178
2018 Baker Mayfield 1
Sam Darnold 3
Josh Allen 7
Josh Rosen 10
Lamar Jackson 32
Mason Rudolph 76
Mike White 171
2017 Mitchell Trubisky 2
Patrick Mahomes 10
Deshaun Watson 12
Joshua Dobbs 135
2016 Jared Goff 1
Carson Wentz 2
Paxton Lynch 26
Christian Hackenberg 51
Jacoby Brissett 91
Cody Kessler 93
Connor Cook 100
Dak Prescott 135
2015 Jameis Winston 1
Marcus Mariota 2
Garret Grayson 75
Sean Mannion 89
Brett Hundley 147
Trevor Siemian 250
2014 Blake Bortles 3
Johnny Manziel 22
Teddy Bridgewater 32
Derek Carr 36
Jimmy Garapolo 62
A J McCarron 164
2013 E J Manuel 16
Geno Smith 39
Mike Glennon 73
Matt Barkley 98

So you have Burrow and maybe Lawrence as guys you would consider elite.


Mahomes? Hurts? Lamar? Purdy has a chance. Justin Herbert also very very good.

EDIT - You probably were referring to just #1 overalls.



All I did was list some of the QBs taken and the number they were picked in the draft.

I consider elite what most people consider elite.


Spend a lot of time on that?

3 course meal, all salad.
Post #: 6608
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 10:31:10 AM   
Trekgeekscott


Posts: 38935
Joined: 7/16/2007
From: United Federation of Planets
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Todd M

quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott



All I did was list some of the QBs taken and the number they were picked in the draft.

I consider elite what most people consider elite.


Spend a lot of time on that?

3 course meal, all salad.



Seriously?

My post was simply to show you don't necessarily need a high draft pick to get a good QB. Some drafted high stink to high heaven. Some drafted low have been much better. Your chances are better using a higher draft pick, but, big reach here, that would be true of any position. In all it's a crapshoot. Let's not trade away our future just yet.

_____________________________

A mind is like a parachute. It doesn't work if it's not open. Frank Zappa
Post #: 6609
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 10:53:38 AM   
David F.


Posts: 10842
Joined: 12/31/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott

quote:

ORIGINAL: Todd M

quote:

ORIGINAL: Trekgeekscott



All I did was list some of the QBs taken and the number they were picked in the draft.

I consider elite what most people consider elite.


Spend a lot of time on that?

3 course meal, all salad.



Seriously?

My post was simply to show you don't necessarily need a high draft pick to get a good QB. Some drafted high stink to high heaven. Some drafted low have been much better. Your chances are better using a higher draft pick, but, big reach here, that would be true of any position. In all it's a crapshoot. Let's not trade away our future just yet.


When you have a high pick you have your choice of nearly everyone. With a lower pick you're going to need double the luck (at a minimum) of the higher pick. Or heck - you could pick both!

_____________________________

I wouldn't give ANY qb $30-50+ mil unless that QB had won me a Super Bowl. Did you win a Super Bowl on your rookie deal? Yes? Great! Here's your hugenormous contract. F it let's just run victory laps and love life. No? Good luck. Next!
Post #: 6610
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 11:11:31 AM   
Todd M

 

Posts: 40145
Joined: 7/14/2007
Status: offline
And then you have teams picking high that are generally bad vs more rounded teams picking lower.
Post #: 6611
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 11:52:23 AM   
beo

 

Posts: 2289
Joined: 3/18/2009
Status: online
quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

Yes. I think a 2025 1st rounder and O'Neill gets you up there.


DONE and run to the podium!
Post #: 6612
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 11:54:48 AM   
bstinger


Posts: 16525
Joined: 7/20/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: JT2

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Saw highlights of Penix... wow, what an arm.

Some players are just injury prone. Others like Robert Smith seem to take a while to get the injuries over with (an observation more than a proven thing).


2 torn ACLs in his right knee and season ending injuries to both shoulders.

He appears to be recovered from the throwing shoulder - no idea if it'll have any long-term effects.

You have to hope the ACLs are a fluke and not a sign that he's more prone to them.

Can he be that guy that is very mobile in the pocket to make up for not really using him as a running option?


Or like the eval alluded to, can he develop a pocket presence. An instinct. Just enough feet shuffling to stay out of danger. A lot of QBs never do. Tough one for the scouts to project, but that's their job.

I'm out on a young guy with multiple injury history. Take him in the late rounds, maybe. Not as a #1.


Not that young. He'll be 24 in his rookie season.


Even worse then isn't it.

_____________________________

"You guys are true athletes!"

--twinsfan
Post #: 6613
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 12:02:33 PM   
bstinger


Posts: 16525
Joined: 7/20/2007
Status: offline
Who thinks we are only a rookie QB from being a SB contender next year?

You are all missing the larger point of my 2 year plan. We have many holes. Drafting your favorite QB choice in the 8-12 range this year doesn't do him a bit of good and wastes a year of his rookie scale contract.

I will agree that if the scouts say next year there are no QB's as good as this year's option, go for it, but it's still a bigger rebuild than that.

_____________________________

"You guys are true athletes!"

--twinsfan
Post #: 6614
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 12:07:51 PM   
David Levine


Posts: 77426
Joined: 7/14/2007
From: Las Vegas
Status: online
quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: JT2

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Saw highlights of Penix... wow, what an arm.

Some players are just injury prone. Others like Robert Smith seem to take a while to get the injuries over with (an observation more than a proven thing).


2 torn ACLs in his right knee and season ending injuries to both shoulders.

He appears to be recovered from the throwing shoulder - no idea if it'll have any long-term effects.

You have to hope the ACLs are a fluke and not a sign that he's more prone to them.

Can he be that guy that is very mobile in the pocket to make up for not really using him as a running option?


Or like the eval alluded to, can he develop a pocket presence. An instinct. Just enough feet shuffling to stay out of danger. A lot of QBs never do. Tough one for the scouts to project, but that's their job.

I'm out on a young guy with multiple injury history. Take him in the late rounds, maybe. Not as a #1.


Not that young. He'll be 24 in his rookie season.


Even worse then isn't it.


Or it means he's significantly more NFL ready.
Post #: 6615
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 12:12:26 PM   
Todd M

 

Posts: 40145
Joined: 7/14/2007
Status: offline
I want to not be afraid of them drafting Penix bc of his injury history but I am. He goes down his 1st year to a season ending injury and you have to be mad you took that chance.

He’s a Kwesi wet dream so I won’t be shocked but it’d be hard to ever be comfortable.
Post #: 6616
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 12:13:17 PM   
bstinger


Posts: 16525
Joined: 7/20/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: JT2

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Saw highlights of Penix... wow, what an arm.

Some players are just injury prone. Others like Robert Smith seem to take a while to get the injuries over with (an observation more than a proven thing).


2 torn ACLs in his right knee and season ending injuries to both shoulders.

He appears to be recovered from the throwing shoulder - no idea if it'll have any long-term effects.

You have to hope the ACLs are a fluke and not a sign that he's more prone to them.

Can he be that guy that is very mobile in the pocket to make up for not really using him as a running option?


Or like the eval alluded to, can he develop a pocket presence. An instinct. Just enough feet shuffling to stay out of danger. A lot of QBs never do. Tough one for the scouts to project, but that's their job.

I'm out on a young guy with multiple injury history. Take him in the late rounds, maybe. Not as a #1.


Not that young. He'll be 24 in his rookie season.


Even worse then isn't it.


Or it means he's significantly more NFL ready.

The age is irrelevant to my point about the injury history.

_____________________________

"You guys are true athletes!"

--twinsfan
Post #: 6617
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 12:37:40 PM   
Tom Sykes

 

Posts: 5819
Joined: 7/27/2007
Status: online
quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

Who thinks we are only a rookie QB from being a SB contender next year?

You are all missing the larger point of my 2 year plan. We have many holes. Drafting your favorite QB choice in the 8-12 range this year doesn't do him a bit of good and wastes a year of his rookie scale contract.

I will agree that if the scouts say next year there are no QB's as good as this year's option, go for it, but it's still a bigger rebuild than that.

What does a rookie QB have to do with contending next year? Nobody suggested that.

Rookie contract? The treatment of the Uygurs in Mongolia has more to do with our QB situation.

First find a QB. Yesterday. End of story.

Not tomorrow for God sakes.

You want to waste time and resources setting the table for next year's chicken salad. What if Queasy goes vegetarian this year?
Post #: 6618
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 12:42:44 PM   
Todd M

 

Posts: 40145
Joined: 7/14/2007
Status: offline
At the risk of being called quick trigger, bstinger, you’re fired. I’d like to announce the new Vikings GM - Tom Sykes.
Post #: 6619
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 12:55:33 PM   
bstinger


Posts: 16525
Joined: 7/20/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Todd M

At the risk of being called quick trigger, bstinger, you’re fired. I’d like to announce the new Vikings GM - Tom Sykes.



_____________________________

"You guys are true athletes!"

--twinsfan
Post #: 6620
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 12:58:50 PM   
bstinger


Posts: 16525
Joined: 7/20/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Tom Sykes

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

Who thinks we are only a rookie QB from being a SB contender next year?

You are all missing the larger point of my 2 year plan. We have many holes. Drafting your favorite QB choice in the 8-12 range this year doesn't do him a bit of good and wastes a year of his rookie scale contract.

I will agree that if the scouts say next year there are no QB's as good as this year's option, go for it, but it's still a bigger rebuild than that.

What does a rookie QB have to do with contending next year? Nobody suggested that.

Rookie contract? The treatment of the Uygurs in Mongolia has more to do with our QB situation.

First find a QB. Yesterday. End of story.

Not tomorrow for God sakes.

You want to waste time and resources setting the table for next year's chicken salad. What if Queasy goes vegetarian this year?

Ok, you don't want to build a roster capable of winning a SB, you just want a QB now, no matter who they are or what they are capable of. Enjoy the short term sugar high.

The team needs a bigger tear down, if you don't see that, you don't deserve the job Todd just gave you.

By the way Todd, I'd like my severance package now.

_____________________________

"You guys are true athletes!"

--twinsfan
Post #: 6621
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 1:30:20 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28105
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Murph

quote:

ORIGINAL: beo

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: Mark Anderson

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

The competitive rebuild was the wrong course of action and I was strongly in favor of a tear down. We did get to enjoy an entertaining yet hollow 13-4 season last year, all the while knowing we weren't good enough to win the SB with that team.

We've wasted 2 years of JJ and are further away from competing for a SB.

Not only are the cupboards pretty bare for next year, but we're paying a lot of dead cap.

We have maybe 5 guys under team control that other teams would covet and they are all on offense.

I love JJ, but we need to use that asset to kickstart the rebuild. Instead of paying him and Darrisaw big time extensions get some draft capital for them and anyone else that is tradeable. Tear it down to the studs and start by building quality OL and DL. I'm tired of being dominated in the trenches all the time.

Go 1-16 next year with Hall and Mullens as your QB and draft #1 overall in 2025. Get your QB and skill positions go from there, should have a bunch of FA money at that point too to fill in the gaps. You probably draft petty high again in 2026 as the new QB has some growing pains, but 2027 and beyond you should be very competitive if the GM and scouts did their jobs. (Hopefully not Queasy)

We are position to get a QBOTF this draft. Why wait?

Like Bill says, sit out FA and get dead cap in order.

By 2025, hopefully we have QBOTF and cap room.

Do you want the 3rd or 4th best QB on the board, because that's all you're getting in the 8-12 range that we're projected at. I'd rather wait a year and have the best guy that year. If you get the QB this year and still suck because the rest of the roster is bad, you not only run the risk of ruining your QBOTF, but you burn a year of his rookie scale contract for nothing.


You are making a couple of big assumptions:
1) You are assuming you can successfully tank to guarantee to get the "best" guy next year.
That could easily backfire... Vikes had the 3rd pick the year Andrew Luck came out... there was no QB available at 3.
2) You are assuming that 3rd/4th picked this year is WORSE than 1st guy picked next year. Mitch Tribisky was first guy picked at one point.
If this is a spectacular year of QBs (I don't know... but supposedly it is)... QBs this year might be better than next.

If there is a qb you like this year and he is available... you take him. IMO


Next year we not not draft as high or have as many top QB prospect to choose from. I really think this is the year to go for it.

If they love someone like Daniels and he's there at say, pick 4 or 5, go up and get him!

Spend the rest of this and next year's draft, along with FA to fix the D and shore up the Oline.



Having your cake and eating it too sounds good, but you're expecting to fix the D and shore up the Oline with 3rd rounders and 2024 free agency with over $50 million in dead money?
Post #: 6622
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 1:34:45 PM   
David Levine


Posts: 77426
Joined: 7/14/2007
From: Las Vegas
Status: online
quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: JT2

quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

quote:

ORIGINAL: David Levine

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Johanesen

Saw highlights of Penix... wow, what an arm.

Some players are just injury prone. Others like Robert Smith seem to take a while to get the injuries over with (an observation more than a proven thing).


2 torn ACLs in his right knee and season ending injuries to both shoulders.

He appears to be recovered from the throwing shoulder - no idea if it'll have any long-term effects.

You have to hope the ACLs are a fluke and not a sign that he's more prone to them.

Can he be that guy that is very mobile in the pocket to make up for not really using him as a running option?


Or like the eval alluded to, can he develop a pocket presence. An instinct. Just enough feet shuffling to stay out of danger. A lot of QBs never do. Tough one for the scouts to project, but that's their job.

I'm out on a young guy with multiple injury history. Take him in the late rounds, maybe. Not as a #1.


Not that young. He'll be 24 in his rookie season.


Even worse then isn't it.


Or it means he's significantly more NFL ready.

The age is irrelevant to my point about the injury history.


You have to be hoping that his medicals don't show long-term issues combined with him being totally healthy the past 2 seasons.

He's the #1 pick if he doesn't have in juries the previous 4 years. If we're drafting outside the Top 10 and Daniels is gone, I probably take that risk.
Post #: 6623
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 1:35:17 PM   
David Levine


Posts: 77426
Joined: 7/14/2007
From: Las Vegas
Status: online
First thing that stands out about Penix is his deep ball. Throws a guided missile down the field with excellent placement and accuracy.

Penix understands coverage. He sees the field well and knows how to exploit coverages and attack soft spots in the zone.

Has excellent poise in the pocket. Doesn’t get rattled by pressure or outside noise. Stays focused and composed, working through progressions across the entire field.

In the pocket is where Penix thrives the most. He can run when needed and throws well on the move while creating outside of structure, but he would much rather stay inside the pocket and beat you there. Penix possesses a good pump fake with both vigor and quickness.

Footwork is mostly crisp out of the shotgun. He doesn’t have a hitch in his step and keeps them active to reset quickly. It helps him be accurate with the football. Placement is a massive plus when he has clean footwork.

Post #: 6624
RE: General Vikes Talk - 1/3/2024 1:35:51 PM   
Bill Johanesen


Posts: 28105
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: bstinger

Who thinks we are only a rookie QB from being a SB contender next year?

You are all missing the larger point of my 2 year plan. We have many holes. Drafting your favorite QB choice in the 8-12 range this year doesn't do him a bit of good and wastes a year of his rookie scale contract.

I will agree that if the scouts say next year there are no QB's as good as this year's option, go for it, but it's still a bigger rebuild than that.


Probably nobody thinks that.

Getting a QB now gives him more experience and a chance to better learn the pro game.
Post #: 6625
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