Bruce Johnson
Posts: 16353
Joined: 8/27/2007
Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: David F. quote:
ORIGINAL: Ricky J Yes, it is interesting. Running on 2nd and long doesn't just seem like a Viking thing. I've noticed it, and posted on it a few times. It is nice to see the stats regarding the situation. - A spilt stat I'd like to see related to that is did the Vikings crank off a few long runs that skew the stat 'cause 5.75 seems like a lot. - Truth is I've been pretty anal over 2nd and long with out any data to back up my angst edit: don't ya just hate it when people budge in line? That’s the problem with situational stats - they don’t show effectiveness in the big picture. What if our 2nd-and-Longs include five or six 2nd-and-20 or longer? Very easy to run for eight yards on those. I don’t really know and I don’t have my laptop with me so crunching numbers is difficult right now For most teams, to get a third and "manageable" is critical to sustaining drives. It seems that the Vikings may be one of those teams. Running the ball on second down may be with that in mind- to make third down manageable. No, most certainly it is. Obviously a high proportion of rushes come on first down and the defenses seem to set up for that. Rushing on second down must be a little less predictable, especially if it is 2nd and long. If I was a stat guy I would be more interested in calculating the mean rather than the average. The averages get to be skewed by the long run as was pointed out.
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